Should I buy, hold, or sell RGTI stock right now?

Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 33/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is RGTI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

RGTI's 12-month base price target is $9.47 (range $7.39 to $46.6), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Technology / RGTI

FA (57) LIF (51) JOYY (52) QBTS (35) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$10.67 -5.16% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.55

Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $3.75B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RGTI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RGTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Rigetti Computing Inc. (NASDAQ: RGTI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $10.67 (-5.16% 1D, market cap $3.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RGTI ranks #540 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RGTI compare to FA and LIF in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), RGTI carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.1%, and ROIC of -12.1%. By comparison, FA (First Advantage Corporation) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.3%, cap $3.71B) and LIF (Life360 Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 24.6x, ROIC 8.0%, cap $3.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LIF leads on earnings multiple (24.6x) while LIF leads on capital efficiency (8.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RGTI?

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Per RGTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001838359), Rigetti Computing Inc. generated $7.1M in revenue (-34.3% YoY), -$216.2M in net income, and -$77.2M in free cash flow against $666.6M in total assets and $54.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.55 (-1.12%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RGTI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RGTI SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 18.83 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 29.1% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$11.68+3.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$12.05+2.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$12.40-14% Next Q

Current

Grade E$10.67-8.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (41) → E (33)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RGTI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RGTI currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.23) and Max Pain ($11.20) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $46.60.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RGTI• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RGTI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 33%NO 67%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

36.630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

18.83>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE

L: $11$10.67H: $44

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 10 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on RGTI

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (35)

-12.1% ROIC with 29.1% gross margin and -1.92% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 18.83 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (25)

10/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 5/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like RGTI

✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RGTI)

✓Walkthrough of RGTI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

RGTI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -39.72%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $12.06H $12.06L $10.67C $10.67VOL 14.68M

RES: $15.84SUP: $9.48SMA50: $14.23SMA200: $16.98

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RGTI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RGTI Butterfly Map → + Track RGTI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

27.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RGTI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RGTI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RGTI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RGTI)

Technology Rank #540 of 714 ⚔️ FA vs RGTI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (RGTI vs. FA, LIF, JOYY, QBTS)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) ranks #540 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #229 by equity capitalization ($3.75B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LIF leads on earnings valuation at 24.6x trailing P/E, while LIF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.0% ROIC and 77.8% gross margin. FA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with RGTI at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RGTI ACTIVE Rigetti Computing Inc.	E	33/100	—	29.1%	-12.1%	-5.16%	$3.75B	Benchmark Subject
FA First Advantage Corporation	D+	57/100	—	—	3.3%	+2.18%	$3.71B	/fa-vs-rgti →
LIF Life360 Inc.	D	51/100	24.6x	77.8%	8.0%	+0.56%	$3.62B	/lif-vs-rgti →
JOYY JOYY Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	0.7%	-1.23%	$3.93B	/joyy-vs-rgti →
QBTS D-Wave Quantum Inc.	D-	35/100	—	82.6%	-22.6%	-5.26%	$4.04B	/qbts-vs-rgti →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001838359

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) reported GAAP revenue of $7.1M (-34.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.8M , and -96.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$216.2M, operating cash flow of -$58.5M, and free cash flow of -$77.2M (-25.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, RGTI closed FY2025 with $666.6M in total assets against $54.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 18.83, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$7.1M	-$216.2M	-$58.5M	-$77.2M	$666.6M	$54.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$10.8M	-$201.0M	-$50.6M	-$61.7M	$284.8M	$0
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$202.4M	-$75.1M	-$50.6M	-$50.6M	$2.21B	$518.0M

3. RGTI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RGTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does RGTI compare to FA and LIF in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RGTI?

Where is RGTI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RGTI last traded at $10.67 (-5.16% on volume of 12,632,781 shares), positioning the stock -25.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.23) and -37.16% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.98). Across its 52-week range of $10.82 to $44.38, RGTI sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.0% ($9.39 to $11.95).

Direct Sub-Reports: RGTI RQD Cockpit RGTI 12M Forecast RGTI Earnings & Move RGTI Dividends & DRIP RGTI Insiders & 13F RGTI Whale Options RGTI Profit Sankey RGTI News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 33/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

RGTI — Rigetti Computing Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:22:29Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

RGTI scores 33 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 7 / 20. Return on invested capital is -12.1% and FCF yield is -1.92%.
Whale / 13F Flow: 5 / 20. This pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is weak, indicating limited institutional conviction signaling in the source data.
Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. This pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is weak, so insider activity is not providing a supportive signal.
Macro Regime Fit: 5 / 20. Beta is 1.26, meaning the stock has been more volatile than the broader market per the market data. The sector-sensitivity score is weak, implying amplified exposure to market swings.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 11 / 20. Altman Z-Score is 18.83, Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.09. This is the strongest pillar, indicating the balance sheet is less of a concern than cash generation.

Investor implications: The upside case rests on the balance sheet's relative strength and on the stock's price position far below its 52-week high. The valuation tradeoff is that forward P/E is 35 while trailing EPS is -0.65, so earnings-based valuation is not anchored to current profitability. The rating's verdict is cautionary; this is an educational reading of the scores, not personalized advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Rigetti Computing Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector, EDP Services industry. It operates in EDP Services with a market capitalization of $4.0B.

Revenue declined from $10.8M in FY 2024 to $7.1M in FY 2025 while net losses widened to -$216.2M. Gross margin is 29.1% and operating and net margins are each -60% per the market data, with ROIC at -12.1%. The Altman Z-Score is 18.83 and Piotroski F-Score is 4/9 . Debt was $54.2M in FY 2025, down from $518.0M in FY 2023, and cash fell to $44.9M from $67.7M.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case: The balance sheet is the RQD's strongest pillar, with an Altman Z-Score of 18.83 and Debt/Equity of 0.09. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 (ROIC -12.1%, FCF yield -1.92%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $10.82 – $44.38 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case: Cash generation is deeply negative, with ROIC at -12.1%, FCF yield at -1.92%, and FY 2025 FCF of -$77.2M. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.26 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector classification is Technology / EDP Services. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means second-order ripple effects cannot be assessed from these sources.

Key Question #1: What drives the revenue decline from $10.8M to $7.1M, and what revenue visibility exists going forward?
Key Question #2: What is the path to positive free cash flow given FCF of -$77.2M in FY 2025?
Key Question #3: Why is the P/E (TTM) and EV/EBITDA unavailable, and how should valuation be anchored absent earnings?

RGTI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RGTI Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

Rigetti Computing (RGTI) Stock Looks Rich As Book Value Questions Linger

Yahoo Finance report covering Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 23h ago

RGTI Stock Price and Chart — NASDAQ:RGTI

TradingView report covering Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE The Motley Fool • 1d ago

Prediction: Rigetti Computing Stock Could Double by 2031. Here's Why I'm Still Cautious.

The Motley Fool report covering Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Trefis • 1d ago

What Is Next For Rigetti Stock?

Trefis report covering Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Rigetti Computing (RGTI) Loss Concerns Put Its Undervalued Narrative Back In Focus

Yahoo Finance report covering Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Trefis • 1d ago

Should You Trim Or Add To Your RGTI Stock Position Now?

Trefis report covering Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH The Motley Fool • 1d ago

D-Wave Quantum vs. Rigetti Computing: Which Cutting Edge Quantum Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?

The Motley Fool report covering Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Trefis • 1d ago

Is Rigetti Computing Stock’s Drop A Chance To Buy?

Trefis report covering Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RGTI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.67?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RGTI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MA MacroHawk_NYC Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.29 (+27.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

The balance sheet is the RQD's strongest pillar, with an Altman Z-Score of 18.83 and Debt/Equity of 0.09.

The balance sheet is the RQD's strongest pillar, with an Altman Z-Score of 18.83 and Debt/Equity of 0.09.. When you look under the hood at RGTI, Fundamental Cash Engine is 7/20 with 29.1% gross margins and -12.1% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (5/20) has been quietly accumulating below $38.62. My 12M target is $14.29.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $11.25 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

ME MeanReversion_88 Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.89 (-21.0%)

Spot @ $11.25

Cash generation is deeply negative, with ROIC at -12.1%, FCF yield at -1.92%, and FY 2025 FCF of -$77.2M.

Cash generation is deeply negative, with ROIC at -12.1%, FCF yield at -1.92%, and FY 2025 FCF of -$77.2M.. Look at the math on RGTI: paying 35.0x forward P/E for -12.1% ROIC and -60.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if EDP Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $9.90 before getting long.