Yahoo Finance report covering Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why PAG Stock slipped -0.10% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is PAG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Penske Automotive Group Inc. (NYSE: PAG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $212.12 (-0.10% 1D, market cap $13.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PAG ranks #361 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does PAG compare to MUSA and KMX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations), PAG carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.9x, gross margin of 16.4%, and ROIC of 13.8%. By comparison, MUSA (Murphy USA Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 21.1x, ROIC 24.5%, cap $9.83B) and KMX (CarMax Inc) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.3x, ROIC 1.7%, cap $7.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PAG leads on earnings multiple (14.9x) while MUSA leads on capital efficiency (24.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PAG?
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Per PAG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001019849), Penske Automotive Group Inc. generated $31.81B in revenue (-0.2% YoY), $935.4M in net income, and -$456.3M in free cash flow against $17.60B in total assets and $1.81B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±1.8% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 3.20 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (58.2) create a -12 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PAG Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, PAG faces multiple-compression risk if 14.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($210.14) or 200D SMA ($183.47) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($212.12) toward Bear Floor ($165.45).
Why PAG Stock slipped -0.10% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) slipped -0.10% to $212.12, trading at 83% of its 52-week range ($140.12 – $227). Stretched risk/reward at 15x P/E (14% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 83% of its 52-week range ($140.12 – $227) with RSI-14 at 58.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±1.8% around $212.12 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 16.4% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Automotive News report covering Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Penske Automotive Group stock barely flinched after its latest earnings, drifting around $212 in Thursday trading with a move of only about 0.1%. On the surface that muted reaction suggests a routine quarter. The Q3 2026
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PAG)
- ✓Walkthrough of PAG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
PAG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -0.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PAG today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PAG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PAG)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PAG vs. MUSA, KMX, CASY, CPRT)
Industry: Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) ranks #361 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #131 by equity capitalization ($13.93B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PAG leads on earnings valuation at 14.9x trailing P/E, while MUSA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.5% ROIC and — gross margin. MUSA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with PAG at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAG
ACTIVE
Penske Automotive Group Inc. | D+ | 58/100 | 14.9x | 16.4% | 13.8% | -0.10% | $13.93B | Benchmark Subject |
| MUSA Murphy USA Inc. | B | 74/100 | 21.1x | — | 24.5% | -0.93% | $9.83B | /musa-vs-pag → |
| KMX CarMax Inc | D+ | 54/100 | 32.3x | 10.8% | 1.7% | -1.05% | $7.89B | /kmx-vs-pag → |
| CASY Casey's General Stores Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 35.1x | — | 12.0% | +0.46% | $25.14B | /casy-vs-pag → |
| CPRT Copart Inc. | B- | 71/100 | 17.6x | — | 15.1% | +1.96% | $27.91B | /cprt-vs-pag → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001019849 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) reported GAAP revenue of $31.81B (-0.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $31.86B , and +2.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $935.4M, operating cash flow of $975.1M, and free cash flow of -$456.3M (-124.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, PAG closed FY2025 with $17.60B in total assets against $1.81B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $31.81B | $935.4M | $975.1M | -$456.3M | $17.60B | $1.81B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $31.86B | $968.9M | $1.23B | -$203.3M | $17.12B | $1.13B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $30.92B | $1.11B | $1.15B | -$246.0M | $37.10B | $8.68B |
3. PAG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs PAG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Penske Automotive Group Inc. (NYSE: PAG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $212.12 (-0.10% 1D, market cap $13.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PAG ranks #361 in composite RQD confidence.
How does PAG compare to MUSA and KMX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations), PAG carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.9x, gross margin of 16.4%, and ROIC of 13.8%. By comparison, MUSA (Murphy USA Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 21.1x, ROIC 24.5%, cap $9.83B) and KMX (CarMax Inc) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.3x, ROIC 1.7%, cap $7.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PAG leads on earnings multiple (14.9x) while MUSA leads on capital efficiency (24.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PAG?
Per PAG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001019849), Penske Automotive Group Inc. generated $31.81B in revenue (-0.2% YoY), $935.4M in net income, and -$456.3M in free cash flow against $17.60B in total assets and $1.81B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is PAG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
PAG last traded at $212.12 (-0.10% on volume of 405,050 shares), positioning the stock +0.94% above its 50-day simple moving average ($210.14) and +15.62% above its 200-day simple moving average ($183.47). Across its 52-week range of $140.12 to $227.00, PAG sits at the 82.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($208.30 to $215.94).
PAG — Penske Automotive Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 58/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $212.12 (-0.10% 1D, market capitalization $13.93B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 13.8%, gross margin of 16.4%, operating margin of 4.0%, and free cash flow yield of -3.27%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.06x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.20, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.33x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Penske Automotive Group Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations industry. The profile describes the company as operating in this industry with a market capitalization of $13.9B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) reported $31.81B in annual revenue (up from $31.86B in FY2024, -0.2% YoY) and $935.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($30.92B revenue, $1.11B net income) through FY2025, PAG scaled operating cash flow to $975.1M and free cash flow to -$456.3M, backed by $17.60B in total assets against $1.81B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 58/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of -3.27% and institutional whale pillar of 16/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $140.12 – $227.00 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 14.9x trailing P/E and 6.3x EV/EBITDA against 4.0% operating margins and a 1.06x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations (Consumer Discretionary), PAG carries a macro regime beta of 1.06 and gross margin of 16.4%.
- Key Question #1: Can PAG sustain or expand its 4.0% operating margin and 13.8% ROIC against Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $31.81B and free cash flow of -$456.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.81B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is PAG's 13.9x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.06x)?
PAG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Automotive News report covering Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PAG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $212.12?
A reported go-private agreement at $212/share and a 13.8% ROIC give the stock a clear value-realization catalyst.
Here is why I am bullish on PAG here at $212.12: A reported go-private agreement at $212/share and a 13.8% ROIC give the stock a clear value-realization catalyst.. Compare PAG's 4.0% operating margin and 13.8% ROIC against the rest of Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $201.51 are getting bought.
Both sides have a point here — PAG's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
Negative free-cash-flow yield of -3.27% and a D+ RQD grade indicate weak cash generation despite positive net income.
Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short PAG above $212.12. Negative free-cash-flow yield of -3.27% and a D+ RQD grade indicate weak cash generation despite positive net income.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20) and FCF yield (-3.27%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $227.00.