Sound Financial Bancorp Inc. (SFBC) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$45.00 0.00% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.91

Sound Financial Bancorp Inc. (SFBC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $115.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SFBC Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SFBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Sound Financial Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: SFBC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $45.00 (0.00% 1D, market cap $115.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, SFBC ranks #253 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SFBC compare to PROV and RVSB in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), SFBC carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.1x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 6.5%. By comparison, PROV (Provident Financial Holdings Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 18.0x, ROIC 4.9%, cap $112.6M) and RVSB (Riverview Bancorp Inc) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.6%, cap $121.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGYR leads on earnings multiple (13.4x) while MGYR leads on capital efficiency (8.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SFBC?
β–Ό

Per SFBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001541119), Sound Financial Bancorp Inc. generated $458.7M in revenue (+9.9% YoY), $7.2M in net income, and $7.0M in free cash flow against $1.09B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.91 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 1.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 55.6% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C Β· Rk B-
Cash (13)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$55 Bull$46 Base$36 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE SFBC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SFBC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±3.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY SFBC SCORES 65/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 51% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 50.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$42.81+3.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$44.50+1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$45.00+0% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$45.00+1.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (57) β†’ C (65)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SFBC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, SFBC faces multiple-compression risk if 16.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($45.83) or 200D SMA ($44.26) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($46.42) toward Bear Floor ($36.21).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SFBCβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSFBC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
3.48% Total Yield
1.68% Cash ($0.76/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
18% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (8.4% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $22,402

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $780/yr
$10.8K
Yr 1
$11.8K
Yr 2
$12.7K
Yr 3
$13.8K
Yr 4
$15.0K
Yr 5
$16.2K
Yr 6
$17.6K
Yr 7
$19.1K
Yr 8
$20.7K
Yr 9
$22.4K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in SFBC & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on SFBC and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SFBC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.75%β–² ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-11-03O $45.00H $45.00L $45.00C $45.00VOL 577
RES: $48.72SUP: $42.72SMA50: $45.83SMA200: $44.26
$49.78$47.43$45.08$42.74$40.39RES $48.72SUP $42.72$45.002026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SFBC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SFBC today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SFBC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SFBC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SFBC)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (SFBC vs. PROV, RVSB, BYFC, MGYR)

Industry: Savings Institutions (33 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sound Financial Bancorp Inc. (SFBC) ranks #253 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #944 by equity capitalization ($115.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MGYR leads on earnings valuation at 13.4x trailing P/E, while MGYR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. MGYR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with SFBC at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SFBC ACTIVE
Sound Financial Bancorp Inc.
C 65/100 16.1x β€” 6.5% 0.00% $115.6M Benchmark Subject
PROV
Provident Financial Holdings Inc.
C 64/100 18.0x β€” 4.9% -0.16% $112.6M /prov-vs-sfbc β†’
RVSB
Riverview Bancorp Inc
D+ 58/100 β€” β€” -2.6% +1.52% $121.2M /rvsb-vs-sfbc β†’
BYFC
Broadway Financial Corporation (Class A)
D- 37/100 β€” β€” -9.4% -0.17% $106.3M /byfc-vs-sfbc β†’
MGYR
Magyar Bancorp Inc.
B 73/100 13.4x β€” 8.0% +10.18% $144.0M /mgyr-vs-sfbc β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001541119

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sound Financial Bancorp Inc. (SFBC) reported GAAP revenue of $458.7M (+9.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $417.3M ) , GAAP net income of $7.2M, operating cash flow of $7.2M, and free cash flow of $7.0M (+144.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SFBC closed FY2025 with $1.09B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $458.7M $7.2M $7.2M $7.0M $1.09B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $417.3M $4.6M $2.9M $2.9M $993.6M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $7.4M $6.9M $6.9M β€” β€”

3. SFBC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SFBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Sound Financial Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: SFBC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $45.00 (0.00% 1D, market cap $115.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, SFBC ranks #253 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SFBC compare to PROV and RVSB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), SFBC carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.1x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 6.5%. By comparison, PROV (Provident Financial Holdings Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 18.0x, ROIC 4.9%, cap $112.6M) and RVSB (Riverview Bancorp Inc) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.6%, cap $121.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGYR leads on earnings multiple (13.4x) while MGYR leads on capital efficiency (8.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SFBC?

Per SFBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001541119), Sound Financial Bancorp Inc. generated $458.7M in revenue (+9.9% YoY), $7.2M in net income, and $7.0M in free cash flow against $1.09B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SFBC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SFBC last traded at $45.00 (0.00% on volume of 577 shares), positioning the stock -1.81% below its 50-day simple moving average ($45.83) and +1.67% above its 200-day simple moving average ($44.26). Across its 52-week range of $40.68 to $49.21, SFBC sits at the 50.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±3.5% ($43.43 to $46.57).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 65/100 (C) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SFBC β€” Sound Financial Bancorp Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:43:33Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SFBC scores 65 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." Across the five pillars, the fundamental cash engine scores 13 of 20, reflecting an ROIC of 6.5% and an FCF yield of 6.05%. Whale/13F flow scores 8 of 20, the weakest pillar, indicating limited institutional accumulation and options positioning support in the rating's framework. Insider conviction scores 16 of 20, the strongest pillar, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro regime fit scores 15 of 20, consistent with a beta of 1.0 and the sector sensitivity the rating captures. Forensic balance sheet scores 13 of 20, reflecting an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 5/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5.

For a prospective investor, the implication is a balanced profile: the cash-generation and insider-flow pillars offer the clearest upside support, while thin institutional-flow evidence and only moderate forensic strength temper conviction. The rating's own verdict is "Hold" rather than an accumulation signal. Valuation context per the market data: a P/E (TTM) of 16.1 versus a forward P/E of 15 implies modestly lower expected earnings-based multiples, and the FCF yield of 6.05% is the primary cash-based valuation anchor in the source set. These are analytical observations, not personalized advice.

Business

Sound Financial Bancorp Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Savings Institutions industry. Market capitalization is stated as $0.1B in the profile and $115.6M in market data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the headlines center on Q3 results. One item states that profit was $2.3 million, higher than a year ago but lower than the prior quarter. Other headlines describe the stock as stalling despite improved Q3 earnings, and a MarketBeat item covers Q3 2026 earnings results. A separate item reports a cash dividend declaration payable on November 20, 2026. All news items carry a YELLOW light and a MARKET WIRE impact label, indicating moderate rather than high-severity signals. The source does not supply full earnings figures beyond the $2.3 million quarterly profit reference. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply-chain classification is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals recorded. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations beyond the stated beta of 1. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means ripple effects cannot be traced from this dataset.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue and operating income figures, given that the financials show β€” across all periods?
  • What are the diluted EPS and debt figures for the reported fiscal years, which are listed as N/A?
  • What drove the stall in the share price despite improved Q3 earnings, and how does the $2.3 million quarterly profit compare with the annual net income figures?
  • What is the composition of the 13F institutional holder base and recent insider transaction history behind the whale and insider pillar scores?
  • What is the EV/EBITDA, and how do the margin fields reported as 0% reconcile with the stated ROIC of 6.5%?

SFBC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sound Financial Bancorp Inc. (SFBC) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to SFBC Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SFBC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $45.00?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SFBC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SFBC:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter Swing & Catalyst Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $58.50 (+30.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Insider conviction (16/20) and a 6.05% FCF yield with forward P/E of 15 versus trailing 16.1 point to a cash-generative balance sheet w

Here is why I am bullish on SFBC here at $45.00: Insider conviction (16/20) and a 6.05% FCF yield with forward P/E of 15 versus trailing 16.1 point to a cash-generative balance sheet with modest valuation support.. Compare SFBC's 0.0% operating margin and 6.5% ROIC against the rest of Savings Institutions. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $42.75 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 8/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $45.00 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

BE BearTrap_Alert Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $33.75 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $45.00

Whale/13F flow scores only 8/20 and revenue, operating income, and EPS are unpopulated in the financials, leaving institutional support

I respect the product at Sound Financial Bancorp Inc., but the stock at $45.00 is a different story. Whale/13F flow scores only 8/20 and revenue, operating income, and EPS are unpopulated in the financials, leaving institutional support and core earnings quality largely unverified.. FCF yield is 6.05% and RQD sits at 65/100 (C) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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