Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8% Move

$563.81 -7.07% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $555.56

Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $34.11B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is UI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Ubiquiti Inc. (NYSE: UI) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $563.81 (-7.07% 1D, market cap $34.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, UI ranks #191 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does UI compare to ERIC and NOK in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), UI carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 51.6x, gross margin of 43.4%, and ROIC of 22.5%. By comparison, ERIC (Ericsson) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $37.69B) and NOK (Nokia Corporation Sponsored) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $49.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ERIC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while QCOM leads on capital efficiency (34.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UI?
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Per UI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001511737), Ubiquiti Inc. generated $2.57B in revenue (+33.4% YoY), $711.9M in net income, and $627.4M in free cash flow against $1.61B in total assets and $266.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (43% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $555.58 (-1.46%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 24.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Cash (15)Whales (5)SEC (18)Macro (10)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$1155 Bull$571 Base$446 Bear
📬 FREE UI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY UI SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 24.4% FCF Margin ($627.4M FCF) & 43.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
69
Grade B-$605.51+0.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$609.35-1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$602.71-6.5% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$563.81+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the UI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, UI faces multiple-compression risk if 51.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($590.92) or 200D SMA ($662.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($571.42) toward Bear Floor ($445.71).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UI• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “UI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 28, 2026 (~55 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8% Swing Band

±$45.10 Expected Swing
$518.71 (-8%)Spot $563.81$608.91 (+8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

UI Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 61/100

Trailing EPS: $11.77 • YoY Revenue Growth: 33.4%

Model Bullish Setup (61/100)Model Risk Weight (39/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-06-30$2.57B$711.9M$627.4M43.4%
FY 20242024-06-30$1.93B$350.0M$529.5M38.4%
FY 20232023-06-30$1.94B$407.6M-$232.8M43.4%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating UI & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on UI
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
UI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.85%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $606.7H $606.7L $563.8C $563.8VOL 68.5K
RES: $686.6SUP: $485.5SMA50: $590.9SMA200: $662.5
$1,069.6$915.3$761.0$606.7$452.3RES $686.6SUP $485.5$563.82026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

UI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
37.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +33.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UI)

Technology Rank #191 of 714 ⚔️ ERIC vs UI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (UI vs. ERIC, NOK, MSI, QCOM)

Industry: Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) ranks #191 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #78 by equity capitalization ($34.11B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ERIC leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while QCOM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 34.3% ROIC and 55.4% gross margin. MSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with UI at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
UI ACTIVE
Ubiquiti Inc.
C- 61/100 51.6x 43.4% 22.5% -7.07% $34.11B Benchmark Subject
ERIC
Ericsson
C+ 69/100 21.7x — 14.9% +0.36% $37.69B /eric-vs-ui →
NOK
Nokia Corporation Sponsored
D+ 58/100 21.7x — 14.9% -8.06% $49.15B /nok-vs-ui →
MSI
Motorola Solutions Inc.
B 75/100 37.8x 51.7% 24.4% -0.11% $81.35B /msi-vs-ui →
QCOM
QUALCOMM Incorporated
B 74/100 35.1x 55.4% 34.3% -11.12% $173.07B /qcom-vs-ui →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001511737

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) reported GAAP revenue of $2.57B (+33.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.93B , and +32.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $711.9M, operating cash flow of $640.0M, and free cash flow of $627.4M (+18.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, UI closed FY2025 with $1.61B in total assets against $266.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $2.57B $711.9M $640.0M $627.4M $1.61B $266.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $1.93B $350.0M $541.5M $529.5M $1.18B $381.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $1.94B $407.6M -$145.4M -$232.8M $20.19B $4.72B

3. UI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is UI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ubiquiti Inc. (NYSE: UI) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $563.81 (-7.07% 1D, market cap $34.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, UI ranks #191 in composite RQD confidence.

How does UI compare to ERIC and NOK in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), UI carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 51.6x, gross margin of 43.4%, and ROIC of 22.5%. By comparison, ERIC (Ericsson) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $37.69B) and NOK (Nokia Corporation Sponsored) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $49.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ERIC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while QCOM leads on capital efficiency (34.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UI?

Per UI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001511737), Ubiquiti Inc. generated $2.57B in revenue (+33.4% YoY), $711.9M in net income, and $627.4M in free cash flow against $1.61B in total assets and $266.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (43% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is UI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

UI last traded at $563.81 (-7.07% on volume of 68,459 shares), positioning the stock -4.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($590.92) and -14.90% below its 200-day simple moving average ($662.49). Across its 52-week range of $500.23 to $1,099.99, UI sits at the 10.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($518.71 to $608.91).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

UI — Ubiquiti Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:11:55Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, UI scores 63 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars break down as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 15 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of 22.5% and an FCF yield of 1.71%. The high return on invested capital supports the business case, while the low FCF yield indicates the market is pricing the stock at a rich multiple of current free cash flow.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. The rating describes institutional accumulation and options positioning as a weak point. For a prospective investor, this means institutional buying is not a strong tailwind in the current data.
  • Insider Conviction: 13 / 20. Per the rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is moderately supportive, though not decisive.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. The rating cites a beta of 1.28 and sector sensitivity. A beta above 1.0 implies the stock has historically moved more than the broader market, so drawdowns in risk-off environments could be amplified.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. The strongest pillar, citing Altman Z of 26, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.25. This indicates a low-distress balance sheet.

Taken together, the investor implication is a trade-off: strong operating economics and balance sheet quality are offset by a premium valuation (P/E TTM of 51.6) and weak institutional flow. The upside case depends on sustained earnings growth to justify the multiple; the valuation tradeoff is that limited FCF yield leaves less margin of safety if growth slows. The rating's "Hold" verdict reflects this balanced risk-reward rather than a directional call.

Business

Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Technology sector, within the Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment industry,

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six headlines relate to UI:

  • StockInvest.us forecast piece asking whether to buy UI (YELLOW, Market Wire).
  • GuruFocus item noting the stock is down 7.1% and rated overvalued with a GF Score of 92/100 (YELLOW, Market Wire).
  • Benzinga 10-year return piece (YELLOW, Market Wire).
  • Simply Wall St item on the stock falling with sector peers and whether it is fully valued (RED, Risk Watch).
  • MarketBeat item on Bright Rock Capital Management purchasing 6,000 shares (YELLOW, Market Wire).
  • Quiver Quantitative item on CEO 2026 pay (YELLOW, Market Wire).

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded (supply_chain: NONE). The only Risk Watch flag is the Simply Wall St valuation/sector-decline item; the remaining headlines are market-wire commentary without a discrete catalyst.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph records no upstream or downstream dependencies, no butterfly links, and no sector-correlation data. Investors should note that the Simply Wall St headline references falling alongside sector peers, which suggests sector-level pressure, but the magnitude and mechanism are not quantified in the source data.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

The only related item is the MarketBeat headline on Bright Rock Capital Management purchasing 6,000 shares, but no holdings detail is provided.

Open Questions

  • What drove the FY 2023 debt level of $4.72B, and how was it reduced to $266.7M by FY 2025?
  • Why is EPS reported as N/A across all periods despite reported net income?
  • What is the composition of revenue by product line and customer segment?
  • Which upstream suppliers and downstream customers create concentration risk, given the Butterfly graph is empty?
  • What is the analyst consensus and price target distribution, and how do institutional holders' positions compare to the 13F flow pillar score of 7/20?

UI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to UI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

UI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $563.81?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON UI 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on UI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $655.25 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is UI (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $606.71?

Welcome to the UI (Ubiquiti Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment. Bulls point to capital efficiency (22.5% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (51.6x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $509.64 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $606.71

Pump the brakes on UI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on UI, but look at what you are paying: 51.6x trailing P/E with 43.4% gross margins. Unless Ubiquiti Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $721.98 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $606.71

UI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on UI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $606.71 (52-wk range $500.23 - $1099.99), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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