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Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$60.72 -5.12% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $60.05

Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $63.98B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OXY Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OXY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Occidental Petroleum Corporation (NYSE: OXY) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $60.72 (-5.12% 1D, market cap $63.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, OXY ranks #52 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OXY compare to CVE and OKE in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), OXY carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.3%. By comparison, CVE (Cenovus Energy Inc) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $61.37B) and OKE (ONEOK Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $61.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OKE leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while DVN leads on capital efficiency (11.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OXY?
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Per OXY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000797468), Occidental Petroleum Corporation generated $21.57B in revenue (-5.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $4.11B in free cash flow against $84.19B in total assets and $20.62B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $60.05 (-1.11%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 19% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C
Cash (9)Whales (18)SEC (10)Macro (16)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
$75 Bull$63 Base$49 Bear
📬 FREE OXY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OXY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OXY SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 77% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 62.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 14.1% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
75
Grade B+$61.41+2.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
72
Grade B$62.70+0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
70
Grade B$62.86-3.4% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$60.72+1.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (75) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OXY Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, OXY faces multiple-compression risk if 26.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($60.38) or 200D SMA ($56.38) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($63.18) toward Bear Floor ($49.28).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OXY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OXY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

OXY Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (OXY)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on OXY. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OXY Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OXY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.75%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $63.01H $64.00L $60.72C $60.72VOL 9.12M
RES: $65.24SUP: $55.51SMA50: $60.38SMA200: $56.38
$66.20$61.06$55.92$50.78$45.63RES $65.24SUP $55.51$60.722026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OXY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OXY Butterfly Map → + Track OXY →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
20.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OXY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OXY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OXY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OXY)

Energy Rank #52 of 211 ⚔️ CVE vs OXY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (OXY vs. CVE, OKE, FANG, DVN)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) ranks #52 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #27 by equity capitalization ($63.98B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OKE leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while DVN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.8% ROIC and — gross margin. DVN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with OXY at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OXY ACTIVE
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
C+ 67/100 26.9x — 4.3% -5.12% $63.98B Benchmark Subject
CVE
Cenovus Energy Inc
C+ 69/100 32.8x — 9.9% -6.26% $61.37B /cve-vs-oxy →
OKE
ONEOK Inc.
C 64/100 17.8x 30.5% 8.5% -4.69% $61.20B /oke-vs-oxy →
FANG
Diamondback Energy Inc.
C+ 69/100 37.4x — 2.0% -5.82% $59.39B /fang-vs-oxy →
DVN
Devon Energy Corporation
A- 81/100 21.3x — 11.8% -6.75% $57.37B /dvn-vs-oxy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000797468

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) reported GAAP revenue of $21.57B (-5.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $22.71B , and -7.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $10.53B, and free cash flow of $4.11B (-20.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, OXY closed FY2025 with $84.19B in total assets against $20.62B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.66, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $21.57B $0 $10.53B $4.11B $84.19B $20.62B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $22.71B $0 $11.44B $5.18B $85.44B $24.98B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $23.23B $4.70B $12.31B $11.26B $34.64B $8.11B

3. OXY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OXY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Occidental Petroleum Corporation (NYSE: OXY) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $60.72 (-5.12% 1D, market cap $63.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, OXY ranks #52 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OXY compare to CVE and OKE in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), OXY carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.3%. By comparison, CVE (Cenovus Energy Inc) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $61.37B) and OKE (ONEOK Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $61.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OKE leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while DVN leads on capital efficiency (11.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OXY?

Per OXY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000797468), Occidental Petroleum Corporation generated $21.57B in revenue (-5.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $4.11B in free cash flow against $84.19B in total assets and $20.62B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OXY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OXY last traded at $60.72 (-5.12% on volume of 12,677,171 shares), positioning the stock +0.56% above its 50-day simple moving average ($60.38) and +7.70% above its 200-day simple moving average ($56.38). Across its 52-week range of $38.80 to $67.45, OXY sits at the 76.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.3% ($58.11 to $63.33).

Direct Sub-Reports: OXY RQD Cockpit OXY 12M Forecast OXY Earnings & Move OXY Dividends & DRIP OXY Insiders & 13F OXY Whale Options OXY Profit Sankey OXY News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 67/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OXY — Occidental Petroleum Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 67/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $60.72 (-5.12% 1D, market capitalization $63.98B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4.3%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 6.52%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (18/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (16/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.10x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.66, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.57x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Occidental Petroleum Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, specifically the Oil & Gas Production industry. The profile does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue streams. — Revenue is reported in the SEC financials, but the source does not break revenue down by product, geography, or customer type.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) reported $21.57B in annual revenue (up from $22.71B in FY2024, -5.0% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($23.23B revenue, $4.70B net income) through FY2025, OXY scaled operating cash flow to $10.53B and free cash flow to $4.11B, backed by $84.19B in total assets against $20.62B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 67/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 18/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $38.80 – $67.45 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 26.9x trailing P/E and 9.6x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 1.10x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

For investor awareness, the source's own sector label (Energy / Oil & Gas Production) and beta of 1.1 are the only available sector-linkage data points. The rating's macro pillar flags sector sensitivity, meaning OXY's price movements are likely to track broader energy-sector moves, though the source does not quantify this linkage.

  • Key Question #1: Can OXY sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 4.3% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $21.57B and free cash flow of $4.11B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $20.62B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is OXY's 25.0x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.10x)?

OXY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OXY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OXY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $60.72?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OXY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OXY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $78.72 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning (17/20 whale pillar) plus a Roth upgrade to Buy point to strong flow support for ups

The street is overcomplicating Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY). Institutional accumulation and options positioning (17/20 whale pillar) plus a Roth upgrade to Buy point to strong flow support for upside.. With an RQD score of 67/100 (C+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $69.12.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — OXY's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $49.28 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $64.00

Declining FY 2025 revenue and operating income, ROIC of 4.3%, and an Altman Z-Score of 1.66 leave the cash engine and balance sheet lag

I respect the product at Occidental Petroleum Corporation, but the stock at $64.00 is a different story. Declining FY 2025 revenue and operating income, ROIC of 4.3%, and an Altman Z-Score of 1.66 leave the cash engine and balance sheet lagging the flow signals.. FCF yield is 6.52% and RQD sits at 67/100 (C+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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