Tredegar Corporation (TG) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$7.50 -0.13% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.48

Tredegar Corporation (TG) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $262.1M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TG Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Tredegar Corporation (NYSE: TG) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $7.50 (-0.13% 1D, market cap $262.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TG ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TG compare to NKLR and IMSR in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), TG carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 15.5%. By comparison, NKLR (Terra Innovatum Global N.V.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $245.3M) and IMSR (Terrestrial Energy Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $341.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TG leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while TG leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TG?
β–Ό

Per TG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000850429), Tredegar Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $33.5M in net income, and $15.7M in free cash flow against $371.4M in total assets and $34.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.48 (-0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 0.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.1% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C-
Cash (11)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (11)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$11 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE TG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY TG SCORES 59/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 6/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$7.61+5.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$8.04-10.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$7.20+4.2% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$7.50+0.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (67) β†’ C- (59)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, TG faces multiple-compression risk if 7.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.37) or 200D SMA ($8.07) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.53) toward Bear Floor ($5.87).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TGβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How TG Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$15.7M (0.4% FCF Margin)
Revenue$4.00BGross Profit $2.08B (52%)Cost of Sales $1.92BOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $2.08BNet Profit$33.5M (0.8%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $4.00B
FY24
Rev $4.00B
FY25
Rev $4.00B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$4.00B52%0%$33.5M$15.7M15.5%
FY 2024$4.00B52%0%-$64.6M$11.2M15.5%
FY 2023$4.00B52%0%-$105.9M$24.0M15.5%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TG)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of TG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.14%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $7.51H $7.51L $7.50C $7.50VOL 302.2K
RES: $8.06SUP: $6.11SMA50: $7.37SMA200: $8.07
$10.82$9.63$8.43$7.24$6.05RES $8.06SUP $6.11$7.502026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-6.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TG)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (TG vs. NKLR, IMSR, FSTR, UAMY)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tredegar Corporation (TG) ranks #134 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #333 by equity capitalization ($262.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TG leads on earnings valuation at 7.8x trailing P/E, while TG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and β€” gross margin. TG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TG ACTIVE
Tredegar Corporation
C- 59/100 7.8x β€” 15.5% -0.13% $262.1M Benchmark Subject
NKLR
Terra Innovatum Global N.V.
E 25/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -4.72% $245.3M /nklr-vs-tg β†’
IMSR
Terrestrial Energy Inc.
E 28/100 β€” β€” -10.0% -6.80% $341.1M /imsr-vs-tg β†’
FSTR
L.B. Foster Company
D+ 54/100 50.7x 21.1% 10.1% -1.48% $377.1M /fstr-vs-tg β†’
UAMY
United States Antimony Corporation
E 30/100 β€” 25.2% -6.0% -5.70% $446.0M /uamy-vs-tg β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000850429

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tredegar Corporation (TG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $33.5M, operating cash flow of $33.0M, and free cash flow of $15.7M (+41.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TG closed FY2025 with $371.4M in total assets against $34.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $33.5M $33.0M $15.7M $371.4M $34.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$64.6M $25.5M $11.2M $356.4M $60.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$105.9M $24.0M $24.0M β€” β€”

3. TG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Tredegar Corporation (NYSE: TG) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $7.50 (-0.13% 1D, market cap $262.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TG ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TG compare to NKLR and IMSR in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), TG carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 15.5%. By comparison, NKLR (Terra Innovatum Global N.V.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $245.3M) and IMSR (Terrestrial Energy Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $341.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TG leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while TG leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TG?

Per TG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000850429), Tredegar Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $33.5M in net income, and $15.7M in free cash flow against $371.4M in total assets and $34.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TG last traded at $7.50 (-0.13% on volume of 302,180 shares), positioning the stock +1.76% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.37) and -7.06% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.07). Across its 52-week range of $6.25 to $10.53, TG sits at the 29.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.5% ($6.86 to $8.14).

TG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

How profitable is Tredegar Corporation (TG)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), TG converted $4.0B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $15.7M in free cash flow (0.4% FCF margin).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 59/100 (C-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TG β€” Tredegar Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:39:43Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TG scores 59 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with the verdict "Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 11 / 20 (ROIC 15.5%; FCF yield 6%); Whale 13F Flow at 7 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 17 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 11 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.16).

For a prospective investor, the profile is mixed. The strongest pillar is insider conviction, which the rating treats as the highest-scoring signal, while institutional flow is the weakest at 7 / 20. The cash engine (ROIC 15.5%, FCF yield 6%) and forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.16) provide moderate support, but the macro pillar at 11 / 20 signals that the stock's market-sensitivity profile offers no clear tailwind. The low trailing P/E of 7.8 (forward 7.3) is a valuation feature an investor may weigh against the modest 59 composite score, but a low multiple alone does not resolve the uncertainty reflected in the rating. The verdict of "Hold β€” Cautious Neutral" per the Roarable RQD rating suggests the composite does not indicate a strong upside case at present.

Business

Tredegar Corporation (TG) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and Metal Fabrications industry, per the profile section. The profile describes it as a company with a market capitalization of $0.3B. Source data does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$33.5MN/A$15.7M$6.7M$34.5M
FY 2024$0.0M$0.0M$-64.6MN/A$11.2M$7.1M$60.6M
FY 2023$0.0M$0.0M$-105.9MN/A$24.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, net income moved from $-105.9M in FY 2023 to $-64.6M in FY 2024 and then to $33.5M in FY 2025, while reported revenue and operating income are listed as $0.0M in each period. Gross, operating, and net margins are each listed as 0% in the market data, so margin trend cannot be assessed from source data. ROIC is 15.5% per the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.16. Reported debt declined from $60.6M in FY 2024 to $34.5M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items reference TG:

  • Yahoo! Finance Canada item (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) covering market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
  • Investing.com UK item (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) reporting that director John Gottwald sold $267,530 in company stock.
  • Stock Traders Daily item (RED, RISK WATCH) titled "Understanding the Setup: (TG) and Scalable Risk."
  • ad-hoc-news.de item (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) reporting a grant of 1,583 shares to a director.
  • Investing.com India item (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) reporting that director William Gottwald sold $284,048 in stock.
  • Stock Traders Daily item (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) titled "Technical Reactions to TG Trends in Macro Strategies."

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The single RED flag is the RISK WATCH item; the remaining items are YELLOW market-wire items.

Open Questions

  • What are TG's revenue and operating income figures, given that the financials report $0.0M for both across all three periods?
  • What explains the swing in net income from $-105.9M (FY 2023) to $33.5M (FY 2025), and is it recurring?
  • Why is EV/EBITDA unavailable, and what would be needed to assess valuation on an enterprise basis?
  • Which products, customers, and end markets drive the business, given that the business description is limited to sector and industry labels?
  • What is the basis for the reported insider sales, and do they reflect planned or discretionary transactions?

TG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tredegar Corporation (TG) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to TG Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $7.50?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TG:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $8.11 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TG (C- β€’ RQD 59/100) a Buy at $7.51?

Welcome to the TG (Tredegar Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 59/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral) in Metal Fabrications. Bulls point to capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.23 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $7.51

Pump the brakes on TG β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TG, but look at what you are paying: 7.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Tredegar Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.39 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $7.51

TG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Fabrications and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $7.51 (52-wk range $6.25 - $10.53), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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