SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.60 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.60

SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $2.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SUGP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: SUGP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.60 (0.00% 1D, market cap $2.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SUGP ranks #822 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SUGP compare to EHGO and CLIK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), SUGP carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 16.0%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, EHGO (Eshallgo Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.3M) and CLIK (Click Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Share) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SUGP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BIYA leads on capital efficiency (-34.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SUGP?
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Per SUGP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001969863), SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) generated $24.7M in revenue (+5.5% YoY), -$2.4M in net income, and -$2.2M in free cash flow against $16.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.60 (-0.19%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (10)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.6% Base Target
$306 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE SUGP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SUGP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SUGP SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 16% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$2.18-26.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$1.60+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$1.60+0% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$1.60-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SUGP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SUGP currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.93) and Max Pain ($1.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $305.55.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SUGP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SUGP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

SUGP Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (SUGP)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on SUGP. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SUGP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SUGP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SUGP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -98.73%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $1.60H $1.60L $1.60C $1.60VOL 44.9K
RES: $0.24SUP: $0.80SMA50: $2.93SMA200: $73.52
$194.7$142.4$89.97$37.59$-14.79RES $0.24SUP $0.80$1.602026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SUGP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SUGP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SUGP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SUGP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SUGP)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #822 of 1011 ⚔️ EHGO vs SUGP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SUGP vs. EHGO, CLIK, BIYA, PMEC)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) ranks #822 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #988 by equity capitalization ($2.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SUGP leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BIYA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -34.0% ROIC and 11.5% gross margin. PMEC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 38/100 (D-) compared with SUGP at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SUGP ACTIVE
SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A)
E 34/100 — 16.0% — 0.00% $2.6M Benchmark Subject
EHGO
Eshallgo Inc. (Class A)
E 33/100 — 17.0% — -4.50% $2.3M /ehgo-vs-sugp →
CLIK
Click Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Share
E 29/100 — 15.3% — +6.08% $5.5M /clik-vs-sugp →
BIYA
Baiya International Group Inc (Class A)
E 18/100 — 11.5% -34.0% -1.61% $9.4M /biya-vs-sugp →
PMEC
Primech Holdings Ltd.
D- 38/100 — 17.1% — -3.17% $13.0M /pmec-vs-sugp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001969863

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) reported GAAP revenue of $24.7M (+5.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $23.4M , and +18.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.4M, operating cash flow of -$2.0M, and free cash flow of -$2.2M (-254.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, SUGP closed FY2025 with $16.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $24.7M -$2.4M -$2.0M -$2.2M $16.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $23.4M $1.4M $1.8M $1.4M — —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $20.9M $1.2M -$1.7M -$1.7M — —

3. SUGP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SUGP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: SUGP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.60 (0.00% 1D, market cap $2.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SUGP ranks #822 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SUGP compare to EHGO and CLIK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), SUGP carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 16.0%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, EHGO (Eshallgo Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.3M) and CLIK (Click Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Share) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SUGP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BIYA leads on capital efficiency (-34.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SUGP?

Per SUGP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001969863), SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) generated $24.7M in revenue (+5.5% YoY), -$2.4M in net income, and -$2.2M in free cash flow against $16.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SUGP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SUGP last traded at $1.60 (0.00% on volume of 48,300 shares), positioning the stock -45.39% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.93) and -97.82% below its 200-day simple moving average ($73.52). Across its 52-week range of $1.47 to $291.00, SUGP sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.40 to $1.80).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SUGP — SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:54:24Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

SUGP scores 34 out of 100, earning a letter grade of E and the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10 / 20): The pillar reflects ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0%. For a prospective investor, the absence of measurable return on invested capital and free-cash-flow yield means the business is not currently generating a cash return that would support valuation on cash-flow grounds.
  • Whale / 13F Flow (3 / 20): Covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the lowest-scoring pillar, indicating weak institutional-flow support..
  • Insider Conviction (5 / 20): Reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A low score signals limited insider-conviction signals in the data.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8 / 20): Based on Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 implies market-matched volatility, but the score is held down by sector sensitivity considerations.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (8 / 20): Reflects Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. The Piotroski score of 2 out of 9 is weak, and the Altman Z of 2.5 sits in a range that warrants attention to financial distress risk.

Taken together, the rating frames SUGP as a high-risk name where the quantitative inputs are predominantly negative. Upside drivers are not evident in the pillar breakdown; the main tradeoff is a sub-dollar-scale market value against thin, negative operating economics. A prospective investor would need to see evidence of cash-flow turnaround before the valuation case could be considered on fundamentals.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in Diversified Commercial Services. — for further business detail.

Revenue rose from $20.9M (FY 2023) to $23.4M (FY 2024) before reaching $24.7M (FY 2025), while operating income swung from $1.4M to -$2.6M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 16%, operating margin is -10.4%, and net margin is -9.6%, with ROIC of 0%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5, which together describe a weak balance-sheet posture.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Revenue grew from $20.9M in FY 2023 to $24.7M in FY 2025, showing top-line expansion. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 (ROIC —, FCF yield —) and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $1.47 – $291.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Operating income swung from $1.4M in FY 2024 to -$2.6M in FY 2025 with ROIC at 0% and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9. Investors must weigh current valuation against -10.4% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector classification is Consumer Discretionary, industry Diversified Commercial Services. No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in source data.

  • Key Question #1: What are the cash and debt balances underlying the Debt/Equity of 0.5 and the Altman Z-Score?
  • Key Question #2: What drove the swing from $1.4M operating income in FY 2024 to -$2.6M in FY 2025?
  • Key Question #3: What explains the 52-week range of $1.47 to $291, and how does the current $1.6 price relate to it?

SUGP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SUGP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SUGP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.60?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SUGP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SUGP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.84 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $20.9M in FY 2023 to $24.7M in FY 2025, showing top-line expansion.

Revenue grew from $20.9M in FY 2023 to $24.7M in FY 2025, showing top-line expansion.. When you look under the hood at SUGP, Fundamental Cash Engine is 10/20 with 16.0% gross margins and 0.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $291.00. My 12M target is $1.84.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Diversified Commercial Services. If gross margin (16.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.38 (-13.8%)
Spot @ $1.60

Operating income swung from $1.4M in FY 2024 to -$2.6M in FY 2025 with ROIC at 0% and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9.

Careful chasing SUGP at $1.60. Operating income swung from $1.4M in FY 2024 to -$2.6M in FY 2025 with ROIC at 0% and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9.. Gross margin is 16.0%, but operating margin is -10.4%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.38 on multiple compression.

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