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QuantumScape Corporation (Class A) (QS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$4.02 -0.98% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.01

QuantumScape Corporation (Class A) (QS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $2.53B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on QS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is QS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, QuantumScape Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: QS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $4.02 (-0.98% 1D, market cap $2.53B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, QS ranks #410 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does QS compare to LUNR and DXPE in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), QS carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LUNR (Intuitive Machines Inc.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.2%, cap $2.44B) and DXPE (DXP Enterprises Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 30.8x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $2.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KMT leads on earnings multiple (23.4x) while DXPE leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for QS?
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Per QS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001811414), QuantumScape Corporation (Class A) generated $1.32B in revenue (-10.0% YoY), -$435.1M in net income, and -$278.8M in free cash flow against $1.31B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.01 (-0.37%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510029
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (4)SEC (10)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.9% Base Target
$19 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE QS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for QS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY QS SCORES 29/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (34% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$4.12-3.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$3.98+5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
32
Grade E$4.18-3.8% Next Q
Current
29
Grade E$4.02-9.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (37) → E (29)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a QS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While QS currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.75) and Max Pain ($4.22) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.75.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $QS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “QS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 29%NO 71%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
41.830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $4$4.02H: $18
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 7 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on QS

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

-35.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -10.67% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (18)

7/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 4/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like QS
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring QS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of QS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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QS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -44.09%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $4.20H $4.20L $4.02C $4.02VOL 13.99M
RES: $4.24SUP: $3.23SMA50: $4.75SMA200: $6.59
$10.77$8.88$6.99$5.10$3.21RES $4.24SUP $3.23$4.022026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

QS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 QS Butterfly Map → + Track QS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on QS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for QS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for QS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (QS)

Industrials Rank #410 of 486 ⚔️ LUNR vs QS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (QS vs. LUNR, DXPE, KMT, EFXT)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, QuantumScape Corporation (Class A) (QS) ranks #410 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #194 by equity capitalization ($2.53B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KMT leads on earnings valuation at 23.4x trailing P/E, while DXPE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.8% ROIC and 31.5% gross margin. DXPE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with QS at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
QS ACTIVE
QuantumScape Corporation (Class A)
E 29/100 — — -35.0% -0.98% $2.53B Benchmark Subject
LUNR
Intuitive Machines Inc.
E 27/100 — — -32.2% -7.59% $2.44B /lunr-vs-qs →
DXPE
DXP Enterprises Inc.
C- 60/100 30.8x 31.5% 13.8% -0.10% $2.71B /dxpe-vs-qs →
KMT
Kennametal Inc.
D+ 53/100 23.4x 30.4% 9.5% +5.57% $2.22B /kmt-vs-qs →
EFXT
Enerflex Ltd
D+ 57/100 — — — -5.92% $2.89B /efxt-vs-qs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001811414 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), QuantumScape Corporation (Class A) (QS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.32B (-10.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.47B , and -1.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$435.1M, operating cash flow of -$242.5M, and free cash flow of -$278.8M (+17.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, QS closed FY2025 with $1.31B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.32B -$435.1M -$242.5M -$278.8M $1.31B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.47B -$477.9M -$274.6M -$336.8M $1.32B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.34B -$445.1M -$240.0M -$240.0M — —

3. QS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is QS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, QuantumScape Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: QS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $4.02 (-0.98% 1D, market cap $2.53B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, QS ranks #410 in composite RQD confidence.

How does QS compare to LUNR and DXPE in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), QS carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LUNR (Intuitive Machines Inc.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.2%, cap $2.44B) and DXPE (DXP Enterprises Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 30.8x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $2.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KMT leads on earnings multiple (23.4x) while DXPE leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for QS?

Per QS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001811414), QuantumScape Corporation (Class A) generated $1.32B in revenue (-10.0% YoY), -$435.1M in net income, and -$278.8M in free cash flow against $1.31B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is QS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

QS last traded at $4.02 (-0.98% on volume of 13,269,006 shares), positioning the stock -15.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.75) and -39.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.59). Across its 52-week range of $3.80 to $17.86, QS sits at the 1.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.4% ($3.52 to $4.52).

Direct Sub-Reports: QS RQD Cockpit QS 12M Forecast QS Earnings & Move QS Dividends & DRIP QS Insiders & 13F QS Whale Options QS Profit Sankey QS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 29/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

QS — QuantumScape Corporation (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

QuantumScape Corporation (Class A) (QS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 29/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $4.02 (-0.98% 1D, market capitalization $2.53B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -10.67%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Industrial Machinery/Components industry, with a market capitalization of $2.6B. The FY 2025 and FY 2024 filings report revenue of — in each period, indicating no reported revenue in the periods provided.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), QuantumScape Corporation (Class A) (QS) reported $1.32B in annual revenue (up from $1.47B in FY2024, -10.0% YoY) and -$435.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.34B revenue, -$445.1M net income) through FY2025, QS scaled operating cash flow to -$242.5M and free cash flow to -$278.8M, backed by $1.31B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 29/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -10.67% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.80 – $17.86 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The sector is Industrials and the industry is Industrial Machinery/Components. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means ripple effects cannot be traced from this dataset alone.

  • Key Question #1: Can QS sustain or expand its — operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.32B and free cash flow of -$278.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is QS's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

QS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for QuantumScape Corporation (Class A) (QS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to QS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

QS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.02?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON QS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on QS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.71 (+16.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The wire's AI data-center battery prototype story reports 5x runtime in tests, a potential commercial catalyst.

Picked up a starter position in QS in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $4.06. The wire's AI data-center battery prototype story reports 5x runtime in tests, a potential commercial catalyst.. Trading inside a $3.80–$17.86 52-week range with -10.67% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Industrial Machinery/Components multiples expand this quarter.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@FadeTheHype Shorting a 4/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $4.06 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.09 (-23.9%)
Spot @ $4.06

Negative ROIC of -35% and free cash flow of -$278.8M in FY 2025 with zero reported revenue leave no cash-generation support.

Negative ROIC of -35% and free cash flow of -$278.8M in FY 2025 with zero reported revenue leave no cash-generation support.. Look at the math on QS: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -35.0% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Industrial Machinery/Components demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $3.57 before getting long.

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