Should I buy, hold, or sell OBDC stock right now?

Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 8x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is OBDC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

OBDC's 12-month base price target is $10.8 (range $8.42 to $14.25), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Financials / OBDC

BBDC (61) IX (57) TROO (39) AX (63) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$10.56 +1.64% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.57

Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.12B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OBDC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OBDC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Blue Owl Capital Corporation (NYSE: OBDC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $10.56 (+1.64% 1D, market cap $5.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, OBDC ranks #299 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OBDC compare to BBDC and IX in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Diversified Financial Services), OBDC carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, BBDC (Barings BDC Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 8.9x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $905.7M) and IX (ORIX Corporation) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $40.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OBDC leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while AX leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OBDC?

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Per OBDC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001655888), Blue Owl Capital Corporation generated $2.07B in revenue (+5.5% YoY), $627.4M in net income, and $1.74B in free cash flow against $17.19B in total assets and $4.41B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.57 (+0.11%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 84% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OBDC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OBDC SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 84% FCF Margin ($1.74B FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$10.10-2.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$9.88+2.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$10.14+4.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C$10.56+0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OBDC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, OBDC faces multiple-compression risk if 8.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($10.65) or 200D SMA ($11.12) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.80) toward Bear Floor ($8.42).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OBDC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OBDC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

51.230 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

9 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE20% OF RANGE

L: $10$10.56H: $14

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on OBDC

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (75)

6.4% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 22.00% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 9/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (55)

24/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like OBDC

✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OBDC Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

OBDC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.51%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $10.50H $10.56L $10.39C $10.56VOL 3.69M

RES: $11.98SUP: $9.59SMA50: $10.65SMA200: $11.12

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OBDC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OBDC Butterfly Map → + Track OBDC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

-4.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OBDC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OBDC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OBDC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OBDC)

Financials Rank #299 of 1097 ⚔️ BBDC vs OBDC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (OBDC vs. BBDC, IX, TROO, AX)

Industry: Diversified Financial Services (4 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) ranks #299 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #270 by equity capitalization ($5.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OBDC leads on earnings valuation at 8.3x trailing P/E, while AX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.8% ROIC and — gross margin. OBDC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OBDC ACTIVE Blue Owl Capital Corporation	C	63/100	8.3x	—	6.4%	+1.64%	$5.12B	Benchmark Subject
BBDC Barings BDC Inc.	C-	61/100	8.9x	—	8.8%	+1.62%	$905.7M	/bbdc-vs-obdc →
IX ORIX Corporation	D+	57/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-0.19%	$40.13B	/ix-vs-obdc →
TROO TROOPS Inc.	D-	39/100	—	—	-35.0%	-9.54%	$268.8M	/troo-vs-obdc →
AX Axos Financial Inc.	C	63/100	12.2x	—	14.8%	+4.79%	$5.13B	/ax-vs-obdc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001655888 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) reported GAAP revenue of $2.07B (+5.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.97B , and -20.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $627.4M, operating cash flow of $1.74B, and free cash flow of $1.74B (+987.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, OBDC closed FY2025 with $17.19B in total assets against $4.41B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.07B	$627.4M	$1.74B	$1.74B	$17.19B	$4.41B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.97B	$595.0M	$160.2M	$160.2M	$13.87B	$3.56B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.62B	$793.3M	$1.14B	$1.14B	$2.85B	$666.4M

3. OBDC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OBDC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does OBDC compare to BBDC and IX in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OBDC?

Where is OBDC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OBDC last traded at $10.56 (+1.64% on volume of 5,044,372 shares), positioning the stock -0.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.65) and -5.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.12). Across its 52-week range of $9.81 to $13.57, OBDC sits at the 19.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($10.04 to $11.08).

Direct Sub-Reports: OBDC RQD Cockpit OBDC 12M Forecast OBDC Earnings & Move OBDC Dividends & DRIP OBDC Insiders & 13F OBDC Whale Options OBDC Profit Sankey OBDC News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OBDC — Blue Owl Capital Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $10.56 (+1.64% 1D, market capitalization $5.12B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 52.8%, and free cash flow yield of 22.00%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.06x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating in the Diversified Financial Services industry. — for product lines, customer segments, or revenue model detail. The market data reports a 52.8% operating margin and 43.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) reported $2.07B in annual revenue (up from $1.97B in FY2024, +5.5% YoY) and $627.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.62B revenue, $793.3M net income) through FY2025, OBDC scaled operating cash flow to $1.74B and free cash flow to $1.74B, backed by $17.19B in total assets against $4.41B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 63/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $9.81 – $13.57 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 8.3x trailing P/E and 8.8x EV/EBITDA against 52.8% operating margins and a 1.06x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The butterfly supply-chain graph reports supply_chain as NONE, with an empty butterfly_links array and an empty proprietary_signals array. No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data.

Key Question #1: Can OBDC sustain or expand its 52.8% operating margin and 6.4% ROIC against Diversified Financial Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.07B and free cash flow of $1.74B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $4.41B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is OBDC's 7.0x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.06x)?

OBDC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OBDC Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

Is Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) Stock Undervalued Right Now?

Yahoo Finance report covering Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Blue Owl Capital Corporation: 72 Cents On The Dollar After The Dividend Reset (NYSE:OBDC)

Seeking Alpha report covering Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Zacks Investment Research • 1d ago

Wall Street Analysts See a 25.99% Upside in Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC): Can the Stock Really Move This High?

Zacks Investment Research report covering Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Blue Owl Capital Corporation Estimates – NYSE:OBDC

TradingView report covering Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE 24/7 Wall St. • 1d ago

The $2 Trillion Private-Credit Market Just Got Some Good News - but Its Biggest Test May Still Be Coming

24/7 Wall St. report covering Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Resisting The Sirens Of Blue Owl Capital (NYSE:OBDC)

Seeking Alpha report covering Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Sound Income Strategies LLC Acquires 1,345,081 Shares of Blue Owl Capital Corporation $OBDC

MarketBeat report covering Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance Singapore • 1d ago

Blue Owl Capital Corp (1D6.HA) latest stock news and headlines – Yahoo Finance

Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OBDC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.56?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OBDC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.51 (+30.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, a 22% FCF yield and a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 combined with a 8.3 P/E (TTM) point to a cash-generative balance she

Here is why I am bullish on OBDC here at $10.39: Per the RQD rating, a 22% FCF yield and a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 combined with a 8.3 P/E (TTM) point to a cash-generative balance sheet priced at a low multiple.. Compare OBDC's 52.8% operating margin and 6.4% ROIC against the rest of Diversified Financial Services. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $9.87 are getting bought.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Fair point on 8.3x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Diversified Financial Services. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.10 (-22.0%)

Spot @ $10.39

Per the financials, debt rose from $666.4M to $4.41B over FY 2023–FY 2025 while net income fell in FY 2024, and the RQD whale flow sc

I respect the product at Blue Owl Capital Corporation, but the stock at $10.39 is a different story. Per the financials, debt rose from $666.4M to $4.41B over FY 2023–FY 2025 while net income fell in FY 2024, and the RQD whale flow score sits at 9 / 20.. FCF yield is 22.0% and RQD sits at 63/100 (C) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?