SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$12.20 -5.79% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.05

SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $1.72B
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, SFL Corporation Ltd (NYSE: SFL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $12.20 (-5.79% 1D, market cap $1.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SFL ranks #592 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SFL compare to CMRE and NAT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), SFL carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, CMRE (Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 4.8x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $1.71B) and NAT (Nordic American Tankers Limited) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 139.9x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.67B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMRE leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while CMRE leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SFL?
β–Ό

Per SFL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001289877), SFL Corporation Ltd generated $733.0M in revenue (-18.9% YoY), -$26.4M in net income, and $267.1M in free cash flow against $3.64B in total assets and $1.96B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.05 (-1.23%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 36.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510048
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D-
Cash (11)Whales (12)SEC (3)Macro (13)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$15 Bull$12 Base$9 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE SFL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SFL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY SFL SCORES 48/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 73% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 51.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±6.7% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 16 pts from forensic ceiling

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$13.58-11.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$12.03+5.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$12.70-3.9% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$12.20-5.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (56) β†’ D (48)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SFL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While SFL currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.89) and Max Pain ($12.81) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.68.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SFLβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSFL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How SFL Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$267.1M (36.4% FCF Margin)
Revenue$733.0MGross Profit $381.2M (52%)Cost of Sales $351.9MOp Profit $136.7M (18.6%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $244.5MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $136.7M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $752.3M
FY24
Rev $904.4M
FY25
Rev $733.0M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$733.0M52%18.6%-$26.4M$267.1M3.9%
FY 2024$904.4M52%33.9%$130.7M$369.9M7.7%
FY 2023$752.3M52%31.9%$83.9M$343.1M3.9%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SFL)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of SFL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SFL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.99%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $13.17H $13.17L $12.20C $12.20VOL 929.6K
RES: $15.31SUP: $11.63SMA50: $12.89SMA200: $11.47
$14.34$12.86$11.39$9.92$8.44RES $15.31SUP $11.63$12.202026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SFL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -18.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SFL today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SFL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SFL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SFL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #592 of 1011 βš”οΈ CMRE vs SFL Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SFL vs. CMRE, NAT, TEN, FLNG)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) ranks #592 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #434 by equity capitalization ($1.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMRE leads on earnings valuation at 4.8x trailing P/E, while CMRE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.8% ROIC and β€” gross margin. TEN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with SFL at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SFL ACTIVE
SFL Corporation Ltd
D 48/100 β€” β€” 3.9% -5.79% $1.72B Benchmark Subject
CMRE
Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value
D+ 53/100 4.8x β€” 12.8% -5.01% $1.71B /cmre-vs-sfl β†’
NAT
Nordic American Tankers Limited
C- 60/100 139.9x 62.3% 4.6% -7.84% $1.67B /nat-vs-sfl β†’
TEN
Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd
B 72/100 10.2x β€” 6.6% -8.10% $1.62B /ten-vs-sfl β†’
FLNG
FLEX LNG Ltd.
D 45/100 20.7x β€” 6.9% -3.84% $1.53B /flng-vs-sfl β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001289877

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) reported GAAP revenue of $733.0M (-18.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $904.4M , and -2.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$26.4M, operating cash flow of $267.1M, and free cash flow of $267.1M (-27.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SFL closed FY2025 with $3.64B in total assets against $1.96B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.56, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $733.0M -$26.4M $267.1M $267.1M $3.64B $1.96B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $904.4M $130.7M $369.9M $369.9M $4.11B $2.15B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $752.3M $83.9M $343.1M $343.1M β€” β€”

3. SFL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SFL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, SFL Corporation Ltd (NYSE: SFL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $12.20 (-5.79% 1D, market cap $1.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SFL ranks #592 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SFL compare to CMRE and NAT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), SFL carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, CMRE (Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 4.8x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $1.71B) and NAT (Nordic American Tankers Limited) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 139.9x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.67B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMRE leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while CMRE leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SFL?

Per SFL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001289877), SFL Corporation Ltd generated $733.0M in revenue (-18.9% YoY), -$26.4M in net income, and $267.1M in free cash flow against $3.64B in total assets and $1.96B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SFL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SFL last traded at $12.20 (-5.79% on volume of 1,455,313 shares), positioning the stock -5.35% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.89) and +6.36% above its 200-day simple moving average ($11.47). Across its 52-week range of $7.27 to $13.98, SFL sits at the 73.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.7% ($11.38 to $13.02).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 48/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SFL β€” SFL Corporation Ltd: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:27:53Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

SFL scores 51 out of 100, grade D, labeled "Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. this pillar reflects ROIC of 3.9% and FCF yield of 15.25%. The ROIC figure is low relative to the free-cash-flow yield, which suggests cash generation is strong relative to the market value while returns on invested capital are thin. For a prospective investor, the cash yield is a potential upside driver, but it only matters if the cash flow proves durable.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 15 / 20. this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The pillar score is moderate. The underlying 13F and options detail is not itemized in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is below midpoint, indicating insider and Congressional flow is a weaker support factor than institutional flow.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. this pillar reflects beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market; the pillar score suggests the regime fit is neutral-to-modest rather than a tailwind.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 3 / 20. this pillar reflects Altman Z 0.56, Piotroski F 3/9, and Debt/Equity 2.04. This is the weakest pillar and the primary driver of the low overall grade. Each metric points toward elevated financial-distress risk and a leveraged capital structure.

Taken together, the rating frames SFL as a high-yield, cash-generative name with a heavily leveraged balance sheet. A prospective investor should weigh the attractive cash yield against the balance-sheet forensics, which carry the most weight in the overall score. The valuation tradeoff is that a high FCF yield can reflect either undervaluation or a market discount for leverage risk; the rating's forensic scores lean toward the latter interpretation.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

SFL Corporation Ltd is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Marine Transportation industry,..8B. Its revenue is reported in the financials section.

Revenue declined from $904.4M in FY 2024 to $733.0M in FY 2025, and net income moved from $130.7M to -$26.4M. Operating income fell from $306.7M to $136.7M while reported operating margin for the current period is 18.6% per the market data, and net margin is -3.6%. Gross margin is 0% per the market data. ROIC is 3.9% . The Altman Z-Score is 0.56 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 2.04. Reported debt was $1.96B at FY 2025, down from $2.15B in FY 2024, while cash was $150.8M. The balance sheet is leveraged, and the forensic scores are weak.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case: A 15.25% FCF yield and a 7.14% dividend yield signal substantial cash generation relative to the share price. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 (ROIC 3.9%, FCF yield 15.25%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $7.27 – $13.98 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: A 0.56 Altman Z-Score, 3/9 Piotroski, and 2.04 Debt/Equity point to severe balance-sheet distress risk. Investors must weigh current valuation and 26.1x EV/EBITDA against 18.6% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not establish upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations for SFL. The one cross-company item in the news, the Seadrill contract ruling, indicates some sector-wide contract-enforcement activity in offshore and marine services, but the source does not establish a direct dependency. Investors should watch vessel-ordering activity (such as the VLAC order) and vessel-sale pricing as indicators of asset-market conditions, though the source does not link these to specific second-order effects.

  • Key Question #1: What drives the gap between the 15.25% FCF yield and the 3.9% ROIC, and how durable is the cash generation?
  • Key Question #2: How is the $216M VLAC order financed, and how does it affect the $1.96B debt load?
  • Key Question #3: What portion of the net loss in FY 2025 reflects operating conditions versus one-time or non-cash items?

SFL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to SFL Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SFL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $12.20?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SFL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SFL:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue Fundamental Long-Only πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $16.19 (+25.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

A 15.25% FCF yield and a 7.14% dividend yield signal substantial cash generation relative to the share price.

Don't sleep on SFL's setup in Consumer Discretionary. A 15.25% FCF yield and a 7.14% dividend yield signal substantial cash generation relative to the share price.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (48/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

ArenaChamp_24 πŸ‚ BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 48/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $12.95 and keeping dry powder in case we test $12.04.

BE BearTrap_Alert Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.75 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $12.95

A 0.56 Altman Z-Score, 3/9 Piotroski, and 2.04 Debt/Equity point to severe balance-sheet distress risk.

Fading this rally in SFL at $12.95. A 0.56 Altman Z-Score, 3/9 Piotroski, and 2.04 Debt/Equity point to severe balance-sheet distress risk.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $12.95 (52-wk range $7.27–$13.98), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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