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Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$43.05 -0.21% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.95

Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $625.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PKOH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: PKOH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $43.05 (-0.21% 1D, market cap $625.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, PKOH ranks #230 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PKOH compare to MEC and FOIL in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), PKOH carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.4x, gross margin of 17.0%, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, MEC (Mayville Engineering Company Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.3%, cap $383.0M) and FOIL (Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.17B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while XPEL leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PKOH?
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Per PKOH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000076282), Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. generated $1.60B in revenue (-3.4% YoY), $23.8M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.42B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.95 (-0.23%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 1.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (14)Whales (9)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$56 Bull$42 Base$32 Bear
📬 FREE PKOH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PKOH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PKOH SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.1% FCF Margin ($17.5M FCF) & 17% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (20% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (40.9) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$49.26-6.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$46.15-3.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$44.48-3.2% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$43.05-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PKOH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PKOH currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($46.09) and Max Pain ($45.20) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $55.96.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PKOH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PKOH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
3% Total Yield
1.2% Cash ($0.52/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
27.9% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $18,771

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $563/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.3K
Yr 2
$12.1K
Yr 3
$12.9K
Yr 4
$13.7K
Yr 5
$14.6K
Yr 6
$15.5K
Yr 7
$16.5K
Yr 8
$17.6K
Yr 9
$18.8K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PKOH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PKOH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PKOH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +48.40%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $45.00H $45.00L $43.05C $43.05VOL 39.9K
RES: $48.61SUP: $42.14SMA50: $46.09SMA200: $35.17
$55.48$46.46$37.45$28.44$19.42RES $48.61SUP $42.14$43.052026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PKOH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
20.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PKOH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PKOH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PKOH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PKOH)

Industrials Rank #230 of 486 ⚔️ MEC vs PKOH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (PKOH vs. MEC, FOIL, XPEL, TRS)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) ranks #230 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #285 by equity capitalization ($625.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRS leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while XPEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.6% ROIC and 42.2% gross margin. XPEL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with PKOH at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PKOH ACTIVE
Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.
D 50/100 27.4x 17.0% 15.6% -0.21% $625.1M Benchmark Subject
MEC
Mayville Engineering Company Inc.
D- 39/100 — 9.9% -1.3% +4.99% $383.0M /mec-vs-pkoh →
FOIL
Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five
D 45/100 — — — +10.64% $1.17B /foil-vs-pkoh →
XPEL
XPEL Inc.
B 72/100 24.6x 42.2% 21.6% -1.76% $1.26B /xpel-vs-pkoh →
TRS
TriMas Corporation
D 51/100 11.5x 21.4% 4.8% +4.67% $1.37B /trs-vs-pkoh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000076282 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) reported GAAP revenue of $1.60B (-3.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.66B , and -3.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $23.8M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, PKOH closed FY2025 with $1.42B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.60B $23.8M — — $1.42B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.66B $31.8M — — $1.37B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.66B $7.8M — — — —

3. PKOH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PKOH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: PKOH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $43.05 (-0.21% 1D, market cap $625.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, PKOH ranks #230 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PKOH compare to MEC and FOIL in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), PKOH carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.4x, gross margin of 17.0%, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, MEC (Mayville Engineering Company Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.3%, cap $383.0M) and FOIL (Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.17B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while XPEL leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PKOH?

Per PKOH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000076282), Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. generated $1.60B in revenue (-3.4% YoY), $23.8M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.42B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PKOH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PKOH last traded at $43.05 (-0.21% on volume of 70,921 shares), positioning the stock -6.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($46.09) and +22.41% above its 200-day simple moving average ($35.17). Across its 52-week range of $18.06 to $53.30, PKOH sits at the 70.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($39.69 to $46.41).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PKOH — Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 50/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $43.05 (-0.21% 1D, market capitalization $625.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 15.6%, gross margin of 17.0%, operating margin of 4.1%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Industrial Specialties industry,. Per the financials, the company reported FY 2025 revenue of $1.60B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) reported $1.60B in annual revenue (up from $1.66B in FY2024, -3.4% YoY) and $23.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.66B revenue, $7.8M net income) through FY2025, PKOH scaled operating cash flow to $0 and free cash flow to $0, backed by $1.42B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 50/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $18.06 – $53.30 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 27.4x trailing P/E and 6.0x EV/EBITDA against 4.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Industrial Specialties (Industrials), PKOH carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 17.0%.

  • Key Question #1: Can PKOH sustain or expand its 4.1% operating margin and 15.6% ROIC against Industrial Specialties peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.60B and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PKOH's 25.5x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

PKOH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PKOH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PKOH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $43.05?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PKOH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PKOH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $53.92 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the market data, ROIC of 15.6% indicates the business is generating solid returns on invested capital despite thin margins.

Don't sleep on PKOH's setup in Industrials. Per the market data, ROIC of 15.6% indicates the business is generating solid returns on invested capital despite thin margins.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (50/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — PKOH's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $36.67 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $43.14

Per the market data and RQD pillars, the 0% FCF yield and P/E (TTM) of 27.4 leave the valuation without cash-based support.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short PKOH above $43.14. Per the market data and RQD pillars, the 0% FCF yield and P/E (TTM) of 27.4 leave the valuation without cash-based support.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $53.30.

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