Stock Titan report covering Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common (ORN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ORN Stock dropped -7.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common (ORN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ORN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common (NYSE: ORN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $8.42 (-7.57% 1D, market cap $370.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ORN ranks #357 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ORN compare to LEGO and XTND in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ORN carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 148.9x, gross margin of 12.4%, and ROIC of 7.1%. By comparison, LEGO (Legato Merger Corp. IV) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $302.8M) and XTND (Xtend AI Robotics Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $475.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDNL leads on earnings multiple (33.7x) while CDNL leads on capital efficiency (54.6% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ORN?
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Per ORN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001402829), Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common generated $852.3M in revenue (+7.0% YoY), $2.5M in net income, and -$10.8M in free cash flow against $414.7M in total assets and $6.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.05 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 12.4% Gross Margin
Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ORN Turnaround Squeeze
While ORN currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.98) and Max Pain ($8.84) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.27.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why ORN Stock dropped -7.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common (ORN) dropped -7.57% to $8.42, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($8.1 – $17.4). Stretched risk/reward at 149x P/E (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($8.1 – $17.4) with RSI-14 at 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $8.42 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 12.4% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Orion Group Holdings came into this Q3 2026 report with a reputation as a high multiples contractor priced for perfection, trading on a trailing P/E of 64.1x and carrying a mixed margin record. The stock jumped 9.8% to U
$115 Million Mission-Critical Project Marks Largest Concrete Award in Company HistoryHOUSTON, Oct. 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:ORN) (“Orion” or the “Company”), a leading specialty constr
Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:ORN) ("Orion" or the "Company"), a leading specialty construction company, today announced new contract awards and change orders totaling $250 million in the month of
2026-10-29. The following slide deck was published by Orion Group Holdings, Inc.
Revenue hit $256.2 million with 37% EBITDA growth as backlog reached $645 million.
Orion Group (NYSE:ORN) reported higher third-quarter revenue and adjusted EBITDA, citing active projects, strong equipment utilization, favorable operating conditions and execution across its marine and concrete operatio
Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (ORN) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 28, 2026 9:00 AM EDTCompany ParticipantsMargaret Boyce - Director of Investor RelationsTravis...
MADRID and CAMBRIDGE, Mass., Oct. 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Oryzon Genomics, S.A. (ISIN Code: ES0167733015, ORY), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company and global leader in epigenetics, announced today that its m
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ORN)
- ✓Walkthrough of ORN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
ORN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +7.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ORN today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ORN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ORN)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ORN vs. LEGO, XTND, PKE, CDNL)
Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common (ORN) ranks #357 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #315 by equity capitalization ($370.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CDNL leads on earnings valuation at 33.7x trailing P/E, while CDNL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 54.6% ROIC and — gross margin. PKE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with ORN at 38/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORN
ACTIVE
Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common | D- | 38/100 | 148.9x | 12.4% | 7.1% | -7.57% | $370.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| LEGO Legato Merger Corp. IV | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $302.8M | /lego-vs-orn → |
| XTND Xtend AI Robotics Inc. | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | -7.78% | $475.7M | /xtnd-vs-orn → |
| PKE Park Aerospace Corp. | C- | 60/100 | — | 30.9% | 19.0% | -2.98% | $584.9M | /pke-vs-orn → |
| CDNL Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) | D- | 41/100 | 33.7x | — | 54.6% | -3.42% | $765.5M | /cdnl-vs-orn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001402829In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common (ORN) reported GAAP revenue of $852.3M (+7.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $796.4M , and +19.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.5M, operating cash flow of $28.1M, and free cash flow of -$10.8M (-663.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ORN closed FY2025 with $414.7M in total assets against $6.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.05, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $852.3M | $2.5M | $28.1M | -$10.8M | $414.7M | $6.1M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $796.4M | -$1.6M | $12.7M | -$1.4M | $417.3M | $22.8M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $711.8M | -$17.9M | $17.2M | $17.2M | — | — |
3. ORN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ORN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common (NYSE: ORN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $8.42 (-7.57% 1D, market cap $370.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ORN ranks #357 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ORN compare to LEGO and XTND in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ORN carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 148.9x, gross margin of 12.4%, and ROIC of 7.1%. By comparison, LEGO (Legato Merger Corp. IV) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $302.8M) and XTND (Xtend AI Robotics Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $475.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDNL leads on earnings multiple (33.7x) while CDNL leads on capital efficiency (54.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ORN?
Per ORN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001402829), Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common generated $852.3M in revenue (+7.0% YoY), $2.5M in net income, and -$10.8M in free cash flow against $414.7M in total assets and $6.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ORN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ORN last traded at $8.42 (-7.57% on volume of 691,888 shares), positioning the stock -6.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.98) and -28.76% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.82). Across its 52-week range of $8.10 to $17.40, ORN sits at the 3.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.37 to $9.47).
ORN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ORN stock moving today?
Why ORN Stock dropped -7.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 149x P/E (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
ORN — Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, ORN scores 38 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 6 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 7.1% and FCF yield of -2.91%. For an investor, the weak score means the company is not currently converting capital into free cash flow, so near-term valuation support must come from earnings growth rather than cash generation.
- Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20. Per the RQD rating, the score reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score indicates limited evidence of sustained institutional conviction.
- Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A low score indicates insider activity is not providing a confirming signal.
- Macro Regime Fit: 5 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is weighted here. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market, and the low score suggests the regime is not favorable for this profile.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 3.05, Piotroski F is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.04. This is the strongest pillar and the main reason the company is not scored lower. A prospective investor should recognize that balance sheet strength limits downside risk from insolvency but does not address weak cash generation or the valuation tradeoff.
Valuation tradeoff: per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 148.9 on EPS (TTM) of 0.06, with an EV/EBITDA of 7.9. The elevated P/E relative to thin earnings means price is highly sensitive to earnings changes. Upside drivers would need to come from sustained margin improvement and cash conversion, which the RQD pillars currently do not confirm.
Snapshot
Business
ORN is classified in the Industrials sector, Military/Government/Technical industry, and trades on the NYSE. Per the company profile, it is a NYSE-listed issuer with a market capitalization of $0.4B. Not available in source data: specific products, customer base, and revenue model details beyond the sector and industry classification.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $852.3M | $14.6M | $2.5M | N/A | $-10.8M | $1.6M | $6.1M |
| FY 2024 | $796.4M | $11.5M | $-1.6M | N/A | $-1.4M | $28.3M | $22.8M |
| FY 2023 | $711.8M | $-6.6M | $-17.9M | N/A | $17.2M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $711.8M (FY 2023) to $852.3M (FY 2025), while operating income moved from $-6.6M to $14.6M. Per the market data, gross margin is 12.4%, operating margin 1.7%, and net margin 0.3%, with ROIC at 7.1%. Per the RQD forensic pillar, Altman Z-Score is 3.05 and Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Per the financials, cash fell from $28.3M to $1.6M and debt fell from $22.8M to $6.1M over FY 2024–FY 2025, while FCF was negative in both of those years.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news and catalysts section, the single item is a Stock Titan report with the headline "Revenue rises 14% at Orion Group Holdings (ORN), but nine-month operations consume cash." It is flagged YELLOW with the impact label MARKET WIRE. The catalyst reinforces the pattern in the financials: top-line growth alongside cash consumption. Risk watch item: operating cash burn despite revenue growth. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are present.
Open Questions
- What is the composition of the 14% revenue growth referenced in the news wire, and is it sustainable?
- What drove the negative FCF in FY 2025 and what is the expected cash conversion path?
- What explains the gap between FY 2025 net income of $2.5M and the 148.9 P/E on EPS of 0.06?
- What are the specific customers and contracts underlying the Military/Government/Technical classification?
- Are there any reported insider or institutional transactions that would clarify flow signals?
ORN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common (ORN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Stock Titan report covering Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common (ORN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Orion Group Holdings came into this Q3 2026 report with a reputation as a high multiples contractor priced for perfection, trading on a trailing P/E of 64.1x and carrying a mixed margin record. The stock jumped 9.8% to U
$115 Million Mission-Critical Project Marks Largest Concrete Award in Company HistoryHOUSTON, Oct. 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:ORN) (“Orion” or the “Company”), a leading specialty constr
Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:ORN) ("Orion" or the "Company"), a leading specialty construction company, today announced new contract awards and change orders totaling $250 million in the month of
2026-10-29. The following slide deck was published by Orion Group Holdings, Inc.
Revenue hit $256.2 million with 37% EBITDA growth as backlog reached $645 million.
Orion Group (NYSE:ORN) reported higher third-quarter revenue and adjusted EBITDA, citing active projects, strong equipment utilization, favorable operating conditions and execution across its marine and concrete operatio
ORN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.42?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ORN (D- • RQD 38/100) a Buy at $9.11?
Welcome to the ORN (Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 38/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Military/Government/Technical. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (148.9x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on ORN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ORN, but look at what you are paying: 148.9x trailing P/E with 12.4% gross margins. Unless Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
ORN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ORN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Military/Government/Technical and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $9.11 (52-wk range $8.10 - $17.40), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.