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Stock Ratings / Financials / TROO / options
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TROOPS Inc. (TROO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$2.20 -4.76% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.18

TROOPS Inc. (TROO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $268.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TROO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, TROOPS Inc. (NASDAQ: TROO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $2.20 (-4.76% 1D, market cap $268.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, TROO ranks #926 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TROO compare to BBDC and OBDC in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Diversified Financial Services), TROO carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BBDC (Barings BDC Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 8.9x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $905.7M) and OBDC (Blue Owl Capital Corporation) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $5.12B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OBDC leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while IX leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TROO?
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Per TROO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001412095), TROOPS Inc. generated $17.1M in revenue (+69.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and $807.0K in free cash flow against $69.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.18 (-1.05%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 4.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510039
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (9)SEC (10)Macro (7)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.6% Base Target
$6 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE TROO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TROO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TROO SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$1.67-2.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$1.63+38% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$2.25-2.2% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$2.20-7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (31) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TROO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TROO currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.97) and Max Pain ($2.31) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TROO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TROO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TROO)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for TROO.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TROO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TROO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TROO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -44.72%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $2.31H $2.31L $2.20C $2.20VOL 217.0K
RES: $2.52SUP: $1.51SMA50: $1.97SMA200: $2.66
$4.96$3.89$2.82$1.76$0.69RES $2.52SUP $1.51$2.202026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TROO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TROO Butterfly Map → + Track TROO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +69.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TROO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TROO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TROO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TROO)

Financials Rank #926 of 1097 ⚔️ BBDC vs TROO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TROO vs. BBDC, OBDC, IX, ARDC)

Industry: Diversified Financial Services (4 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TROOPS Inc. (TROO) ranks #926 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #835 by equity capitalization ($268.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OBDC leads on earnings valuation at 8.3x trailing P/E, while IX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. OBDC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with TROO at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TROO ACTIVE
TROOPS Inc.
D- 39/100 — — -35.0% -4.76% $268.8M Benchmark Subject
BBDC
Barings BDC Inc.
C- 61/100 8.9x — 8.8% -0.69% $905.7M /bbdc-vs-troo →
OBDC
Blue Owl Capital Corporation
C 63/100 8.3x — 6.4% -1.05% $5.12B /obdc-vs-troo →
IX
ORIX Corporation
D+ 57/100 32.8x — 9.9% -1.39% $40.13B /ix-vs-troo →
ARDC
Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Inc.
D 46/100 — — — +0.43% $268.6M /ardc-vs-troo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001412095 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TROOPS Inc. (TROO) reported GAAP revenue of $17.1M (+69.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.1M , and +379.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $807.0K, and free cash flow of $807.0K (-58.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, TROO closed FY2025 with $69.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $17.1M $0 $807.0K $807.0K $69.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $10.1M $0 $2.0M $2.0M $79.2M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.6M $0 -$6.5M -$6.5M — —

3. TROO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TROO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, TROOPS Inc. (NASDAQ: TROO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $2.20 (-4.76% 1D, market cap $268.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, TROO ranks #926 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TROO compare to BBDC and OBDC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Diversified Financial Services), TROO carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BBDC (Barings BDC Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 8.9x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $905.7M) and OBDC (Blue Owl Capital Corporation) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $5.12B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OBDC leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while IX leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TROO?

Per TROO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001412095), TROOPS Inc. generated $17.1M in revenue (+69.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and $807.0K in free cash flow against $69.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TROO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TROO last traded at $2.20 (-4.76% on volume of 216,989 shares), positioning the stock +11.68% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.97) and -17.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.66). Across its 52-week range of $1.02 to $5.28, TROO sits at the 27.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.92 to $2.48).

Direct Sub-Reports: TROO RQD Cockpit TROO 12M Forecast TROO Earnings & Move TROO Dividends & DRIP TROO Insiders & 13F TROO Whale Options TROO Profit Sankey TROO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 39/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TROO — TROOPS Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

TROOPS Inc. (TROO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 39/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $2.20 (-4.76% 1D, market capitalization $268.8M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of 0.29%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

TROOPS Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Financials sector and Diversified Financial Services industry. The profile lists a market capitalization of $0.3B. — for further business detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), TROOPS Inc. (TROO) reported $17.1M in annual revenue (up from $10.1M in FY2024, +69.7% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.6M revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, TROO scaled operating cash flow to $807.0K and free cash flow to $807.0K, backed by $69.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 39/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 0.29% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.02 – $5.28 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports supply_chain as "NONE," with empty butterfly_links and proprietary_signals arrays, so no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks can be identified from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can TROO sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Diversified Financial Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $17.1M and free cash flow of $807.0K, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TROO's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TROO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TROOPS Inc. (TROO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TROO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TROO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.20?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TROO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TROO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.60 (+18.2%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $3.6M in FY 2023 to $17.1M in FY 2025 while the RQD rating shows institutional flow support.

Here is why I am bullish on TROO here at $2.20: Revenue grew from $3.6M in FY 2023 to $17.1M in FY 2025 while the RQD rating shows institutional flow support.. Compare TROO's -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against the rest of Diversified Financial Services. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $2.09 are getting bought.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 39/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $2.20 and keeping dry powder in case we test $2.05.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.76 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $2.20

Operating income fell from -$1.8M to -$29.5M over the same period, with ROIC at -35% and FCF yield at 0.29%.

I respect the product at TROOPS Inc., but the stock at $2.20 is a different story. Operating income fell from -$1.8M to -$29.5M over the same period, with ROIC at -35% and FCF yield at 0.29%.. FCF yield is 0.29% and RQD sits at 39/100 (D-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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