Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, Surf Air Mobility Inc. (NYSE: SRFM) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $0.71 (-6.09% 1D, market cap $100.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SRFM ranks #767 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), SRFM carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, UP (Wheels Up Experience Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $115.7M) and FLYX (flyExclusive Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $121.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TOUR leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while TOUR leads on capital efficiency (1.1% ROIC).
Per SRFM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001936224), Surf Air Mobility Inc. generated $215.2M in revenue (+27.6% YoY), -$110.6M in net income, and -$70.1M in free cash flow against $131.7M in total assets and $14.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
While SRFM currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.80) and Max Pain ($0.75) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.25.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) dropped -6.09% to $0.71, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($0.46 – $4.05). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo Finance report covering Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.marketscreener.com report covering Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ChartMill report covering Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Air Canada (ACDVF) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +42.11% and +2.11%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
LOS ANGELES, October 29, 2026--Surf Air Mobility Inc. (NYSE: SRFM) ("Surf Air Mobility" or "the Company") today provided an update on recent achievements and priorities for SurfOS, the Company’s AI-enabled software opera
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +27.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SRFM today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SRFM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) ranks #767 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #751 by equity capitalization ($100.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TOUR leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while TOUR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.1% ROIC and 58.0% gross margin. TOUR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 39/100 (D-) compared with SRFM at 37/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SRFM
ACTIVE
Surf Air Mobility Inc. | D- | 37/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -6.09% | $100.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| UP Wheels Up Experience Inc. (Class A) | E | 18/100 | — | 10.0% | -35.0% | +3.76% | $115.7M | /up-vs-srfm → |
| FLYX flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) | E | 26/100 | — | 15.0% | -35.0% | -10.43% | $121.6M | /flyx-vs-srfm → |
| PAL Proficient Auto Logistics Inc. | E | 34/100 | — | — | -11.6% | +13.19% | $73.4M | /pal-vs-srfm → |
| TOUR Tuniu Corporation | D- | 39/100 | 11.5x | 58.0% | 1.1% | +1.91% | $51.2M | /tour-vs-srfm → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) reported GAAP revenue of $215.2M (+27.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $168.7M , and -60.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$110.6M, operating cash flow of -$64.2M, and free cash flow of -$70.1M (-6.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, SRFM closed FY2025 with $131.7M in total assets against $14.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $215.2M | -$110.6M | -$64.2M | -$70.1M | $131.7M | $14.4M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $168.7M | -$74.9M | -$54.3M | -$66.1M | $124.1M | $59.9M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $550.9M | -$250.7M | -$64.4M | -$64.4M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, Surf Air Mobility Inc. (NYSE: SRFM) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $0.71 (-6.09% 1D, market cap $100.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SRFM ranks #767 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), SRFM carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, UP (Wheels Up Experience Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $115.7M) and FLYX (flyExclusive Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $121.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TOUR leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while TOUR leads on capital efficiency (1.1% ROIC).
Per SRFM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001936224), Surf Air Mobility Inc. generated $215.2M in revenue (+27.6% YoY), -$110.6M in net income, and -$70.1M in free cash flow against $131.7M in total assets and $14.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
SRFM last traded at $0.71 (-6.09% on volume of 1,447,381 shares), positioning the stock -11.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.80) and -39.83% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.18). Across its 52-week range of $0.46 to $4.05, SRFM sits at the 7.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.80).
Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $0.71 (-6.09% 1D, market capitalization $100.3M).
. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Transportation Services industry. Per the recent news wire, the company is involved in airline operations, SurfOS-driven efficiency initiatives, and electric aviation plans in Hawai'i. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each reported as 0%.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) reported $215.2M in annual revenue (up from $168.7M in FY2024, +27.6% YoY) and -$110.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($550.9M revenue, -$250.7M net income) through FY2025, SRFM scaled operating cash flow to -$64.2M and free cash flow to -$70.1M, backed by $131.7M in total assets against $14.4M in total debt.
The supply chain is NONE, butterfly links are empty, and there are no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks are — A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means this analysis cannot identify ripple effects from the graph itself.
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Yahoo Finance report covering Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.marketscreener.com report covering Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ChartMill report covering Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Don't sleep on SRFM's setup in Consumer Discretionary. SRFM (D- • RQD 37/100) operating leverage in Transportation Services is mispriced at $0.76. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (37/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
@DeepValue_CFA Agree on the RQD 37/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $0.76 and keeping dry powder in case we test $0.71.
Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short SRFM above $0.76. Revenue is reported at $0.0M across FY 2023 through FY 2025 while FCF stayed negative at -$70.1M in FY 2025, with ROIC at -35%.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $4.05.
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