Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ: TCOM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $40.99 (+3.52% 1D, market cap $24.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TCOM ranks #406 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), TCOM carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.1x, gross margin of 80.6%, and ROIC of 8.8%. By comparison, GPN (Global Payments Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 16.2x, ROIC 5.1%, cap $25.63B) and CPAY (Corpay Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 24.4x, ROIC 23.2%, cap $26.33B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TCOM leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while CPAY leads on capital efficiency (23.2% ROIC).
Per TCOM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001269238), Trip.com Group Limited generated $8.93B in revenue (+22.2% YoY), $4.76B in net income, and $1.95B in free cash flow against $38.24B in total assets and $1.63B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
Altman Z-Score 2.05 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
Capital intensity & 25.3% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table
Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, TCOM faces multiple-compression risk if 5.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 78.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($40.06) or 200D SMA ($47.55) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($40.62) toward Bear Floor ($31.68).
Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) surged +3.52% to $40.99, trading at 8% of its 52-week range ($37.58 – $78.99). Stretched risk/reward at 5x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Meta's newsroom stamps the launch October 27 and names eight local connectors — while the company's own workplace tier stays announced, unshipped and unpriced.
Trip.com Group’s sustainability push and what it means for investors Trip.com Group (TCOM) has put sustainability in focus with its 2026 Sustainable Travel Consumer Report and the launch of the My Travel Impact feature i
Trip.com (TCOM) closed the most recent trading day at $38.46, moving 2.85% from the previous trading session.
Trip.com Group has seen its share price fall sharply this year, which puts a spotlight on whether the current valuation still lines up with what the business earns. With the travel platform’s stock under pressure, the ke
Caesars Entertainment (CZR) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -408.33% and -1.38%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Three in four travellers (75.4%) say sustainability is important when making travel decisions, and 56.8% now intentionally choose more sustainable options, according to Trip.com Group's 2026 Sustainable Travel Consumer R
Emerging destinations across Asia-Pacific are seeing strong booking growth this autumn, as travellers explore a wider range of cities across the region. New data from Trip.com Group, a leading global travel service provi
Trip.com (TCOM) closed at $40.3 in the latest trading session, marking a +1.79% move from the prior day.
In the most recent trading session, Trip.com (TCOM) closed at $39.93, indicating a +2.7% shift from the previous trading day.
On the sidelines of the 2026 WTTC Global Summit held in Malta, Carlo Micallef, CEO of the Malta Tourism Authority, met with Edison Chen, Vice President of Trip.com Group, for talks on China–Malta tourism cooperation. Wit
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +22.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TCOM today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TCOM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) ranks #406 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #81 by equity capitalization ($24.93B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TCOM leads on earnings valuation at 5.1x trailing P/E, while CPAY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.2% ROIC and — gross margin. BR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with TCOM at 56/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCOM
ACTIVE
Trip.com Group Limited | D+ | 56/100 | 5.1x | 80.6% | 8.8% | +3.52% | $24.93B | Benchmark Subject |
| GPN Global Payments Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | 16.2x | 72.6% | 5.1% | +2.88% | $25.63B | /gpn-vs-tcom → |
| CPAY Corpay Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 24.4x | — | 23.2% | +2.08% | $26.33B | /cpay-vs-tcom → |
| FISV Fiserv Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 7.4x | — | 9.6% | +3.82% | $26.60B | /fisv-vs-tcom → |
| BR Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc. | B+ | 77/100 | 24.0x | 31.0% | 18.1% | +3.02% | $20.19B | /br-vs-tcom → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) reported GAAP revenue of $8.93B (+22.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.30B , and +42.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.76B, operating cash flow of $2.06B, and free cash flow of $1.95B (-25.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, TCOM closed FY2025 with $38.24B in total assets against $1.63B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.05, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $8.93B | $4.76B | $2.06B | $1.95B | $38.24B | $1.63B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $7.30B | $2.34B | $2.69B | $2.61B | $33.23B | $2.76B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $6.27B | $1.40B | $3.10B | $2.82B | $13.35B | $3.13B |
As of 2026-11-03, Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ: TCOM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $40.99 (+3.52% 1D, market cap $24.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TCOM ranks #406 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), TCOM carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.1x, gross margin of 80.6%, and ROIC of 8.8%. By comparison, GPN (Global Payments Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 16.2x, ROIC 5.1%, cap $25.63B) and CPAY (Corpay Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 24.4x, ROIC 23.2%, cap $26.33B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TCOM leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while CPAY leads on capital efficiency (23.2% ROIC).
Per TCOM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001269238), Trip.com Group Limited generated $8.93B in revenue (+22.2% YoY), $4.76B in net income, and $1.95B in free cash flow against $38.24B in total assets and $1.63B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
TCOM last traded at $40.99 (+3.52% on volume of 2,841,517 shares), positioning the stock +2.32% above its 50-day simple moving average ($40.06) and -13.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($47.55). Across its 52-week range of $37.58 to $78.99, TCOM sits at the 8.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.2% ($39.68 to $42.30).
Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 56/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $40.99 (+3.52% 1D, market capitalization $24.93B).
Trip.com Group Limited is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Business Services industry. — for detailed product lines, customer segments, or revenue model. The source data reports gross margin of 80.6% and operating margin of 25.3% (per market data), which indicate a high-margin operating model, but the source does not describe how the company earns its revenue.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) reported $8.93B in annual revenue (up from $7.30B in FY2024, +22.2% YoY) and $4.76B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($6.27B revenue, $1.40B net income) through FY2025, TCOM scaled operating cash flow to $2.06B and free cash flow to $1.95B, backed by $38.24B in total assets against $1.63B in total debt.
Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be assessed from the source data.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Meta's newsroom stamps the launch October 27 and names eight local connectors — while the company's own workplace tier stays announced, unshipped and unpriced.
Trip.com Group’s sustainability push and what it means for investors Trip.com Group (TCOM) has put sustainability in focus with its 2026 Sustainable Travel Consumer Report and the launch of the My Travel Impact feature i
Trip.com (TCOM) closed the most recent trading day at $38.46, moving 2.85% from the previous trading session.
Trip.com Group has seen its share price fall sharply this year, which puts a spotlight on whether the current valuation still lines up with what the business earns. With the travel platform’s stock under pressure, the ke
Caesars Entertainment (CZR) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -408.33% and -1.38%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Three in four travellers (75.4%) say sustainability is important when making travel decisions, and 56.8% now intentionally choose more sustainable options, according to Trip.com Group's 2026 Sustainable Travel Consumer R
Emerging destinations across Asia-Pacific are seeing strong booking growth this autumn, as travellers explore a wider range of cities across the region. New data from Trip.com Group, a leading global travel service provi
Trip.com (TCOM) closed at $40.3 in the latest trading session, marking a +1.79% move from the prior day.
Don't sleep on TCOM's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Insider Conviction scores 17 of 20 and the stock trades at a 4.3 Forward P/E, with Piotroski F 8/9 and Debt/Equity of 0.07 supporting the balance sheet.. Beta of 1.11 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (56/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
@AlphaFlow_Cap Agree on the RQD 56/100 quality, though with 1.11 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $39.59 and keeping dry powder in case we test $36.82.
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on TCOM: The Fundamental Cash Engine scores only 5 of 20 with ROIC at 8.8%, Whale 13F Flow scores 5 of 20, and FCF fell from $2.82B to $1.95B over FY 2023–FY 2025.. At 5.1x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Business Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.
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