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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SFL / earnings
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SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.7% Move

$12.20 -5.79% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.05

SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.72B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SFL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, SFL Corporation Ltd (NYSE: SFL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $12.20 (-5.79% 1D, market cap $1.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SFL ranks #590 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SFL compare to CMRE and NAT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), SFL carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, CMRE (Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 4.8x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $1.71B) and NAT (Nordic American Tankers Limited) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 139.9x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.67B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMRE leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while CMRE leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SFL?
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Per SFL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001289877), SFL Corporation Ltd generated $733.0M in revenue (-18.9% YoY), -$26.4M in net income, and $267.1M in free cash flow against $3.64B in total assets and $1.96B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.05 (-1.23%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 36.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-
Cash (11)Whales (12)SEC (3)Macro (13)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$15 Bull$12 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE SFL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SFL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SFL SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 73% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 51.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.7% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 16 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$13.58-11.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$12.03+5.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$12.70-3.9% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$12.20-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SFL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SFL currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.89) and Max Pain ($12.81) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.68.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SFL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SFL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.7% Swing Band

±$0.82 Expected Swing
$11.38 (-6.7%)Spot $12.20$13.02 (+6.7%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SFL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 48/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -18.9%

Model Bullish Setup (48/100)Model Risk Weight (52/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$733.0M-$26.4M$267.1M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$904.4M$130.7M$369.9M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$752.3M$83.9M$343.1M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SFL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SFL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SFL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.99%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $13.17H $13.17L $12.20C $12.20VOL 929.6K
RES: $15.31SUP: $11.63SMA50: $12.89SMA200: $11.47
$14.34$12.86$11.39$9.92$8.44RES $15.31SUP $11.63$12.202026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SFL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SFL Butterfly Map → + Track SFL →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -18.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SFL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SFL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SFL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SFL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #590 of 1009 ⚔️ CMRE vs SFL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SFL vs. CMRE, NAT, TEN, FLNG)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) ranks #590 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #432 by equity capitalization ($1.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMRE leads on earnings valuation at 4.8x trailing P/E, while CMRE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.8% ROIC and — gross margin. TEN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with SFL at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SFL ACTIVE
SFL Corporation Ltd
D 48/100 — — 3.9% -5.79% $1.72B Benchmark Subject
CMRE
Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value
D+ 53/100 4.8x — 12.8% -5.01% $1.71B /cmre-vs-sfl →
NAT
Nordic American Tankers Limited
C- 60/100 139.9x 62.3% 4.6% -7.84% $1.67B /nat-vs-sfl →
TEN
Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd
B 72/100 10.2x — 6.6% -8.10% $1.62B /ten-vs-sfl →
FLNG
FLEX LNG Ltd.
D 45/100 20.7x — 6.9% -3.84% $1.53B /flng-vs-sfl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001289877 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) reported GAAP revenue of $733.0M (-18.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $904.4M , and -2.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$26.4M, operating cash flow of $267.1M, and free cash flow of $267.1M (-27.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SFL closed FY2025 with $3.64B in total assets against $1.96B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.56, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $733.0M -$26.4M $267.1M $267.1M $3.64B $1.96B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $904.4M $130.7M $369.9M $369.9M $4.11B $2.15B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $752.3M $83.9M $343.1M $343.1M — —

3. SFL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SFL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, SFL Corporation Ltd (NYSE: SFL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $12.20 (-5.79% 1D, market cap $1.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SFL ranks #590 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SFL compare to CMRE and NAT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), SFL carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, CMRE (Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 4.8x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $1.71B) and NAT (Nordic American Tankers Limited) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 139.9x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.67B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMRE leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while CMRE leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SFL?

Per SFL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001289877), SFL Corporation Ltd generated $733.0M in revenue (-18.9% YoY), -$26.4M in net income, and $267.1M in free cash flow against $3.64B in total assets and $1.96B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SFL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SFL last traded at $12.20 (-5.79% on volume of 1,455,313 shares), positioning the stock -5.35% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.89) and +6.36% above its 200-day simple moving average ($11.47). Across its 52-week range of $7.27 to $13.98, SFL sits at the 73.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($11.38 to $13.02).

Direct Sub-Reports: SFL RQD Cockpit SFL 12M Forecast SFL Earnings & Move SFL Dividends & DRIP SFL Insiders & 13F SFL Whale Options SFL Profit Sankey SFL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SFL — SFL Corporation Ltd: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 48/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $12.20 (-5.79% 1D, market capitalization $1.72B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 18.6%, and free cash flow yield of 15.25%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.56, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 2.04x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

SFL Corporation Ltd is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Marine Transportation industry,..8B. Its revenue is reported in the financials section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) reported $733.0M in annual revenue (up from $904.4M in FY2024, -18.9% YoY) and -$26.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($752.3M revenue, $83.9M net income) through FY2025, SFL scaled operating cash flow to $267.1M and free cash flow to $267.1M, backed by $3.64B in total assets against $1.96B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 48/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 15.25% and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $7.27 – $13.98 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 26.1x EV/EBITDA against 18.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not establish upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations for SFL. The one cross-company item in the news, the Seadrill contract ruling, indicates some sector-wide contract-enforcement activity in offshore and marine services, but the source does not establish a direct dependency. Investors should watch vessel-ordering activity (such as the VLAC order) and vessel-sale pricing as indicators of asset-market conditions, though the source does not link these to specific second-order effects.

  • Key Question #1: Can SFL sustain or expand its 18.6% operating margin and 3.9% ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $733.0M and free cash flow of $267.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.96B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SFL's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SFL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SFL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SFL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.20?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SFL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SFL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $16.19 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A 15.25% FCF yield and a 7.14% dividend yield signal substantial cash generation relative to the share price.

Don't sleep on SFL's setup in Consumer Discretionary. A 15.25% FCF yield and a 7.14% dividend yield signal substantial cash generation relative to the share price.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (48/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 48/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $12.95 and keeping dry powder in case we test $12.04.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.75 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $12.95

A 0.56 Altman Z-Score, 3/9 Piotroski, and 2.04 Debt/Equity point to severe balance-sheet distress risk.

Fading this rally in SFL at $12.95. A 0.56 Altman Z-Score, 3/9 Piotroski, and 2.04 Debt/Equity point to severe balance-sheet distress risk.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $12.95 (52-wk range $7.27–$13.98), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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