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Stock Ratings / Technology / RMBS / earnings
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Rambus Inc. (RMBS) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.3% Move

$84.65 -6.97% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.43

Rambus Inc. (RMBS) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $9.07B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RMBS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RMBS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Rambus Inc. (NASDAQ: RMBS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $84.65 (-6.97% 1D, market cap $9.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RMBS ranks #223 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RMBS compare to AMKR and SLAB in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), RMBS carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.3x, gross margin of 79.6%, and ROIC of 16.4%. By comparison, AMKR (Amkor Technology Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 27.3x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $9.79B) and SLAB (Silicon Laboratories Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.9%, cap $7.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMKR leads on earnings multiple (27.3x) while RMBS leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RMBS?
▼

Per RMBS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000917273), Rambus Inc. generated $707.6M in revenue (+27.1% YoY), $230.5M in net income, and $333.2M in free cash flow against $1.53B in total assets and $74.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (80% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.43 (-1.44%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 47.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Cash (17)Whales (5)SEC (16)Macro (9)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$183 Bull$85 Base$66 Bear
📬 FREE RMBS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RMBS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RMBS SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 47.1% FCF Margin ($333.2M FCF) & 79.6% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$92.11+0.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$92.80-1.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$91.03-7% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$84.65+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RMBS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, RMBS faces multiple-compression risk if 42.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($93.79) or 200D SMA ($107.75) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($85.03) toward Bear Floor ($66.32).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RMBS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RMBS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.3% Swing Band

±$9.57 Expected Swing
$75.08 (-11.3%)Spot $84.65$94.22 (+11.3%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

RMBS Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 59/100

Trailing EPS: $2.15 • YoY Revenue Growth: -3.3%

Model Bullish Setup (59/100)Model Risk Weight (41/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$707.6M$230.5M$333.2M79.6%
FY 20242024-12-31$556.6M$179.8M$199.9M80.2%
FY 20232023-12-31$0$333.9M$195.8M79.6%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating RMBS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on RMBS
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
RMBS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.08%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $90.99H $90.99L $84.65C $84.65VOL 2.53M
RES: $120.4SUP: $76.86SMA50: $93.79SMA200: $107.8
$180.7$153.4$126.1$98.82$71.53RES $120.4SUP $76.86$84.652026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RMBS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RMBS Butterfly Map → + Track RMBS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
31.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RMBS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RMBS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RMBS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RMBS)

Technology Rank #223 of 714 ⚔️ AMKR vs RMBS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (RMBS vs. AMKR, SLAB, VIAV, SIMO)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rambus Inc. (RMBS) ranks #223 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #153 by equity capitalization ($9.07B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMKR leads on earnings valuation at 27.3x trailing P/E, while RMBS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.4% ROIC and 79.6% gross margin. SLAB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with RMBS at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RMBS ACTIVE
Rambus Inc.
C- 59/100 42.3x 79.6% 16.4% -6.97% $9.07B Benchmark Subject
AMKR
Amkor Technology Inc.
D 48/100 27.3x 14.0% 8.4% -4.15% $9.79B /amkr-vs-rmbs →
SLAB
Silicon Laboratories Inc.
C 65/100 — 58.2% -6.9% +0.05% $7.42B /slab-vs-rmbs →
VIAV
Viavi Solutions Inc.
D 48/100 — 57.7% 9.4% -10.20% $7.41B /viav-vs-rmbs →
SIMO
Silicon Motion Technology Corporation
D 48/100 63.0x 48.3% 9.3% -8.39% $7.07B /simo-vs-rmbs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000917273

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rambus Inc. (RMBS) reported GAAP revenue of $707.6M (+27.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $556.6M ) , GAAP net income of $230.5M, operating cash flow of $360.0M, and free cash flow of $333.2M (+66.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, RMBS closed FY2025 with $1.53B in total assets against $74.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $707.6M $230.5M $360.0M $333.2M $1.53B $74.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $556.6M $179.8M $230.6M $199.9M $1.34B $100.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $333.9M $195.8M $195.8M $5.36B $1.25B

3. RMBS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RMBS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Rambus Inc. (NASDAQ: RMBS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $84.65 (-6.97% 1D, market cap $9.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RMBS ranks #223 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RMBS compare to AMKR and SLAB in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), RMBS carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.3x, gross margin of 79.6%, and ROIC of 16.4%. By comparison, AMKR (Amkor Technology Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 27.3x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $9.79B) and SLAB (Silicon Laboratories Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.9%, cap $7.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMKR leads on earnings multiple (27.3x) while RMBS leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RMBS?

Per RMBS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000917273), Rambus Inc. generated $707.6M in revenue (+27.1% YoY), $230.5M in net income, and $333.2M in free cash flow against $1.53B in total assets and $74.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (80% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RMBS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RMBS last traded at $84.65 (-6.97% on volume of 2,530,897 shares), positioning the stock -9.75% below its 50-day simple moving average ($93.79) and -21.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($107.75). Across its 52-week range of $77.89 to $174.10, RMBS sits at the 7.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.3% ($75.08 to $94.22).

RMBS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is RMBS's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Rambus Inc. (RMBS)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is RMBS stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.3% event move for RMBS, spanning a range between $75.08 and $94.22.

Direct Sub-Reports: RMBS RQD Cockpit RMBS 12M Forecast RMBS Earnings & Move RMBS Dividends & DRIP RMBS Insiders & 13F RMBS Whale Options RMBS Profit Sankey RMBS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

RMBS — Rambus Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:16:47Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, RMBS scores 62 out of 100, grade C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 17 / 20. The strongest pillar, citing ROIC of 16.4% and FCF yield of 3.42%. For a prospective investor, this indicates the business generates solid returns on invested capital, though the 3.42% FCF yield implies the market is pricing in substantial future growth relative to current free cash flow.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Weak. The pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning, and its low score suggests limited evidence of strong institutional conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Moderate. Per the rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is mixed rather than decisively bullish or bearish.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Below midpoint. A beta of 1.22 means the stock has historically amplified broader market moves, which raises sensitivity to a risk-off environment.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Strong. Per the rating, Altman Z is 26, Piotroski F is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.05, indicating low balance-sheet risk.

Investor implications: the upside case rests on the cash-generation and balance-sheet strength, while valuation (P/E of 42.3 TTM, EV/EBITDA of 34) and high beta are the main tradeoffs. The shares trade near the lower-middle of a 52-week range of $77.89 to $174.1, a context in which the rating's "balanced" verdict reflects offsetting strengths and weaknesses rather than a clear directional signal. This is educational analysis, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
90.99$9.74B42.339.3342.150%1.22$77.89 - $174.116.4%

Business

Rambus Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, Semiconductors industry. Per the profile, it has a market capitalization of $9.7B. Per the market data, its gross margin is 79.6%, operating margin 36.8%, and net margin 32.6%. Not available in source data: a detailed description of products, customers, or revenue model.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$707.6M$260.2M$230.5MN/A$333.2M$182.8M$74.3M
FY 2024$556.6M$183.0M$179.8MN/A$199.9M$99.8M$100.1M
FY 2023$0.0M$153.6M$333.9MN/A$195.8MN/A$1254.1M

Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 revenue of $707.6M grew from $556.6M in FY 2024, with operating income rising from $183.0M to $260.2M. Net income in FY 2023 ($333.9M) exceeds operating income ($153.6M) and the source does not explain the difference. Debt fell from $1254.1M in FY 2023 to $74.3M in FY 2025. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 16.4%, Altman Z is 26, and Piotroski F is 8/9. Not available in source data: EPS for any reported period.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Not available in source data: upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations for RMBS.

Open Questions

  • What drove the drop in reported debt from $1254.1M (FY 2023) to $74.3M (FY 2025), and what drove the FY 2023 revenue figure of $0.0M?
  • Why is FY 2023 net income ($333.9M) above operating income ($153.6M)?
  • What is the EPS for each reported fiscal year, given that the financials show N/A?
  • Which customers and products generate the FY 2025 revenue, and how exposed is the company to AI memory demand the news wire references?
  • What analyst price targets and institutional holdings exist, given that those sections are empty?

RMBS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Rambus Inc. (RMBS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RMBS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RMBS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $84.65?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RMBS 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RMBS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $98.27 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is RMBS (C • RQD 62/100) a Buy at $90.99?

Welcome to the RMBS (Rambus Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 62/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Semiconductors. Bulls point to capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (42.3x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $70.06 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $90.99

Pump the brakes on RMBS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on RMBS, but look at what you are paying: 42.3x trailing P/E with 79.6% gross margins. Unless Rambus Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $105.55 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $90.99

RMBS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on RMBS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Semiconductors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $90.99 (52-wk range $77.89 - $174.10), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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