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Stock Ratings / Industrials / PLOW / options
ASTE (48) MTW (46) HY (37) WNC (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Douglas Dynamics Inc. (PLOW) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$39.49 -0.85% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.35

Douglas Dynamics Inc. (PLOW) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) β†’
ROARABLE C+ β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $911.3M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PLOW Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PLOW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Douglas Dynamics Inc. (NYSE: PLOW) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $39.49 (-0.85% 1D, market cap $911.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, PLOW ranks #64 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PLOW compare to ASTE and MTW in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), PLOW carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.6x, gross margin of 26.6%, and ROIC of 20.7%. By comparison, ASTE (Astec Industries Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 23.7x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $904.2M) and MTW (Manitowoc Company Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 119.2x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $830.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLOW leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while WNC leads on capital efficiency (31.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PLOW?
β–Ό

Per PLOW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001287213), Douglas Dynamics Inc. generated $656.1M in revenue (+15.4% YoY), $46.9M in net income, and $63.9M in free cash flow against $626.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (27% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.36 (-0.34%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) β€’ 9.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 56.4% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C+
025507510067
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B Β· Rk D+
Cash (18)Whales (7)SEC (15)Macro (8)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
$58 Bull$41 Base$32 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE PLOW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PLOW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±4.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY PLOW SCORES 67/100 (C+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.7% FCF Margin ($63.9M FCF) & 26.6% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
75
Grade B+$39.87+0.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
72
Grade B$40.16-1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
70
Grade B$39.71-0.6% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$39.49+1.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B+ (75) β†’ C+ (67)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PLOW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, PLOW faces multiple-compression risk if 19.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 24.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($40.18) or 200D SMA ($43.09) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($41.09) toward Bear Floor ($32.05).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PLOWβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œPLOW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±4.2%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (PLOW)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for PLOW.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating PLOW & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on PLOW
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PLOW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.42%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $39.83H $39.83L $39.49C $39.49VOL 193.5K
RES: $40.07SUP: $38.31SMA50: $40.18SMA200: $43.09
$56.34$50.78$45.22$39.66$34.10RES $40.07SUP $38.31$39.492026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PLOW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ PLOW Butterfly Map β†’ + Track PLOW β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PLOW today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PLOW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PLOW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PLOW)

Industrials Rank #64 of 485 βš”οΈ ASTE vs PLOW Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (PLOW vs. ASTE, MTW, HY, WNC)

Industry: Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Douglas Dynamics Inc. (PLOW) ranks #64 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #257 by equity capitalization ($911.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PLOW leads on earnings valuation at 19.6x trailing P/E, while WNC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 31.2% ROIC and β€” gross margin. PLOW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PLOW ACTIVE
Douglas Dynamics Inc.
C+ 67/100 19.6x 26.6% 20.7% -0.85% $911.3M Benchmark Subject
ASTE
Astec Industries Inc.
D 48/100 23.7x 26.5% 5.6% -1.60% $904.2M /aste-vs-plow β†’
MTW
Manitowoc Company Inc.
D 46/100 119.2x 18.1% 6.9% -3.23% $830.5M /mtw-vs-plow β†’
HY
Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A)
D- 37/100 β€” 16.8% -3.7% -2.90% $510.8M /hy-vs-plow β†’
WNC
Wabash National Corporation
D 49/100 β€” β€” 31.2% -11.46% $478.3M /wnc-vs-plow β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001287213

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Douglas Dynamics Inc. (PLOW) reported GAAP revenue of $656.1M (+15.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $568.5M , and +15.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $46.9M, operating cash flow of $74.7M, and free cash flow of $63.9M (+91.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, PLOW closed FY2025 with $626.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $656.1M $46.9M $74.7M $63.9M $626.7M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $568.5M $56.2M $41.1M $33.4M $590.0M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $568.2M $23.7M $12.5M $12.5M β€” β€”

3. PLOW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PLOW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Douglas Dynamics Inc. (NYSE: PLOW) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $39.49 (-0.85% 1D, market cap $911.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, PLOW ranks #64 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PLOW compare to ASTE and MTW in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), PLOW carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.6x, gross margin of 26.6%, and ROIC of 20.7%. By comparison, ASTE (Astec Industries Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 23.7x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $904.2M) and MTW (Manitowoc Company Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 119.2x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $830.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLOW leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while WNC leads on capital efficiency (31.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PLOW?

Per PLOW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001287213), Douglas Dynamics Inc. generated $656.1M in revenue (+15.4% YoY), $46.9M in net income, and $63.9M in free cash flow against $626.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (27% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PLOW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PLOW last traded at $39.49 (-0.85% on volume of 193,538 shares), positioning the stock -1.72% below its 50-day simple moving average ($40.18) and -8.35% below its 200-day simple moving average ($43.09). Across its 52-week range of $28.52 to $55.00, PLOW sits at the 41.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±4.2% ($37.83 to $41.15).

Direct Sub-Reports: PLOW RQD Cockpit PLOW 12M Forecast PLOW Earnings & Move PLOW Dividends & DRIP PLOW Insiders & 13F PLOW Whale Options PLOW Profit Sankey PLOW News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 67/100 (C+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PLOW β€” Douglas Dynamics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:31:52Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PLOW scores 67 out of 100, earning a C+ grade and the verdict "Roarable Hold β€” Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 18 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 20.7% and an FCF yield of 6.95%. This is the strongest part of the profile and suggests the business converts capital into returns efficiently relative to the rating's framework.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Per the RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning are weak relative to the other pillars. For a prospective investor, this means limited evidence of large-holder conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 19 / 20. Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scores highest of the five pillars.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity score low. The stock is rated as moving in line with the market, with exposure to sector-specific swings.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5 support a moderately sound balance sheet.

Investor implications: the upside case rests mainly on cash generation and insider signals, while the weak 13F flow and macro fit temper conviction. Valuation is moderate relative to the reported multiples (P/E TTM 19.6, forward P/E 16. This is educational framing, not personalized advice.

Business

Douglas Dynamics Inc. (PLOW) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, specifically Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks, per the company profile. The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $0.9B. Gross margin of 26.6%, operating margin of 11.2%, and net margin of 7.1% are reported per the market data section.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items reference PLOW with a YELLOW light classification:

  • Yahoo Finance reports a Q3 preview covering the upcoming earnings release.
  • TradingView publishes an estimates item for PLOW.
  • Simply Wall St publishes a stock forecast and analyst predictions item.
  • MarketBeat reports an average price target of $51.67 according to brokerages.
  • Yahoo Finance announces a Third Quarter 2026 earnings release and conference call.
  • MarketBeat reports PLOW is expected to post quarterly earnings on Monday.

The key near-term catalyst is the Q3 2026 earnings release, referenced across multiple items. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links or proprietary signals. Risk watch items are not separately itemized in the source data.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with an empty set of butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Investors should note that second-order ripple analysis cannot be performed from the provided sources; the sector label (Industrials, Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks) is the only contextual anchor available.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Per the analyst data section, no analyst consensus rating, individual estimates, or revisions are provided. The news wire references an average price target of $51. Per the holders section, no 13F institutional holder detail, SEC Form 4 insider transactions, or Congressional trades are provided at the transaction level. The RQD rating's insider conviction pillar (19 / 20) and whale flow pillar (7 / 20) are the only summarized ownership signals available.

Open Questions

  • What are the cash and debt balances behind the Debt/Equity of 0.5 and the Altman Z-Score of 2.5?
  • What was reported EPS in each fiscal period, given the source lists EPS as N/A for FY 2023 through FY 2025?
  • What specific insider and Congressional transactions drive the 19 / 20 insider conviction score?
  • What is the number of analysts and rating distribution behind the $51.67 average price target?
  • What is the Q3 2026 earnings consensus and how do the reported results compare to it?

PLOW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Douglas Dynamics Inc. (PLOW) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to PLOW Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PLOW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $39.49?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PLOW 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PLOW:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $43.02 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PLOW (C+ β€’ RQD 67/100) a Buy at $39.83?

Welcome to the PLOW (Douglas Dynamics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 67/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks. Bulls point to capital efficiency (20.7% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $33.06 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $39.83

Pump the brakes on PLOW β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PLOW, but look at what you are paying: 19.6x trailing P/E with 26.6% gross margins. Unless Douglas Dynamics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $47.80 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $39.83

PLOW cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PLOW, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $39.83 (52-wk range $28.52 - $55.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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