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Stock Ratings / Technology / NTCT
FIVN (60) CARG (77) KD (48) LFTO (43) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$38.37 -2.49% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.13

NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.79B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NTCT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NTCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, NetScout Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: NTCT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $38.37 (-2.49% 1D, market cap $2.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NTCT ranks #125 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NTCT compare to FIVN and CARG in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), NTCT carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.0x, gross margin of 79.4%, and ROIC of 7.9%. By comparison, FIVN (Five9 Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 70.9x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $2.72B) and CARG (CarGurus Inc. (Class A)) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CARG leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while CARG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTCT?
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Per NTCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001078075), NetScout Systems Inc. generated $859.5M in revenue (+4.5% YoY), $95.5M in net income, and $285.4M in free cash flow against $2.32B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (79% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.12 (-0.64%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 33.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-
Cash (15)Whales (8)SEC (16)Macro (12)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$48 Bull$40 Base$31 Bear
📬 FREE NTCT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NTCT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NTCT SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.28 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 33.2% FCF Margin ($285.4M FCF) & 79.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
74
Grade B+$40.15-3.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
71
Grade B$38.70+4.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$40.50-5.3% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$38.37+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NTCT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, NTCT faces multiple-compression risk if 30.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 76.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($38.99) or 200D SMA ($36.48) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($39.75) toward Bear Floor ($31.01).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NTCT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NTCT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
44.730 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.28>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE65% OF RANGE
L: $25$38.37H: $45
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (79% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on NTCT

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (75)

7.9% ROIC with 79.4% gross margin and 9.98% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 3.28 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (58)

23/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NTCT
  • ✓Strong cash generator (79% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NTCT Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
NTCT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.29%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $39.35H $39.35L $38.37C $38.37VOL 523.9K
RES: $43.27SUP: $37.86SMA50: $38.99SMA200: $36.48
$46.53$41.36$36.20$31.03$25.87RES $43.27SUP $37.86$38.372026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NTCT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NTCT Butterfly Map → + Track NTCT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
23.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NTCT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NTCT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NTCT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NTCT)

Technology Rank #125 of 714 ⚔️ FIVN vs NTCT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NTCT vs. FIVN, CARG, KD, LFTO)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) ranks #125 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #257 by equity capitalization ($2.79B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CARG leads on earnings valuation at 18.6x trailing P/E, while CARG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 92.8% gross margin. CARG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with NTCT at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NTCT ACTIVE
NetScout Systems Inc.
C+ 66/100 30.0x 79.4% 7.9% -2.49% $2.79B Benchmark Subject
FIVN
Five9 Inc.
C- 60/100 70.9x 55.1% 4.1% -2.86% $2.72B /fivn-vs-ntct →
CARG
CarGurus Inc. (Class A)
B+ 77/100 18.6x 92.8% 85.0% -0.98% $2.87B /carg-vs-ntct →
KD
Kyndryl Holdings Inc.
D 48/100 — 21.8% — -0.79% $3.01B /kd-vs-ntct →
LFTO
Liftoff Mobile Inc.
D- 43/100 — — — -7.50% $2.50B /lfto-vs-ntct →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001078075

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) reported GAAP revenue of $859.5M (+4.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $822.7M , and +3.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $95.5M, operating cash flow of $294.5M, and free cash flow of $285.4M (+34.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NTCT closed FY2025 with $2.32B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.28, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $859.5M $95.5M $294.5M $285.4M $2.32B —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $822.7M -$366.9M $217.7M $212.3M $2.17B $75.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $829.5M -$147.7M $58.8M $58.8M — —

3. NTCT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NTCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, NetScout Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: NTCT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $38.37 (-2.49% 1D, market cap $2.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NTCT ranks #125 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NTCT compare to FIVN and CARG in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), NTCT carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.0x, gross margin of 79.4%, and ROIC of 7.9%. By comparison, FIVN (Five9 Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 70.9x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $2.72B) and CARG (CarGurus Inc. (Class A)) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CARG leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while CARG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTCT?

Per NTCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001078075), NetScout Systems Inc. generated $859.5M in revenue (+4.5% YoY), $95.5M in net income, and $285.4M in free cash flow against $2.32B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (79% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NTCT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NTCT last traded at $38.37 (-2.49% on volume of 523,915 shares), positioning the stock -1.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($38.99) and +5.18% above its 200-day simple moving average ($36.48). Across its 52-week range of $25.29 to $45.28, NTCT sits at the 65.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($35.95 to $40.79).

NTCT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NTCT stock right now?

NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 79% profit margin (8% return on capital), mixed timing at 30x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is NTCT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NTCT's 12-month base price target is $39.75 (range $31.01 to $47.54), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: NTCT RQD Cockpit NTCT 12M Forecast NTCT Earnings & Move NTCT Dividends & DRIP NTCT Insiders & 13F NTCT Whale Options NTCT Profit Sankey NTCT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NTCT — NetScout Systems Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:24:44Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NTCT scores 70 out of 100 (letter grade B-, verdict "Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation"). The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 (ROIC 7.9%; FCF yield 9.98%), Whale 13F Flow at 12/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 15/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 12/20 (beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20 (Altman Z 3.28; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

Investor implications: the strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet, which the source data characterizes as the most supportive element of the rating. The cash-generation pillar is solid on free-cash-flow yield but moderate on ROIC. The macro pillar is the weakest, reflecting a market-matching beta and sector sensitivity rather than a defensive profile. Valuation is a tradeoff: per the market data, trailing P/E is 30 and forward P/E is 27.9, so upside depends on earnings growth delivering into those multiples. The rating supports a view of sound institutional interest and balance-sheet strength, but it does not by itself establish that the current price embeds a margin of safety.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$39.35$2.86B3027.919.71.310%1.0$25.29 - $45.287.9%

Open Questions

  • What is the composition of NetScout's revenue by product and customer, and what drives the swing from FY 2024 operating losses to FY 2025 operating income?
  • What is the FY 2025 debt balance and EPS figure, given both are listed as N/A in the financials?
  • What was the reason for the COO's sudden resignation, and does it affect operating continuity?
  • What did the Q1 2027 earnings call disclose about guidance, given that the transcript is linked but not provided?
  • What are the specific institutional and insider trades underlying the RQD pillar scores for whale flow and insider conviction?

NTCT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NTCT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NTCT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $38.37?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NTCT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NTCT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $46.43 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NTCT (B- • RQD 70/100) a Buy at $39.35?

Welcome to the NTCT (NetScout Systems Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 70/100 (Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation) in EDP Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $29.91 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $39.35

Pump the brakes on NTCT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NTCT, but look at what you are paying: 30.0x trailing P/E with 79.4% gross margins. Unless NetScout Systems Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $49.97 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $39.35

NTCT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NTCT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in EDP Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $39.35 (52-wk range $25.29 - $45.28), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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