OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.6% Move

$24.34 +0.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.34

OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.41B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OGC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OGC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, OceanaGold Corporation (NYSE: OGC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $24.34 (+0.95% 1D, market cap $5.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, OGC ranks #280 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OGC compare to OTF and GEF in the Industrials sector?
▼

Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), OGC carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, OTF (Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E 6.1x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $4.36B) and GEF (Greif Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 4.5x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $3.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFB leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OGC?
▼

For OceanaGold Corporation (OGC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #280 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.34 (-0.02%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 3.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target
$46 Bull$23 Base$18 Bear
📬 FREE OGC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OGC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OGC SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 3.8% FCF Margin ($151.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$27.11-2.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$26.40-1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$25.96-6.2% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$24.34-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OGC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OGC currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($27.75) and Max Pain ($25.56) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $45.50.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OGC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OGC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.6% Swing Band

±$1.85 Expected Swing
$22.49 (-7.6%)Spot $24.34$26.19 (+7.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

OGC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 45/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (45/100)Model Risk Weight (55/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OGC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OGC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
OGC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.57%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $25.27H $25.27L $24.11C $24.34VOL 630.6K
RES: $34.79SUP: $23.81SMA50: $27.75SMA200: $30.17
$35.66$31.93$28.20$24.47$20.74RES $34.79SUP $23.81$24.342026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OGC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OGC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OGC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OGC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OGC)

Industrials Rank #280 of 485 ⚔️ OTF vs OGC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (OGC vs. OTF, GEF, BELFB, ARIS)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) ranks #280 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #138 by equity capitalization ($5.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GEF leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while BELFB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and 39.1% gross margin. BELFB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with OGC at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OGC ACTIVE
OceanaGold Corporation
D 45/100 — — — +0.95% $5.41B Benchmark Subject
OTF
Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.
D- 35/100 6.1x — 9.0% +2.52% $4.36B /otf-vs-ogc →
GEF
Greif Inc. (Class A)
D+ 53/100 4.5x 22.2% 3.9% +1.01% $3.79B /gef-vs-ogc →
BELFB
Bel Fuse Inc.
C- 61/100 45.9x 39.1% 15.5% -0.47% $3.41B /belfb-vs-ogc →
ARIS
Aris Mining Corporation
D 46/100 — — — +1.73% $2.98B /aris-vs-ogc →

2. OGC Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) operates in Diversified Equities (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $5.41B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. OGC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OGC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, OceanaGold Corporation (NYSE: OGC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $24.34 (+0.95% 1D, market cap $5.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, OGC ranks #280 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OGC compare to OTF and GEF in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), OGC carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, OTF (Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E 6.1x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $4.36B) and GEF (Greif Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 4.5x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $3.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFB leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OGC?

For OceanaGold Corporation (OGC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #280 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OGC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OGC last traded at $24.34 (+0.95% on volume of 710,845 shares), positioning the stock -12.29% below its 50-day simple moving average ($27.75) and -19.32% below its 200-day simple moving average ($30.17). Across its 52-week range of $20.18 to $43.33, OGC sits at the 18.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($22.49 to $26.19).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OGC — OceanaGold Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:11:06Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

OGC scores 45 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 12 of 20, reflecting an ROIC of 0% and an FCF yield of 0%; for a prospective investor, the absence of measured returns on capital and free cash flow means the score offers little evidence of a self-funding business at present. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 3 of 20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning, the lowest of the five, which signals weak smart-money support in the source data. The Insider Conviction pillar scores 9 of 20 for SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, indicating limited insider-level conviction. The Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 8 of 20, with a Beta of 1.0 and a sector sensitivity profile that the rating treats as a drag. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 13 of 20, citing an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5; this is the strongest pillar, suggesting the balance sheet is more stable than the cash-generation and flow signals. Taken together, the rating points to a stock whose balance sheet is the most defensible element while its returns, institutional flow, and insider signals are weak. Upside drivers would need to come from improved cash generation and renewed accumulation, which the current data does not demonstrate.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector and Diversified Equities industry. — for product lines, customer base, or revenue model. The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $5.7B.

Gross margin, operating margin, and net margin are each reported as 0%, and ROIC and FCF yield are each reported as 0%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The balance-sheet metrics point to a moderate-leverage, moderately healthy profile per the rating's forensic pillar, while the zero reported margins and returns indicate no measured profitability in the market data.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 of 20 with an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, the strongest element of the rating. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC —, FCF yield —) and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $20.18 – $43.33 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: The whale 13F flow pillar scores only 3 of 20 and ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%, pointing to weak institutional support and no measured cash returns. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector context provided is the Industrials classification and Diversified Equities industry from the profile. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means ripple effects cannot be traced from this dataset.

  • Key Question #1: Why does the rating show ROIC and FCF yield at 0%, and do these reflect true zero figures or missing data?
  • Key Question #2: What are the company's P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS, which are all absent from the market data?
  • Key Question #3: Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what is the direction of recent 13F and Form 4 activity?

OGC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OGC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OGC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $24.34?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OGC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OGC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $27.97 (+16.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 of 20 with an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, the strongest element of the rating.

Picked up a starter position in OGC in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $24.11. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 of 20 with an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, the strongest element of the rating.. Trading inside a $20.18–$43.33 52-week range with 0.0% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Diversified Equities multiples expand this quarter.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Diversified Equities. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FO ForensicBear 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $18.56 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $24.11

The whale 13F flow pillar scores only 3 of 20 and ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%, pointing to weak institutional support and no measure

Careful chasing OGC at $24.11. The whale 13F flow pillar scores only 3 of 20 and ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%, pointing to weak institutional support and no measured cash returns.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $18.56 on multiple compression.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%