Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. (WMS) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (38.3% gross margin, 22% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
As of 2026-11-03, Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. (NYSE: WMS) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $138.99 (+2.63% 1D, market cap $10.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WMS ranks #127 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), WMS carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.0x, gross margin of 38.3%, and ROIC of 22.3%. By comparison, AVY (Avery Dennison Corporation) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 20.1x, ROIC 17.4%, cap $13.81B) and REYN (Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 16.5x, ROIC 13.4%, cap $4.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SON leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while WMS leads on capital efficiency (22.3% ROIC).
Per WMS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001604028), Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. generated $3.05B in revenue (+5.0% YoY), $429.0M in net income, and $569.3M in free cash flow against $4.14B in total assets and $1.28B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (38.3% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 18.7% FCF Margin ($569.3M FCF) & 38.3% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 5.15 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (60.5) create a -12 pt regime headwind
Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, WMS faces multiple-compression risk if 24.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 35.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($130.44) or 200D SMA ($143.21) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($147.12) toward Bear Floor ($113.97).
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. (WMS) surged +2.63% to $138.99, trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($122.84 – $179.32). High-quality cash engine (38.3% gross margin, 22% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
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Yahoo Finance report covering Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. (WMS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
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MarketBeat report covering Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. (WMS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. (WMS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
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Key TakeawaysMyers Industries stock fell as much as 14% Thursday and closed down about 6% after third-quarter revenue rose 8. 1% but gross margin fell to 27.
New technology helps improve stormwater quality, save space and expand ADS' complete water management solutions.HILLIARD, Ohio, Oct. 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (NYSE: WMS), a leader in t
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +5.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WMS today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WMS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. (WMS) ranks #127 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #169 by equity capitalization ($10.21B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SON leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while WMS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.3% ROIC and 38.3% gross margin. AVY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with WMS at 71/100 (B-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMS
ACTIVE
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. | B- | 71/100 | 24.0x | 38.3% | 22.3% | +2.63% | $10.21B | Benchmark Subject |
| AVY Avery Dennison Corporation | B | 74/100 | 20.1x | 28.8% | 17.4% | +2.63% | $13.81B | /avy-vs-wms → |
| REYN Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. | B- | 70/100 | 16.5x | 24.6% | 13.4% | +4.32% | $4.98B | /reyn-vs-wms → |
| SON Sonoco Products Company | D+ | 52/100 | 4.9x | 20.9% | 11.4% | +0.50% | $4.94B | /son-vs-wms → |
| SW Smurfit WestRock plc | D+ | 56/100 | 31.9x | 19.4% | 4.7% | +0.72% | $22.60B | /sw-vs-wms → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. (WMS) reported GAAP revenue of $3.05B (+5.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.90B , and +6.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $429.0M, operating cash flow of $819.1M, and free cash flow of $569.3M (+54.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, WMS closed FY2025 with $4.14B in total assets against $1.28B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.15, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-03-31 | $3.05B | $429.0M | $819.1M | $569.3M | $4.14B | $1.28B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-03-31 | $2.90B | $453.0M | $581.5M | $368.5M | $3.60B | $1.25B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-03-31 | $2.87B | $513.0M | $717.9M | $588.6M | $5.66B | $1.32B |
As of 2026-11-03, Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. (NYSE: WMS) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $138.99 (+2.63% 1D, market cap $10.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WMS ranks #127 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), WMS carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.0x, gross margin of 38.3%, and ROIC of 22.3%. By comparison, AVY (Avery Dennison Corporation) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 20.1x, ROIC 17.4%, cap $13.81B) and REYN (Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 16.5x, ROIC 13.4%, cap $4.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SON leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while WMS leads on capital efficiency (22.3% ROIC).
Per WMS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001604028), Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. generated $3.05B in revenue (+5.0% YoY), $429.0M in net income, and $569.3M in free cash flow against $4.14B in total assets and $1.28B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (38.3% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
WMS last traded at $138.99 (+2.63% on volume of 672,713 shares), positioning the stock +6.55% above its 50-day simple moving average ($130.44) and -2.95% below its 200-day simple moving average ($143.21). Across its 52-week range of $122.84 to $179.32, WMS sits at the 28.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($130.93 to $147.05).
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. (WMS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 71/100, corresponding to a B- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $138.99 (+2.63% 1D, market capitalization $10.21B).
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Containers/Packaging industry. The company reported FY 2025 revenue of $3.05B. — for detailed product lines, customer segments, or the specific revenue mechanics.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-03-31), Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. (WMS) reported $3.05B in annual revenue (up from $2.90B in FY2024, +5.0% YoY) and $429.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.87B revenue, $513.0M net income) through FY2025, WMS scaled operating cash flow to $819.1M and free cash flow to $569.3M, backed by $4.14B in total assets against $1.28B in total debt.
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Yahoo Finance report covering Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. (WMS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
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Yahoo Finance report covering Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. (WMS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. (WMS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. (WMS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. (WMS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. (WMS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Long WMS at $135.43 targeting $162.52. Strong cash engine with ROIC of 22.3% and a 19/20 fundamental pillar score, supported by an Altman Z-Score of 5.15.. Institutional whale score is 10/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $122.84 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.
@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 10/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $135.43 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.
I respect the product at Advanced Drainage Systems Inc., but the stock at $135.43 is a different story. Macro regime fit scores only 8/20 with beta of 1.13, and net income has declined from $513.0M to $429.0M over three years while the stock trades near its 52-week low.. FCF yield is 5.53% and RQD sits at 71/100 (B-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?
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