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Why UI Stock dropped -4.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$540.08 -4.21% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $534.96

Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $34.11B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is UI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Ubiquiti Inc. (NYSE: UI) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $540.08 (-4.21% 1D, market cap $34.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, UI ranks #192 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does UI compare to ERIC and NOK in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), UI carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 51.6x, gross margin of 43.4%, and ROIC of 22.5%. By comparison, ERIC (Ericsson) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $37.69B) and NOK (Nokia Corporation Sponsored) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $49.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ERIC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while QCOM leads on capital efficiency (34.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UI?
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Per UI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001511737), Ubiquiti Inc. generated $2.57B in revenue (+33.4% YoY), $711.9M in net income, and $627.4M in free cash flow against $1.61B in total assets and $266.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (43.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $534.95 (-0.95%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 24.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Cash (15)Whales (5)SEC (18)Macro (10)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$1155 Bull$547 Base$427 Bear
📬 FREE UI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY UI SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 24.4% FCF Margin ($627.4M FCF) & 43.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
69
Grade B-$605.51+0.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$609.35-1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$602.71-10.4% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$540.08+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the UI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, UI faces multiple-compression risk if 51.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($590.92) or 200D SMA ($662.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($547.37) toward Bear Floor ($426.95).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UI• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “UI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why UI Stock dropped -4.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) dropped -4.21% to $540.08, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($500.23 – $1099.99). Solid 43.4% gross margin (23% return on capital), mixed timing at 52x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($500.23 – $1099.99) with RSI-14 at 42.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8% around $540.08 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 43.4% gross margin and $627.4M annual free cash flow.
Live UI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREQuiver Quantitative • 1d ago
Ubiquiti Inc. ($UI) CEO 2026 Pay Revealed

Quiver Quantitative report covering Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (UI Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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UI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -46.21%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $606.7H $606.7L $540.1C $540.1VOL 68.5K
RES: $686.6SUP: $485.5SMA50: $590.9SMA200: $662.5
$1,069.6$915.3$761.0$606.7$452.3RES $686.6SUP $485.5$540.12026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

UI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
37.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +33.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UI)

Technology Rank #192 of 715 ⚔️ ERIC vs UI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (UI vs. ERIC, NOK, MSI, QCOM)

Industry: Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) ranks #192 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #79 by equity capitalization ($34.11B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ERIC leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while QCOM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 34.3% ROIC and 55.4% gross margin. MSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with UI at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
UI ACTIVE
Ubiquiti Inc.
C- 61/100 51.6x 43.4% 22.5% -4.21% $34.11B Benchmark Subject
ERIC
Ericsson
C+ 69/100 21.7x — 14.9% -0.89% $37.69B /eric-vs-ui →
NOK
Nokia Corporation Sponsored
D+ 58/100 21.7x — 14.9% -3.04% $49.15B /nok-vs-ui →
MSI
Motorola Solutions Inc.
B 75/100 37.8x 51.7% 24.4% -0.86% $81.35B /msi-vs-ui →
QCOM
QUALCOMM Incorporated
B 74/100 35.1x 55.4% 34.3% -1.64% $173.07B /qcom-vs-ui →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001511737 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) reported GAAP revenue of $2.57B (+33.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.93B , and +32.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $711.9M, operating cash flow of $640.0M, and free cash flow of $627.4M (+18.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, UI closed FY2025 with $1.61B in total assets against $266.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $2.57B $711.9M $640.0M $627.4M $1.61B $266.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $1.93B $350.0M $541.5M $529.5M $1.18B $381.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $1.94B $407.6M -$145.4M -$232.8M $20.19B $4.72B

3. UI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is UI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ubiquiti Inc. (NYSE: UI) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $540.08 (-4.21% 1D, market cap $34.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, UI ranks #192 in composite RQD confidence.

How does UI compare to ERIC and NOK in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), UI carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 51.6x, gross margin of 43.4%, and ROIC of 22.5%. By comparison, ERIC (Ericsson) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $37.69B) and NOK (Nokia Corporation Sponsored) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $49.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ERIC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while QCOM leads on capital efficiency (34.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UI?

Per UI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001511737), Ubiquiti Inc. generated $2.57B in revenue (+33.4% YoY), $711.9M in net income, and $627.4M in free cash flow against $1.61B in total assets and $266.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (43.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is UI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

UI last traded at $540.08 (-4.21% on volume of 98,275 shares), positioning the stock -8.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($590.92) and -18.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($662.49). Across its 52-week range of $500.23 to $1,099.99, UI sits at the 6.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($496.87 to $583.29).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

UI — Ubiquiti Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 61/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $540.08 (-4.21% 1D, market capitalization $34.11B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 22.5%, gross margin of 43.4%, operating margin of 32.5%, and free cash flow yield of 1.71%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.28x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 26.00, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.25x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Technology sector, within the Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment industry,. — for detailed product lines, customer segments, or revenue mix. Per the market data, the company reports gross margin of 43.4%, operating margin of 32.5%, and net margin of 27.7%, indicating the business generates substantial profit relative to revenue.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) reported $2.57B in annual revenue (up from $1.93B in FY2024, +33.4% YoY) and $711.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.94B revenue, $407.6M net income) through FY2025, UI scaled operating cash flow to $640.0M and free cash flow to $627.4M, backed by $1.61B in total assets against $266.7M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 61/100): Strong cash generator (43.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $500.23 – $1,099.99 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 51.6x trailing P/E and 43.3x EV/EBITDA against 32.5% operating margins and a 1.28x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Investors should note that the Simply Wall St headline references falling alongside sector peers, which suggests sector-level pressure, but the magnitude and mechanism are not quantified in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can UI sustain or expand its 32.5% operating margin and 22.5% ROIC against Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.57B and free cash flow of $627.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $266.7M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is UI's 43.3x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.28x)?

UI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to UI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

UI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $540.08?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON UI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on UI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $659.66 (+17.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet is strong (Altman Z 26, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.25) with ROIC of 22.5% and net margin of 27.7%.

The street is overcomplicating Ubiquiti Inc. (UI). Forensic balance sheet is strong (Altman Z 26, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.25) with ROIC of 22.5% and net margin of 27.7%.. With an RQD score of 61/100 (C-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $608.91.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — UI's 18/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $434.13 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $563.81

A P/E TTM of 51.6 and FCF yield of 1.71% leave little valuation cushion, with beta of 1.28 amplifying downside.

A P/E TTM of 51.6 and FCF yield of 1.71% leave little valuation cushion, with beta of 1.28 amplifying downside.. Look at the math on UI: paying 51.6x trailing P/E for 22.5% ROIC and 32.5% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $496.15 before getting long.

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