Should I buy, hold, or sell NE stock right now?

Noble Corporation plc A (NE) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (5% return on capital), mixed timing at 35x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is NE's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NE's 12-month base price target is $47.71 (range $37.21 to $57.73), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Energy / NE

VIST (64) RIG (59) MTDR (77) VAL (73) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Noble Corporation plc A (NE) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$45.46 -7.22% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.78

Noble Corporation plc A (NE) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $7.82B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Noble Corporation plc A (NYSE: NE) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $45.46 (-7.22% 1D, market cap $7.82B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NE ranks #46 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NE compare to VIST and RIG in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), NE carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, VIST (Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $7.84B) and RIG (Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.3%, cap $7.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VAL leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while MTDR leads on capital efficiency (12.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NE?

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Per NE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001895262), Noble Corporation plc A generated $3.29B in revenue (+7.4% YoY), $216.7M in net income, and $803.8M in free cash flow against $7.53B in total assets and $1.98B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.78 (-1.49%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 24.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NE SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.3) create a -7 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$42.90+2.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$44.01+6.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$47.06-3.4% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$45.46+2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, NE faces multiple-compression risk if 35.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($44.68) or 200D SMA ($44.80) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($47.71) toward Bear Floor ($37.21).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

63.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

2.28>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE65% OF RANGE

L: $28$45.46H: $55

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on NE

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (65)

5.4% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 10.61% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 2.28 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (70)

29/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NE

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NE Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.74%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $47.45H $49.00L $45.46C $45.46VOL 1.20M

RES: $49.34SUP: $40.80SMA50: $44.68SMA200: $44.80

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NE Butterfly Map → + Track NE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

27.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NE)

Energy Rank #46 of 211 ⚔️ VIST vs NE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NE vs. VIST, RIG, MTDR, VAL)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Noble Corporation plc A (NE) ranks #46 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #66 by equity capitalization ($7.82B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VAL leads on earnings valuation at 7.2x trailing P/E, while MTDR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.1% ROIC and 94.3% gross margin. MTDR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with NE at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NE ACTIVE Noble Corporation plc A	C+	69/100	35.0x	—	5.4%	-7.22%	$7.82B	Benchmark Subject
VIST Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American	C	64/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-5.05%	$7.84B	/vist-vs-ne →
RIG Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)	C-	59/100	—	39.3%	-17.3%	-10.23%	$7.75B	/rig-vs-ne →
MTDR Matador Resources Company	B+	77/100	9.8x	94.3%	12.1%	-8.41%	$7.53B	/mtdr-vs-ne →
VAL Valaris Limited	B	73/100	7.2x	—	10.3%	-10.09%	$7.31B	/val-vs-ne →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001895262 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Noble Corporation plc A (NE) reported GAAP revenue of $3.29B (+7.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.06B , and +26.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $216.7M, operating cash flow of $951.7M, and free cash flow of $803.8M (+55.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, NE closed FY2025 with $7.53B in total assets against $1.98B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.28, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.29B	$216.7M	$951.7M	$803.8M	$7.53B	$1.98B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.06B	$448.4M	$655.5M	$517.9M	$7.96B	$1.98B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.59B	$481.9M	$574.3M	$457.8M	$4.17B	$975.0M

3. NE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NE compare to VIST and RIG in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NE?

Where is NE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NE last traded at $45.46 (-7.22% on volume of 1,387,586 shares), positioning the stock +1.75% above its 50-day simple moving average ($44.68) and +1.47% above its 200-day simple moving average ($44.80). Across its 52-week range of $27.67 to $54.98, NE sits at the 65.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($42.01 to $48.91).

Direct Sub-Reports: NE RQD Cockpit NE 12M Forecast NE Earnings & Move NE Dividends & DRIP NE Insiders & 13F NE Whale Options NE Profit Sankey NE News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NE — Noble Corporation plc A: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Noble Corporation plc A (NE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 69/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $45.46 (-7.22% 1D, market capitalization $7.82B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 12.6%, and free cash flow yield of 10.61%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 0.87x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.28, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.43x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Noble Corporation plc A is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating in the Oil & Gas Production industry. — for products sold, customer base, or revenue model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Noble Corporation plc A (NE) reported $3.29B in annual revenue (up from $3.06B in FY2024, +7.4% YoY) and $216.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.59B revenue, $481.9M net income) through FY2025, NE scaled operating cash flow to $951.7M and free cash flow to $803.8M, backed by $7.53B in total assets against $1.98B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 69/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 10.61% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $27.67 – $54.98 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 35.0x trailing P/E and 16.8x EV/EBITDA against 12.6% operating margins and a 0.87x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain is NONE, with no upstream or downstream links, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signals recorded. — for specific upstream or downstream dependencies or 2nd-order bottlenecks.

Key Question #1: Can NE sustain or expand its 12.6% operating margin and 5.4% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.29B and free cash flow of $803.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.98B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is NE's 32.6x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.87x)?

NE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Noble Corporation plc A (NE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NE Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago

Noble Corporation (NE) Q3 earnings: what to expect

Yahoo Finance report covering Noble Corporation plc A (NE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST SeekingAlpha • 5h ago

Noble Corporation: Strong Prospects Reflected In Premium Valuation

Noble Corporation Q3 results were mixed, but 2027 growth looks stronger as high-margin contracts begin.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 11h ago

NE Q3 deep dive: contract delays and offshore market shifts drive margin dynamics

Offshore drilling contractor Noble Corporation (NYSE:NE) beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q3 2026, but sales fell by 8.7% year on year to $728.8 million. Its non-GAAP loss of $0.57 per share was significantly b

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 20h ago

Can SDRL's Raised 2026 Guidance Drive Stronger Free Cash Flow Ahead?

Seadrill raised 2026 revenue and EBITDA guidance, higher dayrates and $2.9B backlog signal stronger cash flow ahead, though rising costs pose challenges.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 20h ago

SDRL Jumps 14.8% in One Month as Deepwater Market Outlook Improves

Seadrill shares rose 14.8% in a month as higher dayrates, strong utilization and a $2.9B backlog boost prospects, but premium valuation raises caution.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 3d ago

The 5 most interesting analyst questions from Noble Corporation’s Q3 earnings call

Noble Corporation’s third quarter was marked by a negative market reaction, reflecting investor concerns over both execution and profitability. Despite outperforming revenue expectations, the company posted a significant

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Benzinga • 4d ago

Citigroup Maintains Neutral on Noble Corp, Raises Price Target to $52

Citigroup analyst Scott Gruber maintains Noble Corp (NYSE:NE) with a Neutral and raises the price target from $50 to $52.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 5d ago

Here’s Why Noble’s CEO Says Higher Oil Prices Haven’t Sparked More Drilling

Oil prices have surged more than 85% this year, yet Noble's CEO says offshore drilling demand has barely budged. His explanation reveals a surprising disconnect between commodity prices and the decisions of the world's b

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $45.46?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $64.19 (+31.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, Insider Conviction scores 15/20, the highest pillar, and the Forensic Balance Sheet supports a Piotroski F-Score of

Don't sleep on NE's setup in Energy. Per the RQD rating, Insider Conviction scores 15/20, the highest pillar, and the Forensic Balance Sheet supports a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 with Debt/Equity of 0.43.. Beta of 0.87 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (69/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 14/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $49.00 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Energy.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $37.24 (-24.0%)

Spot @ $49.00

Per the market data, a trailing P/E of 35 and ROIC of 5.4% leave the valuation resting heavily on a 10.61% FCF yield while net income d

Fading this rally in NE at $49.00. Per the market data, a trailing P/E of 35 and ROIC of 5.4% leave the valuation resting heavily on a 10.61% FCF yield while net income declined from $481.9M to $216.7M.. With a beta of 0.87 and the stock sitting at $49.00 (52-wk range $27.67–$54.98), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.