Yahoo Finance report covering Twilio Inc. (TWLO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why TWLO Stock dropped -15.24% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Twilio Inc. (TWLO) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is TWLO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-03, Twilio Inc. (NYSE: TWLO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $205.03 (-15.24% 1D, market cap $31.49B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TWLO ranks #192 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does TWLO compare to RBLX and CRWV in the Technology sector?
▼
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), TWLO carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 48.9%, and ROIC of 1.6%. By comparison, RBLX (Roblox Corporation) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.5%, cap $30.77B) and CRWV (CoreWeave Inc.) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $30.26B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TWLO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TWLO leads on capital efficiency (1.6% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TWLO?
▼
Per TWLO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001447669), Twilio Inc. generated $5.07B in revenue (+13.7% YoY), $34.0M in net income, and $775.2M in free cash flow against $9.77B in total assets and $877.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 11.14 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9
FRED Regime × Technicals: 49% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 10 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TWLO Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, TWLO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 46.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($256.96) or 200D SMA ($190.41) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($207.80) toward Bear Floor ($162.08).
Why TWLO Stock dropped -15.24% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Twilio Inc. (TWLO) dropped -15.24% to $205.03, trading at 49% of its 52-week range ($105 – $308.4). Solid 49% profit margin (2% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 49% of its 52-week range ($105 – $308.4) with RSI-14 at 36.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $205.03 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 48.9% gross margin and $775.2M annual free cash flow.
The Motley Fool report covering Twilio Inc. (TWLO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investor's Business Daily report covering Twilio Inc. (TWLO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Twilio Inc. (TWLO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Twilio Inc. (TWLO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Twilio Inc. (TWLO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Twilio Inc. (TWLO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Twilio Inc. (TWLO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Twilio raises its 2026 outlook after strong Q3 earnings, fueled by accelerating Voice AI adoption, enterprise demand and operating gains despite margin pressure.
Twilio (NYSE:TWLO) has outperformed the market over the past 10 years by 7.06% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 20.56%. Currently, Twilio has a market capitalization of $31.12 billion.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TWLO Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
TWLO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +13.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TWLO today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TWLO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TWLO)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TWLO vs. RBLX, CRWV, MDB, TTWO)
Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Twilio Inc. (TWLO) ranks #192 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #82 by equity capitalization ($31.49B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TWLO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TWLO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.6% ROIC and 48.9% gross margin. TWLO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 61/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TWLO
ACTIVE
Twilio Inc. | C- | 61/100 | — | 48.9% | 1.6% | -15.24% | $31.49B | Benchmark Subject |
| RBLX Roblox Corporation | D- | 37/100 | — | 78.1% | -32.5% | -18.05% | $30.77B | /rblx-vs-twlo → |
| CRWV CoreWeave Inc. | E | 24/100 | — | 71.7% | -0.2% | -9.66% | $30.26B | /crwv-vs-twlo → |
| MDB MongoDB Inc. | C- | 59/100 | — | 71.7% | -4.4% | -8.31% | $28.43B | /mdb-vs-twlo → |
| TTWO Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. | D | 48/100 | — | 57.2% | -2.2% | -1.66% | $35.56B | /ttwo-vs-twlo → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001447669In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Twilio Inc. (TWLO) reported GAAP revenue of $5.07B (+13.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.46B , and +22.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $34.0M, operating cash flow of $1.00B, and free cash flow of $775.2M (+50.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, TWLO closed FY2025 with $9.77B in total assets against $877.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 11.14, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $5.07B | $34.0M | $1.00B | $775.2M | $9.77B | $877.2M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.46B | -$109.0M | $716.2M | $515.6M | $9.87B | $860.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $4.15B | -$1.01B | $414.8M | $227.8M | $20.43B | $4.78B |
3. TWLO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TWLO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Twilio Inc. (NYSE: TWLO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $205.03 (-15.24% 1D, market cap $31.49B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TWLO ranks #192 in composite RQD confidence.
How does TWLO compare to RBLX and CRWV in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), TWLO carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 48.9%, and ROIC of 1.6%. By comparison, RBLX (Roblox Corporation) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.5%, cap $30.77B) and CRWV (CoreWeave Inc.) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $30.26B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TWLO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TWLO leads on capital efficiency (1.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TWLO?
Per TWLO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001447669), Twilio Inc. generated $5.07B in revenue (+13.7% YoY), $34.0M in net income, and $775.2M in free cash flow against $9.77B in total assets and $877.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TWLO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TWLO last traded at $205.03 (-15.24% on volume of 7,345,430 shares), positioning the stock -20.21% below its 50-day simple moving average ($256.96) and +7.68% above its 200-day simple moving average ($190.41). Across its 52-week range of $105.00 to $308.40, TWLO sits at the 49.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($179.40 to $230.66).
TWLO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is TWLO stock moving today?
Why TWLO Stock dropped -15.24% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 49% profit margin (2% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
TWLO — Twilio Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, TWLO scores 64 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. The pillar is anchored by ROIC of 1.6% and a FCF yield of 2.09%. Per the market data, these returns are thin, which limits upside from the cash-generation side and means the valuation rests more heavily on future growth than on present returns.
- Whale 13F Flow: 13 / 20. The rating describes institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data does not provide the underlying 13F holder figures, so the score is best read as a positive but not decisive signal.
- Insider Conviction: 10 / 20. The rating references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The source data does not itemize these transactions, so the score reflects moderate rather than strong insider-level confidence.
- Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the market data, beta is 1.16, meaning the stock has been more volatile than the broader market. Investors should expect amplified moves in both directions during market swings.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. This is the strongest pillar, supported by Altman Z 11.14, Piotroski F 9/9, and Debt/Equity 0.1. Per the RQD rating, the balance sheet is a clear source of resilience.
Taken together, the investor implication is a trade-off. The balance sheet provides downside cushion, while the valuation is demanding: EV/EBITDA of 95 and a 3.1% operating margin mean that earnings expansion, not current profitability, is what must justify the price. The stock fell 4.68% on the reporting day per the market data, and it trades in a 52-week range of $105 – $308.4, a wide band that reflects significant sentiment swings.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $5067.2M | $157.8M | $34.0M | N/A | $775.2M | $682.3M | $877.2M |
| FY 2024 | $4458.0M | $-53.7M | $-109.0M | N/A | $515.6M | $421.3M | $860.6M |
| FY 2023 | $4153.9M | $-876.5M | $-1015.0M | N/A | $227.8M | N/A | $4781.2M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $4153.9M in FY 2023 to $5067.2M in FY 2025, and the company moved from an operating loss in FY 2024 to a positive operating income of $157.8M in FY 2025. Per the market data, net margin is 0.7% and operating margin is 3.1%, and ROIC is 1.6%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 11.14 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.1. Debt has fallen from $4781.2M in FY 2023 to $877.2M in FY 2025 while cash rose to $682.3M.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
- Earnings reaction (CATALYST, GREEN): An IBD headline reports that earnings topped estimates, while shares fell on slowing organic growth.
- Large-cap index status (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance piece addresses the stock's new big-cap index status.
- Underperformance (RISK WATCH, RED): A Yahoo Finance piece reports the stock suffered a larger drop than the general market.
- General market wire (YELLOW): Multiple Yahoo Finance, Motley Fool, and related wire items cover price moves and institutional positioning without additional quantified detail.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What are Twilio's product lines, customer mix, and revenue model? The source data does not describe the business beyond its industry classification.
- What is the forward earnings outlook? Forward P/E and EPS are not provided, so the valuation cannot be tested against expected earnings.
- What drove the organic-growth slowdown referenced in the earnings coverage, and is it expected to continue?
- Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what are the sizes and timing of their positions? Holder data is absent.
- How does the 95x EV/EBITDA compare with peers and with the company's own history? No comparables are provided.
TWLO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Twilio Inc. (TWLO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Twilio Inc. (TWLO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering Twilio Inc. (TWLO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investor's Business Daily report covering Twilio Inc. (TWLO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Twilio Inc. (TWLO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Twilio Inc. (TWLO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Twilio Inc. (TWLO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Twilio Inc. (TWLO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Twilio Inc. (TWLO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TWLO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $205.03?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TWLO (C • RQD 64/100) a Buy at $241.90?
Welcome to the TWLO (Twilio Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on TWLO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TWLO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 48.9% gross margins. Unless Twilio Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
TWLO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TWLO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $241.90 (52-wk range $105.00 - $308.40), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.