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Stock Ratings / Technology / NTCT / earnings
FIVN (60) CARG (77) KD (48) LFTO (43) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.3% Move

$38.37 -2.49% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.13

NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.79B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NTCT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NTCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, NetScout Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: NTCT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $38.37 (-2.49% 1D, market cap $2.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NTCT ranks #125 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NTCT compare to FIVN and CARG in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), NTCT carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.0x, gross margin of 79.4%, and ROIC of 7.9%. By comparison, FIVN (Five9 Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 70.9x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $2.72B) and CARG (CarGurus Inc. (Class A)) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CARG leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while CARG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTCT?
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Per NTCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001078075), NetScout Systems Inc. generated $859.5M in revenue (+4.5% YoY), $95.5M in net income, and $285.4M in free cash flow against $2.32B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (79% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.12 (-0.64%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 33.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-
Cash (15)Whales (8)SEC (16)Macro (12)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$48 Bull$40 Base$31 Bear
📬 FREE NTCT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NTCT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NTCT SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.28 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 33.2% FCF Margin ($285.4M FCF) & 79.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
74
Grade B+$40.15-3.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
71
Grade B$38.70+4.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$40.50-5.3% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$38.37+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NTCT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, NTCT faces multiple-compression risk if 30.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 76.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($38.99) or 200D SMA ($36.48) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($39.75) toward Bear Floor ($31.01).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NTCT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NTCT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.3% Swing Band

±$2.42 Expected Swing
$35.95 (-6.3%)Spot $38.37$40.79 (+6.3%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NTCT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 66/100

Trailing EPS: $1.31 • YoY Revenue Growth: 4.5%

Model Bullish Setup (66/100)Model Risk Weight (34/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-03-31$859.5M$95.5M$285.4M79.4%
FY 20242025-03-31$822.7M-$366.9M$212.3M78.3%
FY 20232024-03-31$829.5M-$147.7M$58.8M79.4%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating NTCT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on NTCT
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
NTCT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.29%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $39.35H $39.35L $38.37C $38.37VOL 523.9K
RES: $43.27SUP: $37.86SMA50: $38.99SMA200: $36.48
$46.53$41.36$36.20$31.03$25.87RES $43.27SUP $37.86$38.372026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NTCT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NTCT Butterfly Map → + Track NTCT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
23.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NTCT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NTCT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NTCT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NTCT)

Technology Rank #125 of 714 ⚔️ FIVN vs NTCT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NTCT vs. FIVN, CARG, KD, LFTO)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) ranks #125 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #257 by equity capitalization ($2.79B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CARG leads on earnings valuation at 18.6x trailing P/E, while CARG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 92.8% gross margin. CARG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with NTCT at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NTCT ACTIVE
NetScout Systems Inc.
C+ 66/100 30.0x 79.4% 7.9% -2.49% $2.79B Benchmark Subject
FIVN
Five9 Inc.
C- 60/100 70.9x 55.1% 4.1% -2.86% $2.72B /fivn-vs-ntct →
CARG
CarGurus Inc. (Class A)
B+ 77/100 18.6x 92.8% 85.0% -0.98% $2.87B /carg-vs-ntct →
KD
Kyndryl Holdings Inc.
D 48/100 — 21.8% — -0.79% $3.01B /kd-vs-ntct →
LFTO
Liftoff Mobile Inc.
D- 43/100 — — — -7.50% $2.50B /lfto-vs-ntct →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001078075

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) reported GAAP revenue of $859.5M (+4.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $822.7M , and +3.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $95.5M, operating cash flow of $294.5M, and free cash flow of $285.4M (+34.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NTCT closed FY2025 with $2.32B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.28, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $859.5M $95.5M $294.5M $285.4M $2.32B —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $822.7M -$366.9M $217.7M $212.3M $2.17B $75.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $829.5M -$147.7M $58.8M $58.8M — —

3. NTCT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NTCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, NetScout Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: NTCT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $38.37 (-2.49% 1D, market cap $2.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NTCT ranks #125 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NTCT compare to FIVN and CARG in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), NTCT carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.0x, gross margin of 79.4%, and ROIC of 7.9%. By comparison, FIVN (Five9 Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 70.9x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $2.72B) and CARG (CarGurus Inc. (Class A)) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CARG leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while CARG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTCT?

Per NTCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001078075), NetScout Systems Inc. generated $859.5M in revenue (+4.5% YoY), $95.5M in net income, and $285.4M in free cash flow against $2.32B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (79% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NTCT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NTCT last traded at $38.37 (-2.49% on volume of 523,915 shares), positioning the stock -1.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($38.99) and +5.18% above its 200-day simple moving average ($36.48). Across its 52-week range of $25.29 to $45.28, NTCT sits at the 65.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($35.95 to $40.79).

NTCT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NTCT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is NTCT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.3% event move for NTCT, spanning a range between $35.95 and $40.79.

Direct Sub-Reports: NTCT RQD Cockpit NTCT 12M Forecast NTCT Earnings & Move NTCT Dividends & DRIP NTCT Insiders & 13F NTCT Whale Options NTCT Profit Sankey NTCT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NTCT — NetScout Systems Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:24:44Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NTCT scores 70 out of 100 (letter grade B-, verdict "Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation"). The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 (ROIC 7.9%; FCF yield 9.98%), Whale 13F Flow at 12/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 15/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 12/20 (beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20 (Altman Z 3.28; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

Investor implications: the strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet, which the source data characterizes as the most supportive element of the rating. The cash-generation pillar is solid on free-cash-flow yield but moderate on ROIC. The macro pillar is the weakest, reflecting a market-matching beta and sector sensitivity rather than a defensive profile. Valuation is a tradeoff: per the market data, trailing P/E is 30 and forward P/E is 27.9, so upside depends on earnings growth delivering into those multiples. The rating supports a view of sound institutional interest and balance-sheet strength, but it does not by itself establish that the current price embeds a margin of safety.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$39.35$2.86B3027.919.71.310%1.0$25.29 - $45.287.9%

Open Questions

  • What is the composition of NetScout's revenue by product and customer, and what drives the swing from FY 2024 operating losses to FY 2025 operating income?
  • What is the FY 2025 debt balance and EPS figure, given both are listed as N/A in the financials?
  • What was the reason for the COO's sudden resignation, and does it affect operating continuity?
  • What did the Q1 2027 earnings call disclose about guidance, given that the transcript is linked but not provided?
  • What are the specific institutional and insider trades underlying the RQD pillar scores for whale flow and insider conviction?

NTCT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NTCT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NTCT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $38.37?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NTCT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NTCT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $46.43 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NTCT (B- • RQD 70/100) a Buy at $39.35?

Welcome to the NTCT (NetScout Systems Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 70/100 (Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation) in EDP Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $29.91 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $39.35

Pump the brakes on NTCT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NTCT, but look at what you are paying: 30.0x trailing P/E with 79.4% gross margins. Unless NetScout Systems Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $49.97 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $39.35

NTCT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NTCT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in EDP Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $39.35 (52-wk range $25.29 - $45.28), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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