Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$21.51 -0.92% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.43

Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.34B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NVGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NYSE: NVGS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $21.51 (-0.92% 1D, market cap $1.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NVGS ranks #339 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NVGS compare to TK and CCEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), NVGS carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.4x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 12.2%. By comparison, TK (Teekay Corporation Ltd.) holds a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 13.2x, ROIC 19.6%, cap $1.29B) and CCEC (Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 7.0x, ROIC 4.9%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSL leads on earnings multiple (3.6x) while TK leads on capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVGS?
β–Ό

Per NVGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001581804), Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) generated $587.0M in revenue (+3.6% YoY), $100.1M in net income, and $116.6M in free cash flow against $2.28B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.43 (-0.36%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 19.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.5% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510060
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C
Cash (10)Whales (7)SEC (9)Macro (16)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$27 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE NVGS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NVGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY NVGS SCORES 60/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 58% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
68
Grade B-$23.89-13.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$20.75+4.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$21.66-0.7% Next Q
Current
60
Grade C-$21.51+0.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (68) β†’ C- (60)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NVGS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, NVGS faces multiple-compression risk if 13.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($22.78) or 200D SMA ($21.20) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.70) toward Bear Floor ($16.93).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NVGSβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œNVGS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
2.9% Total Yield
1.1% Cash ($0.24/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
14% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.4% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $18,596

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $539/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.3K
Yr 2
$12.0K
Yr 3
$12.8K
Yr 4
$13.6K
Yr 5
$14.5K
Yr 6
$15.4K
Yr 7
$16.4K
Yr 8
$17.5K
Yr 9
$18.6K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in NVGS & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on NVGS and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NVGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.05%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $21.51H $21.71L $21.51C $21.51VOL 251.2K
RES: $26.59SUP: $20.46SMA50: $22.78SMA200: $21.20
$26.02$23.77$21.52$19.26$17.01RES $26.59SUP $20.46$21.512026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NVGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
4.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NVGS today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NVGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NVGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NVGS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #339 of 1011 βš”οΈ TK vs NVGS Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NVGS vs. TK, CCEC, GSL, GNK)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) ranks #339 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #474 by equity capitalization ($1.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GSL leads on earnings valuation at 3.6x trailing P/E, while TK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.6% ROIC and 66.6% gross margin. TK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with NVGS at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NVGS ACTIVE
Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands)
C- 60/100 13.4x β€” 12.2% -0.92% $1.34B Benchmark Subject
TK
Teekay Corporation Ltd.
B+ 77/100 13.2x 66.6% 19.6% -0.27% $1.29B /tk-vs-nvgs β†’
CCEC
Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share
D 44/100 7.0x β€” 4.9% +9.99% $1.19B /ccec-vs-nvgs β†’
GSL
Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A)
C 65/100 3.6x β€” 16.6% -1.37% $1.52B /gsl-vs-nvgs β†’
GNK
Genco Shipping & Trading Limited New (Marshall Islands)
D+ 55/100 β€” β€” 0.6% -1.76% $1.16B /gnk-vs-nvgs β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001581804

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) reported GAAP revenue of $587.0M (+3.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $566.7M , and +6.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $100.1M, operating cash flow of $201.7M, and free cash flow of $116.6M (-44.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, NVGS closed FY2025 with $2.28B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.57, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $587.0M $100.1M $201.7M $116.6M $2.28B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $566.7M $85.6M $210.5M $210.5M $2.18B $505.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $550.7M $82.3M $174.4M $174.4M β€” β€”

3. NVGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NVGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NYSE: NVGS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $21.51 (-0.92% 1D, market cap $1.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NVGS ranks #339 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NVGS compare to TK and CCEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), NVGS carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.4x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 12.2%. By comparison, TK (Teekay Corporation Ltd.) holds a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 13.2x, ROIC 19.6%, cap $1.29B) and CCEC (Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 7.0x, ROIC 4.9%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSL leads on earnings multiple (3.6x) while TK leads on capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVGS?

Per NVGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001581804), Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) generated $587.0M in revenue (+3.6% YoY), $100.1M in net income, and $116.6M in free cash flow against $2.28B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NVGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NVGS last traded at $21.51 (-0.92% on volume of 297,886 shares), positioning the stock -5.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.78) and +1.46% above its 200-day simple moving average ($21.20). Across its 52-week range of $16.12 to $25.48, NVGS sits at the 57.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.5% ($19.90 to $23.12).

NVGS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does NVGS pay a dividend and is it safe?

Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) offers a 1.1% cash dividend yield ($0.24 annualized) and 2.9% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 60/100 (C-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NVGS β€” Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:29:34Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NVGS scores 60 out of 100 for a letter grade of C- and the verdict label "Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral." Across the five pillars, the fundamental cash engine scores 10 of 20 (ROIC 12.2%; FCF yield 8.71%), suggesting moderate cash generation relative to the stock's valuation rather than an outsized return profile. Whale 13F flow scores 7 of 20, indicating institutional accumulation and options positioning are a weak point in the current read. Insider conviction is the strongest pillar at 18 of 20, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow as recorded in the rating. Macro regime fit scores 16 of 20 with beta at 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted. Forensic balance sheet scores 9 of 20, with Altman Z at 1.57, Piotroski F at 7/9, and Debt/Equity at 0.5. For a prospective investor, the implication is a mixed setup: insider activity and macro alignment support the thesis, while weak institutional flow and a middling balance-sheet reading temper conviction. The "Hold" verdict signals that the data does not currently justify urgency in either direction.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
21.71$1.34B13.412.551.621.1%1.0$16.12 - $25.4812.2%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$587.0M$165.4M$100.1MN/A$116.6M$154.9MN/A
FY 2024$566.7M$143.2M$85.6MN/A$210.5M$130.8M$505.0M
FY 2023$550.7M$137.2M$82.3MN/A$174.4MN/AN/A

Per the market data, operating margin is 28.2%, net margin is 17.1%, and gross margin is 0%, with ROIC at 12.2%. The Altman Z-Score is 1.57 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, per the Roarable RQD rating. Debt/Equity is 0.5, and the balance sheet posture is characterized in the rating as a forensic weak point, while reported FY 2024 debt of $505.0M and FY 2025 cash of $154.9M frame the leverage picture.

Open Questions

  • What products and customers generate the reported revenue, and how does the company earn its margins?
  • What are the EPS and debt figures for FY 2025 and FY 2023, which are marked N/A or unavailable?
  • What is the current cash and debt position, given FY 2025 debt is unreported and FY 2023 cash is unreported?
  • What institutional (13F) and insider ownership levels underpin the weak whale-flow pillar score?
  • What catalysts or risks are active, given no recent news or catalysts are available?

NVGS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to NVGS Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NVGS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $21.51?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NVGS 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NVGS:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $23.45 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NVGS (C- β€’ RQD 60/100) a Buy at $21.71?

Welcome to the NVGS (Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 60/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral) in Marine Transportation. Bulls point to capital efficiency (12.2% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.28 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $21.71

Pump the brakes on NVGS β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NVGS, but look at what you are paying: 13.4x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.62 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $21.71

NVGS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NVGS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Marine Transportation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $21.71 (52-wk range $16.12 - $25.48), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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