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NE (69) RIG (59) MTDR (77) VAL (73) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (VIST) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$70.45 -1.58% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $70.12

Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (VIST) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $7.84B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on VIST Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VIST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (NYSE: VIST) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $70.45 (-1.58% 1D, market cap $7.84B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, VIST ranks #72 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VIST compare to NE and RIG in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), VIST carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, NE (Noble Corporation plc A) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 35.0x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $7.82B) and RIG (Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.3%, cap $7.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VAL leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while MTDR leads on capital efficiency (12.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VIST?
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For Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (VIST), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #72 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $70.12 (-0.47%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 4.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (11)Whales (11)SEC (16)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$86 Bull$72 Base$56 Bear
📬 FREE VIST RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VIST)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VIST SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 71% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 49.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$69.94+2.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$71.44+1.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$72.27-2.5% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$70.45+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the VIST Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, VIST faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($70.95) or 200D SMA ($67.43) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($72.35) toward Bear Floor ($56.43).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VIST• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VIST Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

VIST Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (VIST)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on VIST. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (VIST Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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VIST // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.86%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-03O $71.58H $71.58L $70.45C $70.45VOL 1.07M
RES: $78.92SUP: $64.40SMA50: $70.95SMA200: $67.43
$83.60$74.66$65.73$56.79$47.86RES $78.92SUP $64.40$70.452026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VIST Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 VIST Butterfly Map → + Track VIST →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VIST today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VIST. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VIST today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VIST)

Energy Rank #72 of 211 ⚔️ NE vs VIST Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (VIST vs. NE, RIG, MTDR, VAL)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (VIST) ranks #72 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #65 by equity capitalization ($7.84B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VAL leads on earnings valuation at 7.2x trailing P/E, while MTDR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.1% ROIC and 94.3% gross margin. MTDR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with VIST at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VIST ACTIVE
Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American
C 64/100 32.8x — 9.9% -1.58% $7.84B Benchmark Subject
NE
Noble Corporation plc A
C+ 69/100 35.0x — 5.4% +3.27% $7.82B /ne-vs-vist →
RIG
Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)
C- 59/100 — 39.3% -17.3% +3.74% $7.75B /rig-vs-vist →
MTDR
Matador Resources Company
B+ 77/100 9.8x 94.3% 12.1% +1.76% $7.53B /mtdr-vs-vist →
VAL
Valaris Limited
B 73/100 7.2x — 10.3% +3.54% $7.31B /val-vs-vist →

2. VIST Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (VIST) operates in Oil & Gas Production (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $7.84B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. VIST Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VIST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (NYSE: VIST) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $70.45 (-1.58% 1D, market cap $7.84B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, VIST ranks #72 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VIST compare to NE and RIG in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), VIST carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, NE (Noble Corporation plc A) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 35.0x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $7.82B) and RIG (Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.3%, cap $7.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VAL leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while MTDR leads on capital efficiency (12.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VIST?

For Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (VIST), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #72 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VIST trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VIST last traded at $70.45 (-1.58% on volume of 1,074,837 shares), positioning the stock -0.70% below its 50-day simple moving average ($70.95) and +4.48% above its 200-day simple moving average ($67.43). Across its 52-week range of $43.71 to $81.44, VIST sits at the 70.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($65.59 to $75.31).

Direct Sub-Reports: VIST RQD Cockpit VIST 12M Forecast VIST Earnings & Move VIST Dividends & DRIP VIST Insiders & 13F VIST Whale Options VIST Profit Sankey VIST News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

VIST — Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Vista Energy S.A.B. De C.V. American (VIST) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 64/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $70.45 (-1.58% 1D, market capitalization $7.84B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.16x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Vista Energy S.A.B. De C.V. American is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, Oil & Gas Production industry. Per the market data, the company reports an operating margin of 13.9% and a net margin of 10.9%. — for specific products, customers, or revenue model details.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 64/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.21% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $43.71 – $81.44 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 1.16x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector context is the Energy / Oil & Gas Production classification and the 1.16 beta reported in the market data.

  • Key Question #1: Can VIST sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (2.21% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 3.74) toward the $81.44 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is VIST's 30.5x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.16x)?

VIST Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (VIST) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to VIST Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

VIST Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $70.45?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VIST 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on VIST:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $83.84 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet is the strongest RQD pillar (16/20, Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39), giving solvency cushion b

Don't sleep on VIST's setup in Energy. Forensic balance sheet is the strongest RQD pillar (16/20, Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39), giving solvency cushion behind a neutral rating.. Beta of 1.16 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (64/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — VIST's 16/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $57.77 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $70.45

Valuation runs at P/E (TTM) 32.8 and EV/EBITDA 21 against an FCF yield of only 2.21%, with Beta 1.16 amplifying downside.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on VIST: Valuation runs at P/E (TTM) 32.8 and EV/EBITDA 21 against an FCF yield of only 2.21%, with Beta 1.16 amplifying downside.. At 32.8x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Oil & Gas Production triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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