ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
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MRCY // Mercury Systems Inc

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001049521 ↗
Technology • Electrical Products
$77.54 ▼ -4.26 (-5.21%)
MKT CAP: $4.98B • VOL: 543.7K
MRCY // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 60/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
60 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +4% • P/E 18.2x • F-SCORE 9/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.07 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.21
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did MRCY's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic Fundamentals sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever MRCY is Upgraded or Downgraded.

MRCY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.26%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $78.58H $81.80L $77.54C $77.54VOL 775.8K
RES: $91.42SUP: $65.99SMA50: $81.62SMA200: $91.42
$132.4$115.9$99.46$82.98$66.49RES $91.42SUP $65.99$77.542026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
MRCY // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 75/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 14.9% return on invested capital within Technology (Electrical Products), balanced against a 14.6x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 21.1% operating margin and 14.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 14.9% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +52.8% paired with 3.99% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +52.8% // FCF YLD: 3.99%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.26 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.26 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 21.7x trailing P/E (18.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 21.7x // EV/EBITDA: 14.6x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $77.54 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Electrical Products require continuous execution to defend 16.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 16.4% // D/E: 0.30x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 18.2x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.33).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 21.7x
FORWARD P/E 18.2x
EV / EBITDA 14.6x
FCF YIELD 3.99%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 21.1%
NET MARGIN 16.4%
ROIC % 14.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +52.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM $3.77
DEBT / EQUITY 0.30x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 54.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.33
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MRCYPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $70.95
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for MRCY & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>