Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.8% Move

$43.14 -4.13% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.74

Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $652.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PKOH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: PKOH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $43.14 (-4.13% 1D, market cap $652.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, PKOH ranks #218 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PKOH compare to MEC and FOIL in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), PKOH carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.4x, gross margin of 17.0%, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, MEC (Mayville Engineering Company Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.3%, cap $385.3M) and FOIL (Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while XPEL leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PKOH?
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Per PKOH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000076282), Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. generated $1.60B in revenue (-3.4% YoY), $23.8M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.42B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.74 (-0.93%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 1.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (14)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (9)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
$56 Bull$42 Base$33 Bear
📬 FREE PKOH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PKOH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PKOH SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.1% FCF Margin ($18.3M FCF) & 17% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$48.32-5.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$45.66-5.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$43.35-0.5% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$43.14-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PKOH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PKOH currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($46.13) and Max Pain ($45.30) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $55.96.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PKOH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PKOH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.8% Swing Band

±$3.36 Expected Swing
$39.78 (-7.8%)Spot $43.14$46.50 (+7.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PKOH Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 53/100

Trailing EPS: $1.64 • YoY Revenue Growth: -3.4%

Model Bullish Setup (53/100)Model Risk Weight (47/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$1.60B$23.8M$21.4M17%
FY 20242024-12-31$1.66B$31.8M$28.6M17%
FY 20232023-12-31$1.66B$7.8M$7.0M17%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PKOH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PKOH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PKOH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +48.71%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $44.69H $45.00L $43.14C $43.14VOL 75.0K
RES: $51.98SUP: $42.18SMA50: $46.13SMA200: $35.07
$55.48$46.46$37.45$28.44$19.42RES $51.98SUP $42.18$43.142026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PKOH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
20.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PKOH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PKOH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PKOH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PKOH)

Industrials Rank #218 of 485 ⚔️ MEC vs PKOH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (PKOH vs. MEC, FOIL, XPEL, TRS)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) ranks #218 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #283 by equity capitalization ($652.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRS leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while XPEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.6% ROIC and 42.2% gross margin. XPEL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with PKOH at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PKOH ACTIVE
Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.
D+ 53/100 27.4x 17.0% 15.6% -4.13% $652.1M Benchmark Subject
MEC
Mayville Engineering Company Inc.
D- 39/100 — 9.9% -1.3% -0.60% $385.3M /mec-vs-pkoh →
FOIL
Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five
D 45/100 — — — -3.18% $1.21B /foil-vs-pkoh →
XPEL
XPEL Inc.
B 72/100 24.6x 42.2% 21.6% -0.28% $1.26B /xpel-vs-pkoh →
TRS
TriMas Corporation
D+ 53/100 11.5x 21.4% 4.8% -1.40% $1.39B /trs-vs-pkoh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000076282

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) reported GAAP revenue of $1.60B (-3.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.66B , and -3.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $23.8M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, PKOH closed FY2025 with $1.42B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.60B $23.8M — — $1.42B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.66B $31.8M — — $1.37B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.66B $7.8M — — — —

3. PKOH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PKOH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: PKOH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $43.14 (-4.13% 1D, market cap $652.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, PKOH ranks #218 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PKOH compare to MEC and FOIL in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), PKOH carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.4x, gross margin of 17.0%, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, MEC (Mayville Engineering Company Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.3%, cap $385.3M) and FOIL (Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while XPEL leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PKOH?

Per PKOH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000076282), Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. generated $1.60B in revenue (-3.4% YoY), $23.8M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.42B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PKOH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PKOH last traded at $43.14 (-4.13% on volume of 39,878 shares), positioning the stock -6.48% below its 50-day simple moving average ($46.13) and +23.01% above its 200-day simple moving average ($35.07). Across its 52-week range of $18.06 to $53.30, PKOH sits at the 71.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($39.78 to $46.50).

PKOH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is PKOH's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is PKOH stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.8% event move for PKOH, spanning a range between $39.78 and $46.5.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PKOH — Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:34:09Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PKOH scores 53 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The score is built from five pillars, each out of 20:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 15.6%, but FCF yield is 0%. A respectable return on invested capital paired with no free-cash yield means the business is earning returns on paper that are not yet converting into distributable cash at the current price.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 11 / 20. This pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score sits in the lower-middle range, indicating limited institutional conviction signals in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The low score indicates insider activity is not providing a strong confirmatory signal.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Beta is 1.0, meaning the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market. The sector-sensitivity component is weak, so the stock offers little defensive or regime-specific tailwind.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The Piotroski score of 2/9 is weak and signals limited improvement across profitability, leverage, and efficiency tests.

For a prospective investor, the investment case rests on whether the ROIC of 15.6% can be sustained and converted into cash. The valuation tradeoff is significant: the P/E (TTM) of 27.4 is high relative to the EV/EBITDA of 6, and the FCF yield of 0% offers no cash-based valuation support. Upside drivers would need to come from margin recovery, since the net margin of 1.5% and operating margin of 4.1% are thin. The overall RQD verdict points toward caution rather than accumulation at current levels.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
45$652.1M27.425.561.641.2%1.0$18.06 - $53.315.6%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1599.1M$66.3M$23.8MN/AN/A$44.8MN/A
FY 2024$1656.2M$86.6M$31.8MN/AN/A$53.1MN/A
FY 2023$1659.7M$84.1M$7.8MN/AN/AN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $1659.7M in FY 2023 to $1656.2M in FY 2024 and to $1599.1M in FY 2025, while net income moved from $7.8M to $31.8M and then to $23.8M. Per the market data, gross margin is 17%, operating margin 4.1%, and net margin 1.5%, with ROIC at 15.6%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. The balance sheet posture is moderate on leverage, while the weak Piotroski score points to limited fundamental improvement.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Market wire coverage (PKOH-rss-0 through PKOH-rss-3, PKOH-rss-5): Multiple news wire items from Yahoo! Finance Canada, TradingView, Yahoo Finance UK, FinancialContent, and MarketBeat are flagged YELLOW/MARKET WIRE. Their summaries are generic market-action and positioning descriptions, offering no specific fundamental content.
  • Dividend catalyst (PKOH-rss-4, Stock Titan): Flagged GREEN/CATALYST. The headline references a cash payment to shareholders of record by Nov. 13 with payment Nov. 27.
  • Technical item (PKOH-rss-5, MarketBeat): The stock price crossing above its 200-day moving average is reported as a market-action item.
  • Risk watch: The FinancialContent headline references a post-Q2 earnings buy/sell/hold question, but the source does not provide the earnings details.
  • Proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are present.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific products, customers, and segment-level revenue drivers, given that the source data describes only sector and industry classification?
  • What is the reason for the 0% FCF yield, and what are the free cash flow and debt figures for the reported periods, which are listed as N/A?
  • What drove the decline in revenue across FY 2023 through FY 2025, and is the margin recovery implied by the 15.6% ROIC sustainable?
  • What were the Q2 earnings results referenced in the news wire, and how do they compare to prior periods?
  • Why is the Piotroski F-Score only 2/9, and which specific components are weakest?

PKOH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PKOH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PKOH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $43.14?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PKOH 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PKOH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $48.60 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PKOH (D+ • RQD 53/100) a Buy at $45.00?

Welcome to the PKOH (Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 53/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Industrial Specialties. Bulls point to capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $34.20 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $45.00

Pump the brakes on PKOH — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PKOH, but look at what you are paying: 27.4x trailing P/E with 17.0% gross margins. Unless Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $54.90 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $45.00

PKOH cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PKOH, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Specialties and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $45.00 (52-wk range $18.06 - $53.30), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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