Tempest Therapeutics Inc. (TPST) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$0.50 -7.07% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.49

Tempest Therapeutics Inc. (TPST) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $9.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TPST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Tempest Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: TPST) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $0.50 (-7.07% 1D, market cap $9.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, TPST ranks #651 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TPST compare to BLRX and LTRN in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), TPST carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BLRX (BioLineRx Ltd.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $9.9M) and LTRN (Lantern Pharma Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $9.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TPST leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TPST leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPST?
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Per TPST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001544227), Tempest Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$26.3M in net income, and -$26.8M in free cash flow against $16.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.49 (-1.46%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (5)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10% Base Target
$11 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE TPST RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TPST)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TPST SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 32.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$0.68-14.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$0.58-12.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$0.51-2% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$0.50-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TPST Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TPST currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.80) and Max Pain ($0.53) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.96.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TPST• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TPST Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How TPST Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$4.00BGross Profit $2.08B (52%)Cost of Sales $1.92BOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $2.08BNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $4.00B
FY24
Rev $4.00B
FY25
Rev $4.00B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$4.00B52%-0.7%-$26.3M-$26.8M-45%
FY 2024$4.00B52%-1.1%-$41.8M-$33.5M-45%
FY 2023$4.00B52%-0.7%-$29.5M-$27.4M-35%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TPST)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TPST's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TPST // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -76.30%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $0.54H $0.54L $0.50C $0.50VOL 163.5K
RES: $1.57SUP: $0.48SMA50: $0.80SMA200: $1.48
$5.93$4.45$2.98$1.51$0.03RES $1.57SUP $0.48$0.502026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TPST Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TPST today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TPST. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TPST today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TPST)

Health Care Rank #651 of 1016 ⚔️ BLRX vs TPST Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (TPST vs. BLRX, LTRN, CALC, PHIO)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tempest Therapeutics Inc. (TPST) ranks #651 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #893 by equity capitalization ($9.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TPST leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TPST leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. BLRX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with TPST at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TPST ACTIVE
Tempest Therapeutics Inc.
E 34/100 — — -35.0% -7.07% $9.9M Benchmark Subject
BLRX
BioLineRx Ltd.
D 46/100 — — — -1.48% $9.9M /blrx-vs-tpst →
LTRN
Lantern Pharma Inc.
E 31/100 — — -35.0% -9.60% $9.9M /ltrn-vs-tpst →
CALC
CalciMedica Inc.
D- 38/100 — — -35.0% -16.57% $10.0M /calc-vs-tpst →
PHIO
Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp.
D- 37/100 — — -35.0% -0.30% $10.0M /phio-vs-tpst →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001544227

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tempest Therapeutics Inc. (TPST) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$26.3M, operating cash flow of -$26.8M, and free cash flow of -$26.8M (+19.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, TPST closed FY2025 with $16.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$26.3M -$26.8M -$26.8M $16.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$41.8M -$33.0M -$33.5M $41.5M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$29.5M -$27.4M -$27.4M — —

3. TPST Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TPST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Tempest Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: TPST) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $0.50 (-7.07% 1D, market cap $9.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, TPST ranks #651 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TPST compare to BLRX and LTRN in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), TPST carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BLRX (BioLineRx Ltd.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $9.9M) and LTRN (Lantern Pharma Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $9.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TPST leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TPST leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPST?

Per TPST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001544227), Tempest Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$26.3M in net income, and -$26.8M in free cash flow against $16.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TPST trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TPST last traded at $0.50 (-7.07% on volume of 163,472 shares), positioning the stock -37.50% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.80) and -66.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.48). Across its 52-week range of $0.49 to $10.44, TPST sits at the 0.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.56).

TPST Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Tempest Therapeutics Inc. (TPST)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), TPST converted $4.0B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TPST — Tempest Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:51:38Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TPST scores 35 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 6 / 20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%). Per the market data, the company shows negative return on invested capital and no free-cash-flow yield, indicating the business is not currently generating cash returns on capital employed.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 5 / 20 (Institutional accumulation and options positioning). The rating reflects weak institutional support signals; no holder detail is available in the source data to explain the score further.
  • Insider Conviction: 5 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). Insider and congressional flow signals are scored low; the underlying trade records are not available in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). Beta of 1.0 means the stock is scored as moving in line with the broader market, with a sector-sensitivity drag.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). This is the highest-scoring pillar but still sits in the lower half, with a weak Piotroski reading.

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the company's ability to reach a point where its cash position and financing position stabilize, which the rating does not show yet. The valuation tradeoff is stark: the market capitalization is $10.7M against reported net losses in each of the three fiscal years shown, so any investment thesis depends on future development outcomes that the source data does not describe. The rating is a factual scoring of current conditions, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-26.6M$-26.3MN/A$-26.8M$7.7MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-42.0M$-41.8MN/A$-33.5M$30.3M$0.0M
FY 2023$0.0M$-29.2M$-29.5MN/A$-27.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, operating and net losses appear in all three reported years, with gross, operating, and net margins each shown as 0% in the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -35%. Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Cash declined from $30.3M at FY 2024 to $7.7M at FY 2025, and the FY 2025 free cash flow of $-26.8M is large relative to that remaining cash balance.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six items are tagged to TPST, each marked YELLOW with a MARKET WIRE impact label:

  • A Yahoo Finance UK item on seasonal returns, with no further detail in the source data.
  • An Investing.com report that Tempest Therapeutics adjourned a special meeting and set a reconvened date for November.
  • A TradingView estimates item, with no further detail in the source data.
  • A scanx.trade report that the company secured a $50M equity purchase agreement with Lincoln Park.
  • A TradingView report that John Frederick was appointed to the Board as a Class III director.
  • A Benzinga pre-market mention among health care stocks.

Risk watch items: the Lincoln Park equity agreement implies potential ongoing share issuance, and the adjourned special meeting is an open governance item. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signals are mapped for TPST. Investors should note the sector classification (Health Care / Pharmaceutical Preparations) but the source data does not identify specific supplier, customer, or partner bottlenecks.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's pipeline status and development timeline, given the absence of revenue and the reported operating losses?
  • What are the terms and expected dilution impact of the $50M Lincoln Park equity purchase agreement relative to the $10.7M market capitalization?
  • What is the agenda and outcome of the adjourned special meeting set for November?
  • Does the FY 2025 cash balance of $7.7M cover the company's planned operating spending over the next reporting period?
  • What insider, 13F, or congressional positions exist for TPST, given that the holders section is empty?

TPST Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tempest Therapeutics Inc. (TPST) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TPST Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TPST Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.50?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TPST 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TPST:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.47 (-11.3%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TPST (D- • RQD 35/100) a Buy at $0.53?

Welcome to the TPST (Tempest Therapeutics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 35/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.42 (-20.8%)
Spot @ $0.53

Pump the brakes on TPST — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TPST, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Tempest Therapeutics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.66 (+24.5%)
Spot @ $0.53

TPST cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TPST, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.53 (52-wk range $0.49 - $10.73), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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