ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

BCO // Brinks Company

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000078890 ↗
Industrials • Integrated Freight & Logistics
$102.71 ▲ +0.52 (+0.51%)
MKT CAP: $4.23B • VOL: 395.2K
BCO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 46/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
46 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +22.6% vs NI +22.6% • ROIC-WACC +13.4% • Z 1.58
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
6 / 20
CRITICAL
52W RANGE 26% • VS 200D -6.7% • RSI 44.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +0.6% • P/E 19.6x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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BCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.60%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-03O $102.2H $102.7L $102.2C $102.7VOL 395.2K
RES: $113.4SUP: $98.78SMA50: $105.9SMA200: $110.0
$126.6$117.0$107.4$97.70$88.06RES $113.4SUP $98.78$102.72026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
BCO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 55/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Brinks Company (BCO) exhibits 25.8% gross margins and 19.6% return on invested capital within Industrials (Integrated Freight & Logistics), balanced against a 8.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 25.8% gross profitability converts into 11.1% operating margin and 19.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 19.6% // GM: 25.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +5.0% paired with 0.58% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +5.0% // FCF YLD: 0.58%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.58 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.58 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 21.1x trailing P/E (19.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 21.1x // EV/EBITDA: 8.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $102.71 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Integrated Freight & Logistics require continuous execution to defend 3.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 3.8% // D/E: 8.50x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 19.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.00).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 21.1x
FORWARD P/E 19.6x
EV / EBITDA 8.3x
FCF YIELD 0.58%
GROSS MARGIN 25.8%
OPERATING MARGIN 11.1%
NET MARGIN 3.8%
ROIC % 19.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +5.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $4.85
DEBT / EQUITY 8.50x
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 44.8
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.00
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // BCOPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $93.98
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>