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Stock Ratings / Materials / USAU
REA (42) GMTL (45) NICM (46) LZM (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$10.51 -1.87% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.45

U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $177.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on USAU Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is USAU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, U.S. Gold Corp. (NASDAQ: USAU) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $10.51 (-1.87% 1D, market cap $177.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, USAU ranks #253 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does USAU compare to REA and GMTL in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), USAU carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -28.5%. By comparison, REA (Rare Earths Americas Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $163.3M) and GMTL (Guardian Metal Resources PLC ADS) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $210.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, USAU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while USAU leads on capital efficiency (-28.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USAU?
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Per USAU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0000027093), U.S. Gold Corp. generated $53.2M in revenue (+46.1% YoY), -$17.2M in net income, and -$18.2M in free cash flow against $54.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.45 (-0.53%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510026
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (4)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.4% Base Target
$25 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE USAU RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for USAU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY USAU SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (38% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
34
Grade E$13.32-15.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
31
Grade E$11.24-0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$11.22-6.3% Next Q
Current
26
Grade E$10.51-10.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (34) → E (26)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a USAU Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While USAU currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.01) and Max Pain ($11.04) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.94.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $USAU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “USAU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 28, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 26%NO 74%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
33.530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
2 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $10$10.51H: $24
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 4 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on USAU

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (20)

-28.5% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -9.67% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (20)

6/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like USAU
  • ✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring USAU)

  • ✓Walkthrough of USAU's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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USAU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.11%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $11.40H $11.40L $10.51C $10.51VOL 159.8K
RES: $16.67SUP: $10.27SMA50: $14.01SMA200: $15.59
$18.79$16.52$14.26$12.00$9.74RES $16.67SUP $10.27$10.512026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

USAU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 USAU Butterfly Map → + Track USAU →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +46.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on USAU today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for USAU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for USAU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (USAU)

Materials Rank #253 of 270 ⚔️ REA vs USAU Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (USAU vs. REA, GMTL, NICM, LZM)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) ranks #253 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #213 by equity capitalization ($177.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, USAU leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while USAU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -28.5% ROIC and — gross margin. LZM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with USAU at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
USAU ACTIVE
U.S. Gold Corp.
E 26/100 — — -28.5% -1.87% $177.0M Benchmark Subject
REA
Rare Earths Americas Inc.
D- 42/100 — — — -2.76% $163.3M /rea-vs-usau →
GMTL
Guardian Metal Resources PLC ADS
D 45/100 — — — -6.41% $210.7M /gmtl-vs-usau →
NICM
Nicola Mining Inc.
D 46/100 — — — +2.00% $99.1M /nicm-vs-usau →
LZM
Lifezone Metals Limited
D 49/100 — — — +1.31% $343.5M /lzm-vs-usau →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-04-30 • CIK 0000027093 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30), U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) reported GAAP revenue of $53.2M (+46.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $36.4M , and +161.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$17.2M, operating cash flow of -$18.2M, and free cash flow of -$18.2M (-84.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, USAU closed FY2025 with $54.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-04-30 $53.2M -$17.2M -$18.2M -$18.2M $54.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-04-30 $36.4M -$20.6M -$9.9M -$9.9M $26.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-04-30 $20.3M -$6.9M -$7.1M -$7.1M — —

3. USAU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is USAU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, U.S. Gold Corp. (NASDAQ: USAU) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $10.51 (-1.87% 1D, market cap $177.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, USAU ranks #253 in composite RQD confidence.

How does USAU compare to REA and GMTL in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), USAU carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -28.5%. By comparison, REA (Rare Earths Americas Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $163.3M) and GMTL (Guardian Metal Resources PLC ADS) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $210.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, USAU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while USAU leads on capital efficiency (-28.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USAU?

Per USAU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0000027093), U.S. Gold Corp. generated $53.2M in revenue (+46.1% YoY), -$17.2M in net income, and -$18.2M in free cash flow against $54.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is USAU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

USAU last traded at $10.51 (-1.87% on volume of 135,563 shares), positioning the stock -24.98% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.01) and -32.58% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.59). Across its 52-week range of $10.44 to $23.75, USAU sits at the 0.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.4% ($9.42 to $11.60).

Direct Sub-Reports: USAU RQD Cockpit USAU 12M Forecast USAU Earnings & Move USAU Dividends & DRIP USAU Insiders & 13F USAU Whale Options USAU Profit Sankey USAU News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 26/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

USAU — U.S. Gold Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-04-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 26/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $10.51 (-1.87% 1D, market capitalization $177.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -28.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -9.67%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Materials sector, operating in the Metal Mining industry..2B. — describes its products, customers, or revenue model. The SEC financials report — revenue in each of FY 2023, FY 2024, and FY 2025, so the reported figures show no revenue recognized in these periods.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-04-30), U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) reported $53.2M in annual revenue (up from $36.4M in FY2024, +46.1% YoY) and -$17.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($20.3M revenue, -$6.9M net income) through FY2025, USAU scaled operating cash flow to -$18.2M and free cash flow to -$18.2M, backed by $54.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 26/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -9.67% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $10.44 – $23.75 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the provided source data. A prospective investor should note that the proposed $400M debt-funded build, if it proceeds, would introduce leverage into a company whose reported cash flows are negative; the sensitivity of that financing to metal prices or capital markets is not quantified in the source data. Beta of 1.0 per market data indicates market-level sensitivity, but sector-specific ripple effects are not captured.

  • Key Question #1: Can USAU sustain or expand its — operating margin and -28.5% ROIC against Metal Mining peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $53.2M and free cash flow of -$18.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is USAU's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

USAU Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to USAU Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

USAU Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.51?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON USAU 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on USAU:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.03 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Balance sheet metrics (Altman Z 2.5, Debt/Equity 0.5) are the strongest pillar at 10/20, indicating the company is not in acute distres

Don't sleep on USAU's setup in Materials. Balance sheet metrics (Altman Z 2.5, Debt/Equity 0.5) are the strongest pillar at 10/20, indicating the company is not in acute distress on those measures.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (26/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Metal Mining. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.10 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $10.71

The company reports $0.0M revenue with negative operating income in every period and an ROIC of -28.5%, while a debt-funded $400M build

Fading this rally in USAU at $10.71. The company reports $0.0M revenue with negative operating income in every period and an ROIC of -28.5%, while a debt-funded $400M build is in financing talks.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $10.71 (52-wk range $10.44–$23.75), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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