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Why OXY Stock advanced +1.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$64.00 +1.57% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $64.06

Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $63.98B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OXY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Occidental Petroleum Corporation (NYSE: OXY) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $64.00 (+1.57% 1D, market cap $63.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, OXY ranks #52 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OXY compare to CVE and OKE in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), OXY carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.3%. By comparison, CVE (Cenovus Energy Inc) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $61.37B) and OKE (ONEOK Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $61.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OKE leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while DVN leads on capital efficiency (11.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OXY?
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Per OXY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000797468), Occidental Petroleum Corporation generated $21.57B in revenue (-5.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $4.11B in free cash flow against $84.19B in total assets and $20.62B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $64.06 (+0.09%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 19% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C
Cash (9)Whales (18)SEC (10)Macro (16)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target
$79 Bull$67 Base$52 Bear
📬 FREE OXY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OXY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OXY SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 88% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 62.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 14.1% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$61.41+2.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$62.70+0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$62.86+1.8% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$64.00+1.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OXY Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, OXY faces multiple-compression risk if 26.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($60.38) or 200D SMA ($56.38) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($66.59) toward Bear Floor ($51.94).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OXY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OXY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why OXY Stock advanced +1.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) advanced +1.57% to $64.00, trading at 88% of its 52-week range ($38.8 – $67.45). Solid steady margins (4% return on capital), mixed timing at 27x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 88% of its 52-week range ($38.8 – $67.45) with RSI-14 at 62.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.3% around $64.00 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $4.1B annual free cash flow.
Live OXY Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 1d ago
Should Value Investors Buy Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Stock?

Here at Zacks, our focus is on the proven Zacks Rank system, which emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find great stocks. Nevertheless, we are always paying attention to the latest value, growth, and

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OXY Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OXY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.19%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $63.01H $64.00L $63.01C $64.00VOL 9.12M
RES: $65.24SUP: $55.51SMA50: $60.38SMA200: $56.38
$66.20$61.06$55.92$50.78$45.63RES $65.24SUP $55.51$64.002026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OXY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
20.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OXY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OXY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OXY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OXY)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (OXY vs. CVE, OKE, FANG, DVN)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) ranks #52 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #27 by equity capitalization ($63.98B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OKE leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while DVN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.8% ROIC and — gross margin. DVN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with OXY at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OXY ACTIVE
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
C+ 67/100 26.9x — 4.3% +1.57% $63.98B Benchmark Subject
CVE
Cenovus Energy Inc
C+ 69/100 32.8x — 9.9% +1.87% $61.37B /cve-vs-oxy →
OKE
ONEOK Inc.
C 64/100 17.8x 30.5% 8.5% +1.31% $61.20B /oke-vs-oxy →
FANG
Diamondback Energy Inc.
C+ 69/100 37.4x — 2.0% +2.74% $59.39B /fang-vs-oxy →
DVN
Devon Energy Corporation
A- 81/100 21.3x — 11.8% +1.92% $57.37B /dvn-vs-oxy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000797468 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) reported GAAP revenue of $21.57B (-5.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $22.71B , and -7.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $10.53B, and free cash flow of $4.11B (-20.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, OXY closed FY2025 with $84.19B in total assets against $20.62B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.66, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $21.57B $0 $10.53B $4.11B $84.19B $20.62B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $22.71B $0 $11.44B $5.18B $85.44B $24.98B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $23.23B $4.70B $12.31B $11.26B $34.64B $8.11B

3. OXY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OXY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Occidental Petroleum Corporation (NYSE: OXY) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $64.00 (+1.57% 1D, market cap $63.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, OXY ranks #52 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OXY compare to CVE and OKE in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), OXY carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.3%. By comparison, CVE (Cenovus Energy Inc) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $61.37B) and OKE (ONEOK Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $61.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OKE leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while DVN leads on capital efficiency (11.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OXY?

Per OXY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000797468), Occidental Petroleum Corporation generated $21.57B in revenue (-5.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $4.11B in free cash flow against $84.19B in total assets and $20.62B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OXY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OXY last traded at $64.00 (+1.57% on volume of 9,115,563 shares), positioning the stock +6.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($60.38) and +13.52% above its 200-day simple moving average ($56.38). Across its 52-week range of $38.80 to $67.45, OXY sits at the 88.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.3% ($61.25 to $66.75).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 67/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OXY — Occidental Petroleum Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 67/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $64.00 (+1.57% 1D, market capitalization $63.98B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4.3%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 6.52%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (18/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (16/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.10x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.66, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.57x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Occidental Petroleum Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, specifically the Oil & Gas Production industry. The profile does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue streams. — Revenue is reported in the SEC financials, but the source does not break revenue down by product, geography, or customer type.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) reported $21.57B in annual revenue (up from $22.71B in FY2024, -5.0% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($23.23B revenue, $4.70B net income) through FY2025, OXY scaled operating cash flow to $10.53B and free cash flow to $4.11B, backed by $84.19B in total assets against $20.62B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 67/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 18/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $38.80 – $67.45 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 26.9x trailing P/E and 9.6x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 1.10x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

For investor awareness, the source's own sector label (Energy / Oil & Gas Production) and beta of 1.1 are the only available sector-linkage data points. The rating's macro pillar flags sector sensitivity, meaning OXY's price movements are likely to track broader energy-sector moves, though the source does not quantify this linkage.

  • Key Question #1: Can OXY sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 4.3% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $21.57B and free cash flow of $4.11B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $20.62B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is OXY's 25.0x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.10x)?

OXY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OXY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OXY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $64.00?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OXY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OXY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $78.72 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning (17/20 whale pillar) plus a Roth upgrade to Buy point to strong flow support for ups

The street is overcomplicating Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY). Institutional accumulation and options positioning (17/20 whale pillar) plus a Roth upgrade to Buy point to strong flow support for upside.. With an RQD score of 67/100 (C+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $69.12.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — OXY's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $49.28 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $64.00

Declining FY 2025 revenue and operating income, ROIC of 4.3%, and an Altman Z-Score of 1.66 leave the cash engine and balance sheet lag

I respect the product at Occidental Petroleum Corporation, but the stock at $64.00 is a different story. Declining FY 2025 revenue and operating income, ROIC of 4.3%, and an Altman Z-Score of 1.66 leave the cash engine and balance sheet lagging the flow signals.. FCF yield is 6.52% and RQD sits at 67/100 (C+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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