Stock Ratings / Materials / ROCK / forecast

SXC (51) SID (44) NWPX (64) MTUS (52) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$40.10 -0.57% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.98

Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.19B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ROCK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ROCK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Gibraltar Industries Inc. (NASDAQ: ROCK) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $40.10 (-0.57% 1D, market cap $1.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ROCK ranks #85 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ROCK compare to SXC and SID in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), ROCK carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 26.9%, and ROIC of 11.6%. By comparison, SXC (SunCoke Energy Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.9%, cap $961.6M) and SID (Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $948.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NWPX leads on earnings multiple (26.7x) while ROCK leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ROCK?

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Per ROCK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000912562), Gibraltar Industries Inc. generated $1.14B in revenue (+11.0% YoY), -$44.4M in net income, and $120.6M in free cash flow against $1.39B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (27% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.98 (-0.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 10.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ROCK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ROCK SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.6% FCF Margin ($120.6M FCF) & 26.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$37.10+3.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$38.41+0.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$38.61+3.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$40.10-1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D+ (52)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ROCK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ROCK currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Strong cash generator (27% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($41.35) and Max Pain ($42.11) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $66.77.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ROCK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ROCK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ROCK Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $40.10: 249.4 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $30.44

$7,591

$-2,409 (-24.1%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $39.02

$9,731

$-269 (-2.7%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $66.77

$16,651

+$6,651 (+66.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$41	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$63	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$35	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ROCK)

✓Walkthrough of ROCK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ROCK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.61%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $40.33H $40.33L $40.10C $40.10VOL 307.2K

RES: $41.43SUP: $33.90SMA50: $41.35SMA200: $42.96

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ROCK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ROCK Butterfly Map → + Track ROCK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-4.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ROCK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ROCK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ROCK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ROCK)

Materials Rank #85 of 270 ⚔️ SXC vs ROCK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ROCK vs. SXC, SID, NWPX, MTUS)

Industry: Steel/Iron Ore (26 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) ranks #85 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #126 by equity capitalization ($1.19B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NWPX leads on earnings valuation at 26.7x trailing P/E, while ROCK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.6% ROIC and 26.9% gross margin. NWPX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with ROCK at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ROCK ACTIVE Gibraltar Industries Inc.	D+	52/100	—	26.9%	11.6%	-0.57%	$1.19B	Benchmark Subject
SXC SunCoke Energy Inc.	D	51/100	—	—	-2.9%	+2.72%	$961.6M	/sxc-vs-rock →
SID Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A.	D	44/100	—	—	—	-8.30%	$948.4M	/sid-vs-rock →
NWPX NWPX Infrastructure Inc.	C	64/100	26.7x	19.7%	10.0%	-0.19%	$941.9M	/nwpx-vs-rock →
MTUS Metallus Inc.	D+	52/100	—	8.2%	-0.2%	-1.40%	$875.4M	/mtus-vs-rock →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000912562

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) reported GAAP revenue of $1.14B (+11.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.02B , and +8.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$44.4M, operating cash flow of $167.0M, and free cash flow of $120.6M (-23.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ROCK closed FY2025 with $1.39B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.14B	-$44.4M	$167.0M	$120.6M	$1.39B	$0
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.02B	$137.3M	$174.3M	$156.9M	$1.42B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.05B	$110.5M	$218.5M	$218.5M	—	—

3. ROCK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ROCK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ROCK compare to SXC and SID in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ROCK?

Where is ROCK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ROCK last traded at $40.10 (-0.57% on volume of 307,217 shares), positioning the stock -3.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($41.35) and -6.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($42.96). Across its 52-week range of $33.56 to $63.59, ROCK sits at the 21.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($36.25 to $43.95).

ROCK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ROCK's 12-month stock price target?

Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $39.02 (-2.7% from $40.10), with a bull-case target of $66.77 and a bear-case floor of $30.44.

Is ROCK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates ROCK D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 52/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: ROCK RQD Cockpit ROCK 12M Forecast ROCK Earnings & Move ROCK Dividends & DRIP ROCK Insiders & 13F ROCK Whale Options ROCK Profit Sankey ROCK News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 52/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ROCK — Gibraltar Industries Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:30:15Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROCK scores 52 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 11.6% and an FCF yield of 10.07%. Both are relatively supportive figures, though the reported FY 2025 net margin was negative (-3.9%) despite positive operating income.
Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is weak, indicating limited evidence of institutional support in the source data.
Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is moderate.
Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The score is below midpoint.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. Balance sheet metrics are mixed.

Investor implications: The rating's upside case rests on the cash-generation pillar (ROIC and FCF yield), which the source data presents as the strongest support. The valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 6.7 per the market data, while the rating's weak whale-flow and macro-fit pillars indicate less institutional and sector-level tailwind. A prospective investor would weigh the cash-yield support against the negative FY 2025 net income and the weak institutional signal. This is an analytical summary, not personalized advice.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$1135.5M	$122.8M	$-44.4M	N/A	$120.6M	$115.7M	$0.0M
FY 2024	$1023.4M	$139.7M	$137.3M	N/A	$156.9M	$269.5M	N/A
FY 2023	$1047.0M	$120.6M	$110.5M	N/A	$218.5M	N/A	N/A

Per the market data, gross margin is 26.9%, operating margin is 10.8%, and net margin is -3.9%. ROIC is 11.6%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Per the RQD rating, the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.5. Reported FY 2025 revenue rose relative to FY 2024, but net income turned negative, while operating income declined from FY 2024 to FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news data:

CATALYST (green): A headline noting a gain of 7.0% and a Benzinga item on the stock gaining Thursday.
RISK WATCH (red): A TradingView headline reporting a $208 million deal to sell an infrastructure business and reduce debt.
MARKET WIRE (yellow): Items covering a sale of the D.S. Brown business, M&A activity with a reference to reduced "rock-solid" status, a 7.0% move higher, and portfolio simplification.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What is the source of the negative FY 2025 net income given positive operating income of $122.8M?
What are the terms and effects of the reported $208 million infrastructure business sale on revenue and debt?
What are EPS, P/E, and forward earnings figures, which are unavailable in the source data?
What are the company's product lines, customer base, and specific revenue sources?
What are the FY 2024 and FY 2023 cash and debt balances, which are marked N/A?

ROCK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ROCK Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 18h ago

Gibraltar Industries (ROCK) Stock May Be Reasonable Following D.S. Brown Sale

Yahoo Finance report covering Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 21h ago

Gibraltar Industries: More M&A, But No Longer A Rock-Solid Status (NASDAQ:ROCK)

Seeking Alpha report covering Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Gibraltar Industries (ROCK) Moves 7.0% Higher: Will This Strength Last?

Yahoo Finance report covering Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Benzinga • 1d ago

Gibraltar Industries Stock Is Gaining Thursday: What's Going On? - Gibraltar Industries (NASDAQ:ROCK)

Benzinga report covering Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 1d ago

Gibraltar Industries Strikes $208 Million Deal to Sell Infrastructure Business, Cut Debt

TradingView report covering Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Gibraltar Industries (ROCK) Simplifies Its Portfolio, Is The Stock Still Cheap?

Simply Wall St report covering Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE GuruFocus • 1d ago

Gibraltar Industries (ROCK) to Sell Infrastructure Division D.S. Brown for $208M

GuruFocus report covering Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST MarketBeat • 1d ago

Gibraltar Industries (NASDAQ:ROCK) Stock Jumps 6.9% - Should You Buy?

MarketBeat report covering Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ROCK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $40.10?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ROCK 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $43.56 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ROCK (D+ • RQD 52/100) a Buy at $40.33?

Welcome to the ROCK (Gibraltar Industries Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 52/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Steel/Iron Ore. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $31.05 (-23.0%)

Spot @ $40.33

Pump the brakes on ROCK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ROCK, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 26.9% gross margins. Unless Gibraltar Industries Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $46.78 (+16.0%)

Spot @ $40.33

ROCK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ROCK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Steel/Iron Ore and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $40.33 (52-wk range $33.56 - $64.63), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.