Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$79.82 +0.99% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $79.81

Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $49.37B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on XEL Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is XEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Xcel Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: XEL) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $79.82 (+0.99% 1D, market cap $49.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, XEL ranks #16 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does XEL compare to EXC and ED in the Utilities sector?
β–Ό

Within the Utilities sector (Power Generation), XEL carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.5x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 5.1%. By comparison, EXC (Exelon Corporation) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $47.39B) and ED (Consolidated Edison Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.8%, cap $42.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXC leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while EXC leads on capital efficiency (5.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XEL?
β–Ό

Per XEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000072903), Xcel Energy Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $2.02B in net income, and $4.08B in free cash flow against $81.37B in total assets and $19.04B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $79.81 (-0.01%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 59.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 56.0% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C+
025507510066
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ Β· Rk C
Cash (10)Whales (14)SEC (12)Macro (14)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$98 Bull$83 Base$65 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE XEL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XEL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY XEL SCORES 66/100 (C+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±4% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 10 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$74.64+2.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$76.68+1.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$78.14+2.1% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$79.82+1.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (58) β†’ C+ (66)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the XEL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, XEL faces multiple-compression risk if 24.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($74.77) or 200D SMA ($78.29) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($82.69) toward Bear Floor ($64.50).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XELβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œXEL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

XEL Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (XEL)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on XEL. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (XEL Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
XEL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.66%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $77.18H $79.82L $77.18C $79.82VOL 6.58M
RES: $80.52SUP: $65.48SMA50: $74.77SMA200: $78.29
$83.87$79.76$75.66$71.55$67.45RES $80.52SUP $65.48$79.822026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XEL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
18.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XEL today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XEL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XEL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XEL)

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (XEL vs. EXC, ED, WEC, PEG)

Industry: Power Generation (18 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) ranks #16 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #11 by equity capitalization ($49.37B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EXC leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while EXC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.4% ROIC and β€” gross margin. ED currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with XEL at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
XEL ACTIVE
Xcel Energy Inc.
C+ 66/100 24.5x β€” 5.1% +0.99% $49.37B Benchmark Subject
EXC
Exelon Corporation
D 46/100 11.8x β€” 5.4% +0.55% $47.39B /exc-vs-xel β†’
ED
Consolidated Edison Inc.
C+ 69/100 β€” β€” 4.8% +1.00% $42.71B /ed-vs-xel β†’
WEC
WEC Energy Group Inc.
C+ 67/100 21.3x 66.7% 3.9% +1.26% $37.35B /wec-vs-xel β†’
PEG
Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated
D+ 56/100 17.4x β€” 4.6% +0.90% $36.70B /peg-vs-xel β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000072903

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $2.02B, operating cash flow of $4.08B, and free cash flow of $4.08B (-12.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, XEL closed FY2025 with $81.37B in total assets against $19.04B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.16, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $2.02B $4.08B $4.08B $81.37B $19.04B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $1.94B $4.64B $4.64B $70.03B $16.39B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $1.77B $5.33B $5.33B $27.15B $6.35B

3. XEL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Xcel Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: XEL) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $79.82 (+0.99% 1D, market cap $49.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, XEL ranks #16 in composite RQD confidence.

How does XEL compare to EXC and ED in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Power Generation), XEL carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.5x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 5.1%. By comparison, EXC (Exelon Corporation) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $47.39B) and ED (Consolidated Edison Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.8%, cap $42.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXC leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while EXC leads on capital efficiency (5.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XEL?

Per XEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000072903), Xcel Energy Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $2.02B in net income, and $4.08B in free cash flow against $81.37B in total assets and $19.04B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is XEL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XEL last traded at $79.82 (+0.99% on volume of 7,494,755 shares), positioning the stock +6.75% above its 50-day simple moving average ($74.77) and +1.95% above its 200-day simple moving average ($78.29). Across its 52-week range of $68.72 to $84.23, XEL sits at the 71.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±4.0% ($76.63 to $83.01).

XEL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are XEL insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies XEL leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 66/100 (C+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

XEL β€” Xcel Energy Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:11:11Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, XEL scores 66 out of 100, a C+ grade, with the verdict "Roarable Hold β€” Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 (ROIC 5.1%; FCF yield 7.01%); Whale 13F Flow at 14/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 14/20 (Beta 0.55; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 12/20 (Altman Z 1.16; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.69).

For a prospective investor, the pattern is mixed. The cash-engine pillar is the weakest, with a 5.1% ROIC sitting below the 7.01% FCF yield, which signals the business generates cash relative to its price but earns modest returns on invested capital. The insider and whale pillars carry the most points, suggesting that insider and institutional flow is the strongest supportive element in the rating. The Altman Z of 1.16 is a weak reading on a standard distress scale, offset by a strong Piotroski F of 8/9, which points to healthy operating-quality signals despite leverage. The low beta of 0.55 implies lower sensitivity to broad market moves, which is a defensive characteristic. Upside drivers cited in the news wire include capital-plan growth and data-center narratives; valuation tradeoffs are visible in the 24.5 trailing P/E and 21 EV/EBITDA. The rating's label of "Watch for Breakout" indicates the score sits near neutral rather than a clear buy or sell signal.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$79.04$49.37B24.522.8213.232.6%0.55$68.72 - $84.235.1%

Business

Per the Profile section, Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Utilities sector and Power Generation industry. Per the Profile, the company carries a market capitalization of $49.4B. The source data does not describe specific products, customer segments, or revenue model beyond sector and industry classification. Per the SEC financials, reported revenue is listed as $0.0M in each period, so revenue-based business description is not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$2583.0M$2018.0MN/A$4083.0M$274.0M$19040.8M
FY 2024$0.0M$2386.0M$1936.0MN/A$4641.0M$179.0M$16388.2M
FY 2023$0.0M$2481.0M$1771.0MN/A$5327.0MN/A$6354.1M

Per the market data, operating margin is 18.7%, net margin is 14.6%, and gross margin is 0%, with ROIC at 5.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.16 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.69. Reported net income rose from $1771.0M in FY 2023 to $2018.0M in FY 2025, while debt rose from $6354.1M to $19040.8M over the same span. Cash of $274.0M at FY 2025 compares with $179.0M at FY 2024 and N/A for FY 2023.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, the key items are:

  • AI data center plans: A Yahoo Finance report headlined "Xcel Energy (XEL) Stock May Be Fully Priced On AI Data Center Plans" (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) raises a valuation question tied to data-center growth.
  • Michigan asset sale: Two reports (TradingView, GREEN, CATALYST; Seeking Alpha, YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) cover a sale of Michigan operations described as sharpening growth strategy.
  • Capital plan: Investing.com reports BTIG raised its price target on capital plan growth (GREEN, CATALYST).
  • Earnings: A Yahoo Finance earnings preview and a TradingView summary of the Q3 earnings call are listed (YELLOW and YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary links are recorded. Not available in source data for supply-chain ripple mapping. Investors should note that the valuation narrative in the news wire is tied to data-center demand, which the source data does not link to any specific supplier or customer.

Open Questions

  • What is the reported revenue for each period, given that the SEC financials list $0.0M across all three years?
  • What is the EPS for FY 2023 through FY 2025, since the financials list N/A?
  • What is the cash balance for FY 2023, which is listed as N/A?
  • What portion of the capital plan and AI data-center pipeline is contracted versus speculative?
  • What is the economic impact of the Michigan asset sale on earnings and debt?

XEL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to XEL Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

XEL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $79.82?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON XEL 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on XEL:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $85.36 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is XEL (C+ β€’ RQD 66/100) a Buy at $79.04?

Welcome to the XEL (Xcel Energy Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 66/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Power Generation. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $64.02 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $79.04

Pump the brakes on XEL β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on XEL, but look at what you are paying: 24.5x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Xcel Energy Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $100.38 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $79.04

XEL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on XEL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Power Generation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $79.04 (52-wk range $68.72 - $84.23), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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