Stock Ratings / Financials / RAND / insiders

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Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$9.50 -0.88% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.47

Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $28.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RAND Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RAND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Rand Capital Corporation (NASDAQ: RAND) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $9.50 (-0.88% 1D, market cap $28.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, RAND ranks #930 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RAND compare to FLD and JFU in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), RAND carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -15.4%. By comparison, FLD (Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.3M) and JFU (9F Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.3%, cap $27.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RAND leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AMTD leads on capital efficiency (4.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RAND?

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Per RAND's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000081955), Rand Capital Corporation generated $0 in revenue, -$8.0M in net income, and $11.3M in free cash flow against $53.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.47 (-0.35%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RAND)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±2.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RAND SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.3% FCF Margin ($11.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$9.60-0.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$9.59-5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$9.11+4.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$9.50-7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RAND Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RAND currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.15) and Max Pain ($9.98) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.36.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RAND• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RAND Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

RAND Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (RAND)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on RAND. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RAND)

✓Walkthrough of RAND's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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RAND // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.04%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $9.58H $9.58L $9.50C $9.50VOL 394

RES: $11.33SUP: $9.06SMA50: $10.15SMA200: $10.64

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RAND Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RAND Butterfly Map → + Track RAND →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RAND today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RAND. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RAND today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RAND)

Financials Rank #930 of 1096 ⚔️ FLD vs RAND Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (RAND vs. FLD, JFU, GRAN, AMTD)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) ranks #930 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #1039 by equity capitalization ($28.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RAND leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AMTD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.9% ROIC and — gross margin. AMTD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with RAND at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RAND ACTIVE Rand Capital Corporation	D-	39/100	—	—	-15.4%	-0.88%	$28.2M	Benchmark Subject
FLD Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D-	35/100	—	—	-35.0%	+1.14%	$29.3M	/fld-vs-rand →
JFU 9F Inc.	D	44/100	—	—	0.3%	-11.86%	$27.0M	/jfu-vs-rand →
GRAN Grande Group Limited (Class A)	E	31/100	—	—	—	+4.39%	$29.6M	/gran-vs-rand →
AMTD AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A)	D	46/100	—	—	4.9%	-5.01%	$31.3M	/amtd-vs-rand →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000081955

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$8.0M, operating cash flow of $11.3M, and free cash flow of $11.3M (-26.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, RAND closed FY2025 with $53.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$8.0M	$11.3M	$11.3M	$53.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$8.8M	$15.3M	$15.3M	$72.5M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$6.5M	-$8.3M	-$8.3M	—	—

3. RAND Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RAND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does RAND compare to FLD and JFU in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RAND?

Where is RAND trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RAND last traded at $9.50 (-0.88% on volume of 394 shares), positioning the stock -6.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.15) and -10.71% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.64). Across its 52-week range of $9.11 to $17.49, RAND sits at the 4.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±2.1% ($9.30 to $9.70).

RAND Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are RAND insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies RAND leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: RAND RQD Cockpit RAND 12M Forecast RAND Earnings & Move RAND Dividends & DRIP RAND Insiders & 13F RAND Whale Options RAND Profit Sankey RAND News & Why

Sector Peer Dials

Compare →

FLD D-

Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A)

Grande Group Limited (Class A)

31 /100

AMTD D

AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A)

46 /100

MI E

NFT Limited Class A Ordinary Share

RAND Core Snapshot

Market Cap $28.2M

Trailing / Fwd P/E — / —

Gross Profit Margin —

Return on Capital (ROIC) -15.4%

Free Cash Flow Yield —

12M Base Price Target $8.69

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RAND Wire

Why It Moved →

Direct Company Event Yahoo Finance • 17h ago

Rand Capital Announces Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results Conference Call and Webcast

Direct Company Event TradingView • 20h ago

Rand Capital Corporation Estimates – NASDAQ:RAND

Direct Company Event Stock Traders Daily • 23h ago

Precision Trading with Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) Risk Zones

Peer / Ecosystem Wire Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago

PhenixFIN Corporation (PFX) Seasonal Returns Chart

Direct Company Event Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

(RAND) Risk Channels and Responsive Allocation

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 39/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

RAND — Rand Capital Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:48:59Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, RAND scores 40 out of 100 (grade D-, verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow"). The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 (ROIC of -15.4% and FCF yield of 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 5/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 5/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 10/20 (beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z-Score 2.5, Piotroski F-Score 3/9, Debt/Equity 0.5). Taken together, the weakest pillars are the flow-based ones: the rating assigns only 5 of 20 points each to institutional and insider conviction, indicating limited supportive positioning in the source data. The cash-engine pillar is also weak, with a negative ROIC and a 0% FCF yield per the market data. The forensic pillar sits in the middle, suggesting the balance sheet is not in acute distress by these measures but is not a source of strength either. For a prospective investor, the upside case depends on a turnaround in return on capital that the source data does not yet show; the valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a $28.5M market cap with no reported positive FCF yield to anchor it. This is an analytical summary of the rating, not personalized financial advice.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$0.0M	$0.0M	$-8.0M	N/A	$11.3M	$4.2M	N/A
FY 2024	$0.0M	$0.0M	$8.8M	N/A	$15.3M	$0.8M	N/A
FY 2023	$0.0M	$0.0M	$6.5M	N/A	$-8.3M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue and operating income are $0.0M in each period shown, and net income swung from $6.5M (FY 2023) and $8.8M (FY 2024) to $-8.0M (FY 2025). Margins are reported as 0% for gross, operating, and net. Per the market data, ROIC is -15.4%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, per the Roarable RQD rating's forensic pillar, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. The source data does not provide a detailed debt schedule, so the balance sheet posture beyond these ratios cannot be further characterized.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news items in the source data are all tagged to RAND and consist of routine market commentary, with no substantive company-specific operating news beyond an earnings call announcement. The first item announces a Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results Conference Call and Webcast (Yahoo Finance, marked yellow). A second item, from TradingView, is an estimates page for the company. Two items from Stock Traders Daily (marked red, "RISK WATCH") are titled as risk-zone and risk-channel commentary, and a Yahoo! Finance Canada item is a seasonal returns chart for a different company, PhenixFIN Corporation (PFX). A further item describes trading at $9.59 as range-bound with a key reversal day, sourced from a website that is not a financial news outlet. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue drivers, given that the source data reports $0.0M revenue across all periods?
What caused the swing in net income from positive $8.8M in FY 2024 to negative $-8.0M in FY 2025, and is it expected to persist?
What is the debt composition and maturity profile, since debt is reported as N/A in every period while Debt/Equity is 0.5?
What explains the 0% FCF yield and negative ROIC despite positive reported FCF in FY 2024 and FY 2025?
What are the EPS and valuation multiples (P/E, EV/EBITDA), which are unavailable in the source data?

RAND Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RAND Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 17h ago

Rand Capital Announces Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results Conference Call and Webcast

Yahoo Finance report covering Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 20h ago

Rand Capital Corporation Estimates – NASDAQ:RAND

TradingView report covering Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Stock Traders Daily • 23h ago

Precision Trading with Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) Risk Zones

Stock Traders Daily report covering Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago

PhenixFIN Corporation (PFX) Seasonal Returns Chart

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

(RAND) Risk Channels and Responsive Allocation

Stock Traders Daily report covering Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago

Rand (RAND) Unchanged at $9.59 — Range-Bound Trading 2026-10-30 - Key Reversal Day

https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RAND Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.50?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RAND 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.44 (-12.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is RAND (D- • RQD 40/100) a Buy at $9.59?

Welcome to the RAND (Rand Capital Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 40/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.86 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $9.59

Pump the brakes on RAND — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on RAND, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Rand Capital Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.60 (+21.0%)

Spot @ $9.59

RAND cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on RAND, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $9.59 (52-wk range $9.11 - $17.49), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.