Should I buy, hold, or sell BCO stock right now?

Brinks Company (BCO) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 46/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 21x P/E (20% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is BCO's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BCO's 12-month base price target is $101.55 (range $79.21 to $143.19), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Industrials / BCO

HUBG (42) CHRW (68) EXPD (80) FWRD (25) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Brinks Company (BCO) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$107.35 +4.52% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $108.02

Brinks Company (BCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.23B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BCO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Brinks Company (NYSE: BCO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $107.35 (+4.52% 1D, market cap $4.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, BCO ranks #259 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BCO compare to HUBG and CHRW in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Integrated Freight & Logistics), BCO carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.1x, gross margin of 25.8%, and ROIC of 19.6%. By comparison, HUBG (Hub Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.63B) and CHRW (C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 25.4x, ROIC 22.6%, cap $14.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCO leads on earnings multiple (21.1x) while EXPD leads on capital efficiency (40.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCO?

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Per BCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000078890), Brinks Company generated $5.26B in revenue (+5.0% YoY), $199.7M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $7.34B in total assets and $3.81B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $108.02 (+0.62%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 0.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BCO SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.5% FCF Margin ($24.5M FCF) & 25.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (44.8) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$102.05+6.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$108.73-7.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$100.19+7.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$107.35-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (38) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BCO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BCO currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($105.88) and Max Pain ($112.72) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $143.19.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

44.830 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

1.58>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE36% OF RANGE

L: $91$107.35H: $136

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (26% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on BCO

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (70)

19.6% ROIC with 25.8% gross margin and 0.58% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 1.58 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (37)

19/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BCO

✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BCO)

✓Walkthrough of BCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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BCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.85%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-11-03O $102.2H $107.4L $102.2C $107.4VOL 395.2K

RES: $113.4SUP: $98.78SMA50: $105.9SMA200: $110.0

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BCO Butterfly Map → + Track BCO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BCO)

Industrials Rank #259 of 485 ⚔️ HUBG vs BCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (BCO vs. HUBG, CHRW, EXPD, FWRD)

Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics (16 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brinks Company (BCO) ranks #259 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #161 by equity capitalization ($4.23B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCO leads on earnings valuation at 21.1x trailing P/E, while EXPD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 40.3% ROIC and — gross margin. EXPD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with BCO at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BCO ACTIVE Brinks Company	D	46/100	21.1x	25.8%	19.6%	+4.52%	$4.23B	Benchmark Subject
HUBG Hub Group Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	—	—	+2.51%	$1.63B	/hubg-vs-bco →
CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.	C+	68/100	25.4x	—	22.6%	+3.29%	$14.56B	/chrw-vs-bco →
EXPD Expeditors International of Washington Inc.	B+	80/100	31.8x	—	40.3%	+0.86%	$25.85B	/expd-vs-bco →
FWRD Forward Air Corporation	E	25/100	—	—	1.7%	+3.97%	$595.2M	/fwrd-vs-bco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000078890

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Brinks Company (BCO) reported GAAP revenue of $5.26B (+5.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.01B , and +7.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $199.7M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, BCO closed FY2025 with $7.34B in total assets against $3.81B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.58, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$5.26B	$199.7M	—	—	$7.34B	$3.81B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$5.01B	$162.9M	—	—	$6.62B	$3.61B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$4.87B	$87.7M	—	—	$5.85B	$1.37B

3. BCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BCO compare to HUBG and CHRW in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCO?

Where is BCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BCO last traded at $107.35 (+4.52% on volume of 480,217 shares), positioning the stock +1.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($105.88) and -2.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($110.04). Across its 52-week range of $91.05 to $136.37, BCO sits at the 36.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($100.48 to $114.22).

Direct Sub-Reports: BCO RQD Cockpit BCO 12M Forecast BCO Earnings & Move BCO Dividends & DRIP BCO Insiders & 13F BCO Whale Options BCO Profit Sankey BCO News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BCO — Brinks Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:22:03Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

BCO scores 46 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 14 / 20 (ROIC 19.6%; FCF yield 0.58%), Whale 13F Flow at 6 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 13 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 3 / 20 (Beta 1; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10 / 20 (Altman Z 1.58; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 8.5).

For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is the cash engine, where ROIC of 19.6% is a genuine quality signal, but the 0.58% FCF yield means the market is paying a high price for each dollar of free cash flow, which limits valuation support if growth slows. The weakest pillar is Macro Regime Fit at 3 / 20, indicating that the sector sensitivity profile offers little cushion in adverse conditions. The forensic balance sheet score of 10 / 20 reflects an Altman Z of 1.58 and a Debt/Equity of 8.5, both of which point to leverage-driven fragility. Upside drivers in the data are the ROIC and the Piotroski F of 7/9; the main valuation tradeoff is a trailing P/E of 21.1 against an EV/EBITDA of 8.3 with thin net margin of 3.8%. Per the RQD rating, the overall posture is a distribution warning rather than an accumulation setup.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

(BCO) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, specifically the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry, with a market capitalization of $4.2B. Per the market data, gross margin is 25.8% and operating margin is 11.1%.

Revenue rose from $4.87B in FY 2023 to $5.26B in FY 2025, and net income rose from $87.7M to $199.7M over the same span. Per the market data, net margin is 3.8% and ROIC is 19.6%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.58 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Debt rose from $1.37B in FY 2023 to $3.81B in FY 2025, and per the RQD rating the Debt/Equity is 8.5, indicating a leveraged balance sheet.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case: ROIC of 19.6% signals strong capital efficiency relative to the company's leverage. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 (ROIC 19.6%, FCF yield 0.58%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $91.05 – $136.37 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case: A Debt/Equity of 8.5 and Altman Z of 1.58 combine with a 0.58% FCF yield to leave little financial cushion. Investors must weigh 21.1x trailing P/E and 8.3x EV/EBITDA against 11.1% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Integrated Freight & Logistics (Industrials), BCO carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 25.8%.

Key Question #1: What drove the FY 2025 jump in debt from $3.61B to $3.81B, and how is that debt structured and scheduled for repayment?
Key Question #2: Why are EPS and FCF reported as N/A across all periods, and what is the actual free cash flow generation?
Key Question #3: What is the reported outcome and guidance behind the Q3'26 earnings revenue estimate of 1.39B USD?

BCO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Brinks Company (BCO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BCO Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

Brinks Company (The) (BCO) Stock Forecasts

Yahoo Finance report covering Brinks Company (BCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 23h ago

BCO Q3'26 Earnings: revenue estimate is 1.39B USD

TradingView report covering Brinks Company (BCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

How Brinks Company (the) (BCO) Affects Rotational Strategy Timing

Stock Traders Daily report covering Brinks Company (BCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Mugglehead Investment Magazine • 1d ago

Brink’s gets CMA acceptance in principle for UK asset sale

Mugglehead Investment Magazine report covering Brinks Company (BCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

Brinks Company (BCO) Rises 1.57% to $104.13, Holding Above Key Support - Wyckoff Spring

https://www.siam.in/ report covering Brinks Company (BCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago

Brinks (BCO) Slips 1.20% to $100.85 as Shares Sit Mid-Range Between Key Levels - Triple Top

https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Brinks Company (BCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

Discipline and Rules-Based Execution in BCO Response

Stock Traders Daily report covering Brinks Company (BCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 6d ago

Boeing shares slide as investors focus on aircraft delivery delays

Boeing Co (NYSE:BA, XETRA:BCO) shares were down about 10% on Tuesday afternoon as investors focused on delays in ramping up aircraft production and the company’s reduced delivery outlook for 2026, overshadowing stronger-

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BCO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $107.35?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BCO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

CA CashFlowKing FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $133.52 (+30.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

ROIC of 19.6% signals strong capital efficiency relative to the company's leverage.

Here is why I am bullish on BCO here at $102.71: ROIC of 19.6% signals strong capital efficiency relative to the company's leverage.. Compare BCO's 11.1% operating margin and 19.6% ROIC against the rest of Integrated Freight & Logistics. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $97.57 are getting bought.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 46/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $102.71 and keeping dry powder in case we test $95.52.

RI RiskArb_Desk Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $86.28 (-16.0%)

Spot @ $102.71

A Debt/Equity of 8.5 and Altman Z of 1.58 combine with a 0.58% FCF yield to leave little financial cushion.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short BCO above $102.71. A Debt/Equity of 8.5 and Altman Z of 1.58 combine with a 0.58% FCF yield to leave little financial cushion.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20) and FCF yield (0.58%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $136.37.