Tredegar Corporation (TG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.5% Move

$7.50 -0.13% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.48

Tredegar Corporation (TG) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $262.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Tredegar Corporation (NYSE: TG) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $7.50 (-0.13% 1D, market cap $262.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TG ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TG compare to NKLR and IMSR in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), TG carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.5%. By comparison, NKLR (Terra Innovatum Global N.V.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $245.3M) and IMSR (Terrestrial Energy Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $341.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TG leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while TG leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TG?
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Per TG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000850429), Tredegar Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $33.5M in net income, and $15.7M in free cash flow against $371.4M in total assets and $34.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.48 (-0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (11)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (11)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$11 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE TG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TG SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$7.61+5.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$8.04-10.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$7.20+4.2% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$7.50+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, TG faces multiple-compression risk if 7.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.37) or 200D SMA ($8.07) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.53) toward Bear Floor ($5.87).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.5% Swing Band

±$0.64 Expected Swing
$6.86 (-8.5%)Spot $7.50$8.14 (+8.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 59/100

Trailing EPS: $0.96 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (59/100)Model Risk Weight (41/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0$33.5M$15.7M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$0-$64.6M$11.2M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$0-$105.9M$24.0M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating TG & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on TG
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
TG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.14%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $7.51H $7.51L $7.50C $7.50VOL 302.2K
RES: $8.06SUP: $6.11SMA50: $7.37SMA200: $8.07
$10.82$9.63$8.43$7.24$6.05RES $8.06SUP $6.11$7.502026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-6.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TG)

Industrials Rank #134 of 485 ⚔️ NKLR vs TG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (TG vs. NKLR, IMSR, FSTR, UAMY)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tredegar Corporation (TG) ranks #134 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #333 by equity capitalization ($262.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TG leads on earnings valuation at 7.8x trailing P/E, while TG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and — gross margin. TG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TG ACTIVE
Tredegar Corporation
C- 59/100 7.8x — 15.5% -0.13% $262.1M Benchmark Subject
NKLR
Terra Innovatum Global N.V.
E 25/100 — — -35.0% -4.72% $245.3M /nklr-vs-tg →
IMSR
Terrestrial Energy Inc.
E 28/100 — — -10.0% -6.80% $341.1M /imsr-vs-tg →
FSTR
L.B. Foster Company
D+ 54/100 50.7x 21.1% 10.1% -1.48% $377.1M /fstr-vs-tg →
UAMY
United States Antimony Corporation
E 30/100 — 25.2% -6.0% -5.70% $446.0M /uamy-vs-tg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000850429

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tredegar Corporation (TG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $33.5M, operating cash flow of $33.0M, and free cash flow of $15.7M (+41.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TG closed FY2025 with $371.4M in total assets against $34.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $33.5M $33.0M $15.7M $371.4M $34.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$64.6M $25.5M $11.2M $356.4M $60.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$105.9M $24.0M $24.0M — —

3. TG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Tredegar Corporation (NYSE: TG) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $7.50 (-0.13% 1D, market cap $262.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TG ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TG compare to NKLR and IMSR in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), TG carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.5%. By comparison, NKLR (Terra Innovatum Global N.V.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $245.3M) and IMSR (Terrestrial Energy Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $341.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TG leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while TG leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TG?

Per TG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000850429), Tredegar Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $33.5M in net income, and $15.7M in free cash flow against $371.4M in total assets and $34.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TG last traded at $7.50 (-0.13% on volume of 302,180 shares), positioning the stock +1.76% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.37) and -7.06% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.07). Across its 52-week range of $6.25 to $10.53, TG sits at the 29.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($6.86 to $8.14).

TG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TG's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Tredegar Corporation (TG)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is TG stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.5% event move for TG, spanning a range between $6.86 and $8.14.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TG — Tredegar Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:39:43Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TG scores 59 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 11 / 20 (ROIC 15.5%; FCF yield 6%); Whale 13F Flow at 7 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 17 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 11 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.16).

For a prospective investor, the profile is mixed. The strongest pillar is insider conviction, which the rating treats as the highest-scoring signal, while institutional flow is the weakest at 7 / 20. The cash engine (ROIC 15.5%, FCF yield 6%) and forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.16) provide moderate support, but the macro pillar at 11 / 20 signals that the stock's market-sensitivity profile offers no clear tailwind. The low trailing P/E of 7.8 (forward 7.3) is a valuation feature an investor may weigh against the modest 59 composite score, but a low multiple alone does not resolve the uncertainty reflected in the rating. The verdict of "Hold — Cautious Neutral" per the Roarable RQD rating suggests the composite does not indicate a strong upside case at present.

Business

Tredegar Corporation (TG) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and Metal Fabrications industry, per the profile section. The profile describes it as a company with a market capitalization of $0.3B. Source data does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$33.5MN/A$15.7M$6.7M$34.5M
FY 2024$0.0M$0.0M$-64.6MN/A$11.2M$7.1M$60.6M
FY 2023$0.0M$0.0M$-105.9MN/A$24.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, net income moved from $-105.9M in FY 2023 to $-64.6M in FY 2024 and then to $33.5M in FY 2025, while reported revenue and operating income are listed as $0.0M in each period. Gross, operating, and net margins are each listed as 0% in the market data, so margin trend cannot be assessed from source data. ROIC is 15.5% per the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.16. Reported debt declined from $60.6M in FY 2024 to $34.5M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items reference TG:

  • Yahoo! Finance Canada item (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) covering market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
  • Investing.com UK item (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) reporting that director John Gottwald sold $267,530 in company stock.
  • Stock Traders Daily item (RED, RISK WATCH) titled "Understanding the Setup: (TG) and Scalable Risk."
  • ad-hoc-news.de item (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) reporting a grant of 1,583 shares to a director.
  • Investing.com India item (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) reporting that director William Gottwald sold $284,048 in stock.
  • Stock Traders Daily item (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) titled "Technical Reactions to TG Trends in Macro Strategies."

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The single RED flag is the RISK WATCH item; the remaining items are YELLOW market-wire items.

Open Questions

  • What are TG's revenue and operating income figures, given that the financials report $0.0M for both across all three periods?
  • What explains the swing in net income from $-105.9M (FY 2023) to $33.5M (FY 2025), and is it recurring?
  • Why is EV/EBITDA unavailable, and what would be needed to assess valuation on an enterprise basis?
  • Which products, customers, and end markets drive the business, given that the business description is limited to sector and industry labels?
  • What is the basis for the reported insider sales, and do they reflect planned or discretionary transactions?

TG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tredegar Corporation (TG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.50?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $8.11 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TG (C- • RQD 59/100) a Buy at $7.51?

Welcome to the TG (Tredegar Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 59/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Metal Fabrications. Bulls point to capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.23 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $7.51

Pump the brakes on TG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TG, but look at what you are paying: 7.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Tredegar Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.39 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $7.51

TG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Fabrications and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $7.51 (52-wk range $6.25 - $10.53), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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