Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / NVGS / forecast

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Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$21.51 -0.92% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.43

Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.34B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NVGS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NVGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NYSE: NVGS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $21.51 (-0.92% 1D, market cap $1.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NVGS ranks #339 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NVGS compare to TK and CCEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), NVGS carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.2%. By comparison, TK (Teekay Corporation Ltd.) holds a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 13.2x, ROIC 19.6%, cap $1.29B) and CCEC (Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 7.0x, ROIC 4.9%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSL leads on earnings multiple (3.6x) while TK leads on capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVGS?

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Per NVGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001581804), Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) generated $587.0M in revenue (+3.6% YoY), $100.1M in net income, and $116.6M in free cash flow against $2.28B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.43 (-0.36%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 19.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NVGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NVGS SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 58% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$23.89-13.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$20.75+4.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$21.66-0.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$21.51+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NVGS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, NVGS faces multiple-compression risk if 13.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($22.78) or 200D SMA ($21.20) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.70) toward Bear Floor ($16.93).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NVGS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NVGS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NVGS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $21.51: 464.9 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $16.93

$7,871

$-2,129 (-21.3%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $21.70

$10,088

+$88 (+0.9%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $26.75

$12,436

+$2,436 (+24.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$23	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$25	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$19	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NVGS Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NVGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.05%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $21.51H $21.71L $21.51C $21.51VOL 251.2K

RES: $26.59SUP: $20.46SMA50: $22.78SMA200: $21.20

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NVGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NVGS Butterfly Map → + Track NVGS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

4.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NVGS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NVGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NVGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NVGS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #339 of 1011 ⚔️ TK vs NVGS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NVGS vs. TK, CCEC, GSL, GNK)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) ranks #339 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #474 by equity capitalization ($1.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GSL leads on earnings valuation at 3.6x trailing P/E, while TK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.6% ROIC and 66.6% gross margin. TK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with NVGS at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NVGS ACTIVE Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands)	C-	60/100	13.4x	—	12.2%	-0.92%	$1.34B	Benchmark Subject
TK Teekay Corporation Ltd.	B+	77/100	13.2x	66.6%	19.6%	-0.27%	$1.29B	/tk-vs-nvgs →
CCEC Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share	D	44/100	7.0x	—	4.9%	+9.99%	$1.19B	/ccec-vs-nvgs →
GSL Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A)	C	65/100	3.6x	—	16.6%	-1.37%	$1.52B	/gsl-vs-nvgs →
GNK Genco Shipping & Trading Limited New (Marshall Islands)	D+	55/100	—	—	0.6%	-1.76%	$1.16B	/gnk-vs-nvgs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001581804

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) reported GAAP revenue of $587.0M (+3.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $566.7M , and +6.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $100.1M, operating cash flow of $201.7M, and free cash flow of $116.6M (-44.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, NVGS closed FY2025 with $2.28B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.57, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$587.0M	$100.1M	$201.7M	$116.6M	$2.28B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$566.7M	$85.6M	$210.5M	$210.5M	$2.18B	$505.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$550.7M	$82.3M	$174.4M	$174.4M	—	—

3. NVGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NVGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NVGS compare to TK and CCEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVGS?

Where is NVGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NVGS last traded at $21.51 (-0.92% on volume of 297,886 shares), positioning the stock -5.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.78) and +1.46% above its 200-day simple moving average ($21.20). Across its 52-week range of $16.12 to $25.48, NVGS sits at the 57.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($19.90 to $23.12).

NVGS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NVGS's 12-month stock price target?

Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $21.7 (+0.9% from $21.51), with a bull-case target of $26.75 and a bear-case floor of $16.93.

Is NVGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates NVGS C- (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 60/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: NVGS RQD Cockpit NVGS 12M Forecast NVGS Earnings & Move NVGS Dividends & DRIP NVGS Insiders & 13F NVGS Whale Options NVGS Profit Sankey NVGS News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 60/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NVGS — Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:29:34Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NVGS scores 60 out of 100 for a letter grade of C- and the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." Across the five pillars, the fundamental cash engine scores 10 of 20 (ROIC 12.2%; FCF yield 8.71%), suggesting moderate cash generation relative to the stock's valuation rather than an outsized return profile. Whale 13F flow scores 7 of 20, indicating institutional accumulation and options positioning are a weak point in the current read. Insider conviction is the strongest pillar at 18 of 20, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow as recorded in the rating. Macro regime fit scores 16 of 20 with beta at 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted. Forensic balance sheet scores 9 of 20, with Altman Z at 1.57, Piotroski F at 7/9, and Debt/Equity at 0.5. For a prospective investor, the implication is a mixed setup: insider activity and macro alignment support the thesis, while weak institutional flow and a middling balance-sheet reading temper conviction. The "Hold" verdict signals that the data does not currently justify urgency in either direction.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
21.71	$1.34B	13.4	12.5	5	1.62	1.1%	1.0	$16.12 - $25.48	12.2%

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$587.0M	$165.4M	$100.1M	N/A	$116.6M	$154.9M	N/A
FY 2024	$566.7M	$143.2M	$85.6M	N/A	$210.5M	$130.8M	$505.0M
FY 2023	$550.7M	$137.2M	$82.3M	N/A	$174.4M	N/A	N/A

Per the market data, operating margin is 28.2%, net margin is 17.1%, and gross margin is 0%, with ROIC at 12.2%. The Altman Z-Score is 1.57 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, per the Roarable RQD rating. Debt/Equity is 0.5, and the balance sheet posture is characterized in the rating as a forensic weak point, while reported FY 2024 debt of $505.0M and FY 2025 cash of $154.9M frame the leverage picture.

Open Questions

What products and customers generate the reported revenue, and how does the company earn its margins?
What are the EPS and debt figures for FY 2025 and FY 2023, which are marked N/A or unavailable?
What is the current cash and debt position, given FY 2025 debt is unreported and FY 2023 cash is unreported?
What institutional (13F) and insider ownership levels underpin the weak whale-flow pillar score?
What catalysts or risks are active, given no recent news or catalysts are available?

NVGS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NVGS Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 4d ago

A.P. Moller-Maersk (AMKBY) to Report Q3 Results: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth

A.P. Moller-Maersk (AMKBY) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 6d ago

Navigator Holdings (NVGS) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth

Navigator Holdings (NVGS) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST ChartMill • 7d ago

Navigator Holdings (NYSE:NVGS): High-Growth Leadership With Momentum in Focus

Navigator Holdings (NVGS) clears key CAN SLIM growth and leadership filters, but weak forward estimates and a messy chart make it a watchlist stock.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 10d ago

Strata Critical Medical and 3 More Stocks See Action From Activist Investors

Activists also report to the SEC on Crescent Energy, Talos Energy, and Navigator Holdings.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 13d ago

Navigator Gas Announces Date for the Release of Third Quarter 2026 Results and Zoom Conference Call

LONDON, Oct. 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Navigator Holdings Ltd. (described herein as “Navigator Gas” or the “Company”) (NYSE: NVGS), the owner and operator of the world’s largest fleet of handysize liquefied gas carrie

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 15d ago

Is Navigator Holdings (NVGS) Overvalued After Its Domicile Change Plan?

Navigator Holdings has delivered a powerful 162.7% share price gain over the past 5 years, which puts a spotlight on whether the current US$21.33 level is still grounded in its earnings power. After a recent pullback, th

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 15d ago

Navigator Holdings (NVGS) Could Be 17% Below Fair Value Following Redomicile Plan

Navigator Holdings (NYSE:NVGS) set a major corporate change in motion after signing a Merger Agreement to shift its legal home from the Marshall Islands to England and Wales, pending shareholder approval next month. Rece

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 17d ago

Navigator Gas Announces Shareholder Meeting to Approve Change of Domicile to England and Wales

LONDON, Oct. 16, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Navigator Holdings Ltd. (described herein as “Navigator Gas” or the “Company”) (NYSE: NVGS) announced today that, on October 8, 2026, it entered into an Agreement and Plan of Mer

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NVGS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $21.51?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NVGS 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $23.45 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NVGS (C- • RQD 60/100) a Buy at $21.71?

Welcome to the NVGS (Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 60/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Marine Transportation. Bulls point to capital efficiency (12.2% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.28 (-25.0%)

Spot @ $21.71

Pump the brakes on NVGS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NVGS, but look at what you are paying: 13.4x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.62 (+18.0%)

Spot @ $21.71

NVGS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NVGS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Marine Transportation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $21.71 (52-wk range $16.12 - $25.48), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.