Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SUGP / earnings

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SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

Q: When is SUGP's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

Q: How much is SUGP stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for SUGP, spanning a range between $1.4 and $1.8.

$1.60 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.60

SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $2.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SUGP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SUGP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: SUGP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.60 (0.00% 1D, market cap $2.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SUGP ranks #822 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SUGP compare to EHGO and CLIK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), SUGP carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 16.0%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, EHGO (Eshallgo Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.3M) and CLIK (Click Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Share) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SUGP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BIYA leads on capital efficiency (-34.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SUGP?

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Per SUGP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001969863), SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) generated $24.7M in revenue (+5.5% YoY), -$2.4M in net income, and -$2.2M in free cash flow against $16.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.60 (-0.19%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SUGP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SUGP SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 16% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$2.18-26.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.60+0% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$1.60+0% Next Q

Current

Grade E$1.60-8.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SUGP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SUGP currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.93) and Max Pain ($1.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $305.55.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SUGP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SUGP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.20 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SUGP Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 34/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 5.5%

Model Bullish Setup (34/100)Model Risk Weight (66/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-09-30	$24.7M	-$2.4M	-$2.2M	16%
FY 2024	2024-09-30	$23.4M	$1.4M	$1.4M	26.1%
FY 2023	2023-09-30	$20.9M	$1.2M	-$1.7M	16%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SUGP)

✓Walkthrough of SUGP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SUGP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -98.73%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-11-03O $1.60H $1.60L $1.60C $1.60VOL 44.9K

RES: $0.24SUP: $0.80SMA50: $2.93SMA200: $73.52

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SUGP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SUGP Butterfly Map → + Track SUGP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SUGP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SUGP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SUGP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SUGP)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #822 of 1011 ⚔️ EHGO vs SUGP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SUGP vs. EHGO, CLIK, BIYA, PMEC)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) ranks #822 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #988 by equity capitalization ($2.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SUGP leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BIYA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -34.0% ROIC and 11.5% gross margin. PMEC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 38/100 (D-) compared with SUGP at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SUGP ACTIVE SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A)	E	34/100	—	16.0%	—	0.00%	$2.6M	Benchmark Subject
EHGO Eshallgo Inc. (Class A)	E	33/100	—	17.0%	—	-4.31%	$2.3M	/ehgo-vs-sugp →
CLIK Click Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Share	E	29/100	—	15.3%	—	-4.39%	$5.5M	/clik-vs-sugp →
BIYA Baiya International Group Inc (Class A)	E	18/100	—	11.5%	-34.0%	+0.81%	$9.4M	/biya-vs-sugp →
PMEC Primech Holdings Ltd.	D-	38/100	—	17.1%	—	-8.65%	$13.0M	/pmec-vs-sugp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001969863

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) reported GAAP revenue of $24.7M (+5.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $23.4M , and +18.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.4M, operating cash flow of -$2.0M, and free cash flow of -$2.2M (-254.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, SUGP closed FY2025 with $16.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$24.7M	-$2.4M	-$2.0M	-$2.2M	$16.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$23.4M	$1.4M	$1.8M	$1.4M	—	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$20.9M	$1.2M	-$1.7M	-$1.7M	—	—

3. SUGP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SUGP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SUGP compare to EHGO and CLIK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SUGP?

Where is SUGP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SUGP last traded at $1.60 (0.00% on volume of 44,902 shares), positioning the stock -45.39% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.93) and -97.82% below its 200-day simple moving average ($73.52). Across its 52-week range of $1.47 to $291.00, SUGP sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.40 to $1.80).

SUGP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SUGP's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is SUGP stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for SUGP, spanning a range between $1.4 and $1.8.

Direct Sub-Reports: SUGP RQD Cockpit SUGP 12M Forecast SUGP Earnings & Move SUGP Dividends & DRIP SUGP Insiders & 13F SUGP Whale Options SUGP Profit Sankey SUGP News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SUGP — SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:54:24Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SUGP scores 34 out of 100, earning a letter grade of E and the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine (10 / 20): The pillar reflects ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0%. For a prospective investor, the absence of measurable return on invested capital and free-cash-flow yield means the business is not currently generating a cash return that would support valuation on cash-flow grounds.
Whale / 13F Flow (3 / 20): Covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the lowest-scoring pillar, indicating weak institutional-flow support. Per the source, no holder data is provided, so the specific drivers of this score cannot be verified here.
Insider Conviction (5 / 20): Reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A low score signals limited insider-conviction signals in the data.
Macro Regime Fit (8 / 20): Based on Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 implies market-matched volatility, but the score is held down by sector sensitivity considerations.
Forensic Balance Sheet (8 / 20): Reflects Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. The Piotroski score of 2 out of 9 is weak, and the Altman Z of 2.5 sits in a range that warrants attention to financial distress risk.

Taken together, the rating frames SUGP as a high-risk name where the quantitative inputs are predominantly negative. Upside drivers are not evident in the pillar breakdown; the main tradeoff is a sub-dollar-scale market value against thin, negative operating economics. A prospective investor would need to see evidence of cash-flow turnaround before the valuation case could be considered on fundamentals.

Business

Per the profile, SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in Diversified Commercial Services. The source does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond sector and industry classification. Not available in source data for further business detail.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$24.7M	$-2.6M	$-2.4M	N/A	$-2.2M	N/A	N/A
FY 2024	$23.4M	$1.4M	$1.4M	N/A	$1.4M	N/A	N/A
FY 2023	$20.9M	$1.4M	$1.2M	N/A	$-1.7M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $20.9M (FY 2023) to $23.4M (FY 2024) before reaching $24.7M (FY 2025), while operating income swung from $1.4M to $-2.6M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 16%, operating margin is -10.4%, and net margin is -9.6%, with ROIC of 0%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5, which together describe a weak balance-sheet posture. Cash and debt balances are not available in source data.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Sector classification is Consumer Discretionary, industry Diversified Commercial Services. No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in source data.

Open Questions

What are SU Group Holdings' products, customers, and primary revenue sources?
What are the cash and debt balances underlying the Debt/Equity of 0.5 and the Altman Z-Score?
What drove the swing from $1.4M operating income in FY 2024 to $-2.6M in FY 2025?
What explains the 52-week range of $1.47 to $291, and how does the current $1.6 price relate to it?
Are there EPS, P/E, or EV/EBITDA figures that would allow valuation against peers?

SUGP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SUGP Debate Forum (3) ↓

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SUGP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.60?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SUGP 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.41 (-11.9%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SUGP (E • RQD 34/100) a Buy at $1.60?

Welcome to the SUGP (SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 34/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Diversified Commercial Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.25 (-21.9%)

Spot @ $1.60

Pump the brakes on SUGP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SUGP, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 16.0% gross margins. Unless SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.84 (+15.0%)

Spot @ $1.60

SUGP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SUGP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Diversified Commercial Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.60 (52-wk range $1.47 - $291.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.