Intuitive Machines Inc. (LUNR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$10.67 -8.65% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.48

Intuitive Machines Inc. (LUNR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $2.44B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LUNR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LUNR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Intuitive Machines Inc. (NASDAQ: LUNR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $10.67 (-8.65% 1D, market cap $2.44B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, LUNR ranks #428 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LUNR compare to QS and KMT in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), LUNR carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -32.2%. By comparison, QS (QuantumScape Corporation (Class A)) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.53B) and KMT (Kennametal Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 23.4x, ROIC 9.5%, cap $2.22B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KMT leads on earnings multiple (23.4x) while DXPE leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LUNR?
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Per LUNR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001844452), Intuitive Machines Inc. generated $207.1M in revenue (-9.2% YoY), -$83.3M in net income, and -$56.0M in free cash flow against $757.2M in total assets and $335.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.48 (-1.75%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510027
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (4)Whales (4)SEC (10)Macro (3)CEO (6)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14% Base Target
$49 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE LUNR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LUNR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (27/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LUNR SCORES 27/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (37% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.24 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+6/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 30% Net Buy • Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (39.3) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
35
Grade E$11.02-1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
32
Grade E$10.91+6.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
30
Grade E$11.59-7.9% Next Q
Current
27
Grade E$10.67-10.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (35) → E (27)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LUNR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LUNR currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.51) and Max Pain ($11.20) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $49.09.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LUNR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LUNR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
39.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.24>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE7% OF RANGE
L: $8$10.67H: $47
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 4 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 10 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on LUNR

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (20)

-32.2% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -2.09% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 2.24 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (22)

10/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like LUNR
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LUNR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LUNR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LUNR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -57.91%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $11.68H $11.68L $10.67C $10.67VOL 5.34M
RES: $11.43SUP: $9.88SMA50: $13.51SMA200: $19.63
$49.32$38.67$28.03$17.38$6.74RES $11.43SUP $9.88$10.672026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LUNR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LUNR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LUNR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LUNR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LUNR)

Industrials Rank #428 of 485 ⚔️ QS vs LUNR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (LUNR vs. QS, KMT, DXPE, OUST)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Intuitive Machines Inc. (LUNR) ranks #428 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #194 by equity capitalization ($2.44B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KMT leads on earnings valuation at 23.4x trailing P/E, while DXPE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.8% ROIC and 31.5% gross margin. DXPE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with LUNR at 27/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LUNR ACTIVE
Intuitive Machines Inc.
E 27/100 — — -32.2% -8.65% $2.44B Benchmark Subject
QS
QuantumScape Corporation (Class A)
E 29/100 — — -35.0% -3.33% $2.53B /qs-vs-lunr →
KMT
Kennametal Inc.
D+ 53/100 23.4x 30.4% 9.5% -3.58% $2.22B /kmt-vs-lunr →
DXPE
DXP Enterprises Inc.
C- 60/100 30.8x 31.5% 13.8% -1.04% $2.71B /dxpe-vs-lunr →
OUST
Ouster Inc.
E 31/100 — 49.3% -30.1% -7.47% $2.14B /oust-vs-lunr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001844452

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Intuitive Machines Inc. (LUNR) reported GAAP revenue of $207.1M (-9.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $228.0M , and +160.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$83.3M, operating cash flow of -$14.3M, and free cash flow of -$56.0M (+17.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, LUNR closed FY2025 with $757.2M in total assets against $335.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.24, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $207.1M -$83.3M -$14.3M -$56.0M $757.2M $335.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $228.0M -$283.4M -$57.6M -$67.7M $355.4M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $79.6M $61.8M -$45.3M -$48.9M $1.47B $344.1M

3. LUNR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LUNR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Intuitive Machines Inc. (NASDAQ: LUNR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $10.67 (-8.65% 1D, market cap $2.44B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, LUNR ranks #428 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LUNR compare to QS and KMT in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), LUNR carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -32.2%. By comparison, QS (QuantumScape Corporation (Class A)) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.53B) and KMT (Kennametal Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 23.4x, ROIC 9.5%, cap $2.22B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KMT leads on earnings multiple (23.4x) while DXPE leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LUNR?

Per LUNR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001844452), Intuitive Machines Inc. generated $207.1M in revenue (-9.2% YoY), -$83.3M in net income, and -$56.0M in free cash flow against $757.2M in total assets and $335.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LUNR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LUNR last traded at $10.67 (-8.65% on volume of 5,337,516 shares), positioning the stock -21.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.51) and -45.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.63). Across its 52-week range of $7.78 to $46.75, LUNR sits at the 7.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($9.34 to $12.00).

LUNR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell LUNR stock right now?

Intuitive Machines Inc. (LUNR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 27/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-32% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is LUNR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

LUNR's 12-month base price target is $9.18 (range $7.16 to $49.09), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 27/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LUNR — Intuitive Machines Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:25:13Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LUNR scores 29 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20 (ROIC -32.2%; FCF yield -2.09%), Whale 13F Flow 6/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 6/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 3/20 (Beta 0.97; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 10/20 (Altman Z 2.24; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.85). The cash-engine pillar carries the weakest score, indicating that the company's reported returns on invested capital and free-cash-flow yield are both negative in the source data. Its highest-scoring pillar is the balance sheet, which is the only area the rating treats as a relative strength. For a prospective investor, the rating frames the stock as one where valuation depends on future cash generation that the current figures do not yet demonstrate. The positive balance-sheet reading lowers near-term solvency concern but does not offset negative operating returns. Upside arguments would need to rest on improvement in ROIC and cash flow, which the source data does not forecast.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$207.1M$-87.2M$-83.3MN/A$-56.0M$582.6M$335.3M
FY 2024$228.0M$-57.4M$-283.4MN/A$-67.7M$207.6M$0.0M
FY 2023$79.6M$-61.1M$61.8MN/A$-48.9MN/A$344.1M

Per the SEC financials, operating margin is -42.1% and net margin is -40.2%, with gross margin reported as 0%. ROIC is -32.2% per market data. The Roarable RQD rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.24 and a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.85. Cash of $582.6M against debt of $335.3M in FY 2025 indicates a net cash position on the reported balance sheet, while free cash flow was negative in each reported period.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Satellite manufacturing scale-up (RISK WATCH): A 24/7 Wall St. item reports the stock fell 7% despite scaling up satellite manufacturing, with Rocket Lab and Redwire down 5%.
  • Downward session (RISK WATCH): A TradingView item reports the stock dropped on a Wednesday without a stated cause in the summary.
  • Sharp rebound (MARKET WIRE): A Benzinga item asks what is driving a stock "lift-off."
  • Valuation framing (MARKET WIRE): A Yahoo Finance item suggests the stock could be 47% undervalued despite recent share price pressure.
  • Peer comparison (MARKET WIRE): A Motley Fool item compares LUNR with Redwire as a 2026 buy.
  • General market wire (MARKET WIRE): A Yahoo! Finance Canada item covers market action and institutional positioning.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply-chain field is "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the source of the negative ROIC and FCF yield, and what is management's trajectory for operating cash generation?
  • What is the company's trailing P/E and EV/EBITDA, given that both are unavailable in the source data?
  • What drove the FY 2024 net loss of $-283.4M against an operating loss of $-57.4M?
  • Who are the company's customers, and what share of the $207.1M FY 2025 revenue is concentrated among them?
  • What do the insider and institutional flows referenced in the RQD pillars actually show in terms of direction and size?

LUNR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Intuitive Machines Inc. (LUNR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LUNR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LUNR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.67?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LUNR 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LUNR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.28 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LUNR (E • RQD 29/100) a Buy at $11.68?

Welcome to the LUNR (Intuitive Machines Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 29/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.81 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $11.68

Pump the brakes on LUNR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LUNR, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Intuitive Machines Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.90 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $11.68

LUNR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LUNR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $11.68 (52-wk range $7.78 - $46.75), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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