U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10.4% Move

$10.51 -1.87% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.45

U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $177.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is USAU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, U.S. Gold Corp. (NASDAQ: USAU) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $10.51 (-1.87% 1D, market cap $177.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, USAU ranks #253 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does USAU compare to REA and GMTL in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), USAU carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -28.5%. By comparison, REA (Rare Earths Americas Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $163.3M) and GMTL (Guardian Metal Resources PLC ADS) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $210.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, USAU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while USAU leads on capital efficiency (-28.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USAU?
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Per USAU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0000027093), U.S. Gold Corp. generated $53.2M in revenue (+46.1% YoY), -$17.2M in net income, and -$18.2M in free cash flow against $54.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.45 (-0.53%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510026
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (4)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.4% Base Target
$25 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE USAU RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for USAU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY USAU SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (38% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
34
Grade E$13.32-15.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
31
Grade E$11.24-0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$11.22-6.3% Next Q
Current
26
Grade E$10.51-10.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (34) → E (26)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a USAU Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While USAU currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.01) and Max Pain ($11.04) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.94.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $USAU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “USAU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 28, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 28, 2027 (~86 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10.4% Swing Band

±$1.09 Expected Swing
$9.42 (-10.4%)Spot $10.51$11.60 (+10.4%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

USAU Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 26/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (26/100)Model Risk Weight (74/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-04-30$53.2M-$17.2M-$18.2M52%
FY 20242025-04-30$36.4M-$20.6M-$9.9M52%
FY 20232024-04-30$20.3M-$6.9M-$7.1M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring USAU)

  • ✓Walkthrough of USAU's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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USAU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.11%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $11.40H $11.40L $10.51C $10.51VOL 159.8K
RES: $16.67SUP: $10.27SMA50: $14.01SMA200: $15.59
$18.79$16.52$14.26$12.00$9.74RES $16.67SUP $10.27$10.512026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

USAU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on USAU today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for USAU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for USAU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (USAU)

Materials Rank #253 of 270 ⚔️ REA vs USAU Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (USAU vs. REA, GMTL, NICM, LZM)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) ranks #253 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #213 by equity capitalization ($177.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, USAU leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while USAU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -28.5% ROIC and — gross margin. LZM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with USAU at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
USAU ACTIVE
U.S. Gold Corp.
E 26/100 — — -28.5% -1.87% $177.0M Benchmark Subject
REA
Rare Earths Americas Inc.
D- 42/100 — — — -2.76% $163.3M /rea-vs-usau →
GMTL
Guardian Metal Resources PLC ADS
D 45/100 — — — -6.41% $210.7M /gmtl-vs-usau →
NICM
Nicola Mining Inc.
D 46/100 — — — +2.00% $99.1M /nicm-vs-usau →
LZM
Lifezone Metals Limited
D 49/100 — — — +1.31% $343.5M /lzm-vs-usau →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-04-30 • CIK 0000027093

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30), U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) reported GAAP revenue of $53.2M (+46.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $36.4M , and +161.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$17.2M, operating cash flow of -$18.2M, and free cash flow of -$18.2M (-84.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, USAU closed FY2025 with $54.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-04-30 $53.2M -$17.2M -$18.2M -$18.2M $54.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-04-30 $36.4M -$20.6M -$9.9M -$9.9M $26.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-04-30 $20.3M -$6.9M -$7.1M -$7.1M — —

3. USAU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is USAU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, U.S. Gold Corp. (NASDAQ: USAU) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $10.51 (-1.87% 1D, market cap $177.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, USAU ranks #253 in composite RQD confidence.

How does USAU compare to REA and GMTL in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), USAU carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -28.5%. By comparison, REA (Rare Earths Americas Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $163.3M) and GMTL (Guardian Metal Resources PLC ADS) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $210.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, USAU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while USAU leads on capital efficiency (-28.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USAU?

Per USAU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0000027093), U.S. Gold Corp. generated $53.2M in revenue (+46.1% YoY), -$17.2M in net income, and -$18.2M in free cash flow against $54.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is USAU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

USAU last traded at $10.51 (-1.87% on volume of 135,563 shares), positioning the stock -24.98% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.01) and -32.58% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.59). Across its 52-week range of $10.44 to $23.75, USAU sits at the 0.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.4% ($9.42 to $11.60).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 26/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

USAU — U.S. Gold Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:41:35Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

USAU scores 26 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 (ROIC -28.5%; FCF yield -9.67%), Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 6/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The weakest pillars are the cash engine and the smart-money signals, both of which carry the most weight in a long-horizon evaluation. A negative ROIC and negative FCF yield indicate the company is not currently converting capital into cash returns, so any upside case depends on future value that the present data does not quantify. The mid-range Forensic Balance Sheet score is the one area that partially offsets the weakness, but a Piotroski F of 2/9 is a low reading. This analysis is educational and not personalized financial advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Materials sector, operating in the Metal Mining industry..2B. — describes its products, customers, or revenue model. The SEC financials report — revenue in each of FY 2023, FY 2024, and FY 2025, so the reported figures show no revenue recognized in these periods.

Operating income and net income were negative in every reported period. Gross, operating, and net margins are each listed as 0% in market data, consistent with the absence of reported revenue. ROIC is -28.5% and the Altman Z-Score is 2.5. The Piotroski F-Score is 2/9 and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.5 per the same rating. Cash and debt balances are listed as N/A for each period in the SEC financials.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Balance sheet metrics (Altman Z 2.5, Debt/Equity 0.5) are the strongest pillar at 10/20, indicating the company is not in acute distress on those measures. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 (ROIC -28.5%, FCF yield -9.67%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $10.44 – $23.75 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: The company reports $0.0M revenue with negative operating income in every period and an ROIC of -28.5%, while a debt-funded $400M build is in financing talks. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the provided source data. A prospective investor should note that the proposed $400M debt-funded build, if it proceeds, would introduce leverage into a company whose reported cash flows are negative; the sensitivity of that financing to metal prices or capital markets is not quantified in the source data. Beta of 1.0 per market data indicates market-level sensitivity, but sector-specific ripple effects are not captured.

  • Key Question #1: What are the company's cash and debt balances, since these fields are listed as N/A across all reported periods?
  • Key Question #2: What is the status and funding structure of the proposed $400M CK Gold build, and what debt terms are under discussion?
  • Key Question #3: What is the nature of the Terminal1 platform relationship, and does it carry any financial commitment?

USAU Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to USAU Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

USAU Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.51?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON USAU 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on USAU:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.03 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Balance sheet metrics (Altman Z 2.5, Debt/Equity 0.5) are the strongest pillar at 10/20, indicating the company is not in acute distres

Don't sleep on USAU's setup in Materials. Balance sheet metrics (Altman Z 2.5, Debt/Equity 0.5) are the strongest pillar at 10/20, indicating the company is not in acute distress on those measures.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (26/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Metal Mining. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.10 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $10.71

The company reports $0.0M revenue with negative operating income in every period and an ROIC of -28.5%, while a debt-funded $400M build

Fading this rally in USAU at $10.71. The company reports $0.0M revenue with negative operating income in every period and an ROIC of -28.5%, while a debt-funded $400M build is in financing talks.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $10.71 (52-wk range $10.44–$23.75), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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