CalciMedica Inc. (CALC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.46 -16.57% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.41

CalciMedica Inc. (CALC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $10.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CALC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, CalciMedica Inc. (NASDAQ: CALC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $1.46 (-16.57% 1D, market cap $10.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, CALC ranks #520 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CALC compare to PHIO and TPST in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), CALC carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, PHIO (Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $10.0M) and TPST (Tempest Therapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $9.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CALC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CALC leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CALC?
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Per CALC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001534133), CalciMedica Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$29.6M in net income, and -$21.2M in free cash flow against $13.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.41 (-3.17%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510038
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (5)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.9% Base Target
$38 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE CALC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CALC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CALC SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
30
Grade E$1.12-4.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
33
Grade E$1.07+22.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
35
Grade E$1.31+11.5% Next Q
Current
38
Grade D-$1.46-7.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (30) → D- (38)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CALC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CALC currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.71) and Max Pain ($1.53) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $37.80.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CALC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CALC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
48.830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
2 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $1$1.46H: $36
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 10 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on CALC

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

-35.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (33)

10/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CALC
  • ✓Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CALC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CALC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CALC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -50.00%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $1.75H $1.75L $1.46C $1.46VOL 112.2K
RES: $1.75SUP: $0.77SMA50: $1.71SMA200: $3.78
$14.62$10.93$7.24$3.55$-0.15RES $1.75SUP $0.77$1.462026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CALC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CALC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CALC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CALC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CALC)

Health Care Rank #520 of 1016 ⚔️ PHIO vs CALC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (CALC vs. PHIO, TPST, BLRX, LTRN)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CalciMedica Inc. (CALC) ranks #520 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #892 by equity capitalization ($10.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CALC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CALC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. BLRX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with CALC at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CALC ACTIVE
CalciMedica Inc.
D- 38/100 — — -35.0% -16.57% $10.0M Benchmark Subject
PHIO
Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp.
D- 37/100 — — -35.0% -0.30% $10.0M /phio-vs-calc →
TPST
Tempest Therapeutics Inc.
E 34/100 — — -35.0% -7.07% $9.9M /tpst-vs-calc →
BLRX
BioLineRx Ltd.
D 46/100 — — — -1.48% $9.9M /blrx-vs-calc →
LTRN
Lantern Pharma Inc.
E 31/100 — — -35.0% -9.60% $9.9M /ltrn-vs-calc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001534133

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CalciMedica Inc. (CALC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$29.6M, operating cash flow of -$21.2M, and free cash flow of -$21.2M (-0.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CALC closed FY2025 with $13.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$29.6M -$21.2M -$21.2M $13.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$13.7M -$21.1M -$21.2M $19.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$34.4M -$25.7M -$25.7M — —

3. CALC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CALC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, CalciMedica Inc. (NASDAQ: CALC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $1.46 (-16.57% 1D, market cap $10.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, CALC ranks #520 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CALC compare to PHIO and TPST in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), CALC carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, PHIO (Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $10.0M) and TPST (Tempest Therapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $9.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CALC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CALC leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CALC?

Per CALC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001534133), CalciMedica Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$29.6M in net income, and -$21.2M in free cash flow against $13.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CALC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CALC last traded at $1.46 (-16.57% on volume of 112,196 shares), positioning the stock -14.62% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.71) and -61.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.78). Across its 52-week range of $1.00 to $36.00, CALC sits at the 1.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.28 to $1.64).

CALC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CALC stock right now?

CalciMedica Inc. (CALC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 38/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is CALC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CALC's 12-month base price target is $1.33 (range $1.04 to $37.8), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 38/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CALC — CalciMedica Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:51:20Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CALC scores 41 out of 100 and carries a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8 / 20): The rating cites ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of 0%. For a prospective investor, this indicates the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow, so value rests on future outcomes rather than current earnings power.
  • Whale 13F Flow (8 / 20): Scored on institutional accumulation and options positioning. The sub-score is below midpoint, suggesting limited institutional conviction signals in the data.
  • Insider Conviction (5 / 20): Scored on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the weakest pillar, and the news wire independently reports a CFO resignation, which a cautious investor would weigh against this score.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10 / 20): Beta is 1.0, with sector sensitivity noted. The stock does not offer a clear macro-regime tailwind per the rating.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (10 / 20): Per the rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The Piotroski score is weak, and the Altman figure should be interpreted within the rating's own framework.

Implications: Upside drivers would have to come from outside current cash generation (for example, pipeline or financing developments not captured in these sources). Valuation tradeoffs are severe given a $11.9M market cap alongside negative operating income. Second-order risks include financing dependence and management transition. This is an analytical summary, not personalized advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-23.1M$-29.6MN/A$-21.2M$11.5MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-24.2M$-13.7MN/A$-21.2M$7.9MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-38.1M$-34.4MN/A$-25.7MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported no revenue and operating losses in each period shown. Gross, operating, and net margins are each 0% per market data, and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the rating; period-level debt is N/A in the financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • CFO resignation (two notices): Marketscreener reports the resignation of Stephen Bardin as Chief Financial Officer and as Principal Accounting Officer and Principal Financial Officer, each effective October 15, 2026. Stock Titan separately reports a CFO giving resignation notice tied to another professional opportunity. This is a governance and continuity risk watch item.
  • Price action headlines: Kalkine reports the stock rose 15.07 percent pre-market with no fresh news. Benzinga lists CALC among health care stocks moving in pre-market trading. The market data shows a 5.42% change.
  • TradingView estimates: A TradingView item covers CALC estimates and institutional positioning; no specifics are provided in the summary.
  • Proprietary signals: None provided in the Butterfly graph.

Open Questions

  • What are CalciMedica's products, clinical pipeline, and revenue model, given zero reported revenue?
  • What is the reconciled market capitalization, given $0.0B in the profile versus $11.9M in market data?
  • What are the P/E, EPS, and EV/EBITDA metrics, which are absent for a loss-making company?
  • How will the CFO transition affect financial reporting and filing timeliness?
  • What is the cash runway against the reported FY 2025 operating loss and cash balance?

CALC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for CalciMedica Inc. (CALC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CALC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CALC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.46?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CALC 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CALC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.54 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CALC (D- • RQD 41/100) a Buy at $1.75?

Welcome to the CALC (CalciMedica Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 41/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.40 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $1.75

Pump the brakes on CALC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CALC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless CalciMedica Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.24 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $1.75

CALC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CALC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.75 (52-wk range $1.00 - $36.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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