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NAPCO Security Technologies Inc. (NSSC) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$39.35 -1.58% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.33

NAPCO Security Technologies Inc. (NSSC) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (55.6% gross margin, 46% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $1.41B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NSSC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NSSC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, NAPCO Security Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: NSSC) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $39.35 (-1.58% 1D, market cap $1.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, NSSC ranks #10 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NSSC compare to ATEX and ZD in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Telecommunications Equipment), NSSC carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.9x, gross margin of 55.6%, and ROIC of 45.7%. By comparison, ATEX (Anterix Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 35.9%, cap $1.78B) and ZD (Ziff Davis Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 40.5x, ROIC 7.6%, cap $1.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDT leads on earnings multiple (25.0x) while IDT leads on capital efficiency (61.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NSSC?
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Per NSSC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000069633), NAPCO Security Technologies Inc. generated $181.6M in revenue (-3.8% YoY), $43.4M in net income, and $51.4M in free cash flow against $212.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (55.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.33 (-0.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 20/20 (A+) • 28.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510071
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C+
Cash (20)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (11)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target
$54 Bull$42 Base$32 Bear
📬 FREE NSSC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NSSC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NSSC SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+20/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 28.3% FCF Margin ($51.4M FCF) & 55.6% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$36.18+0.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$36.45+9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$39.73-1% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$39.35+6.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NSSC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, NSSC faces multiple-compression risk if 32.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 53.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($36.58) or 200D SMA ($39.15) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($41.65) toward Bear Floor ($32.27).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NSSC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NSSC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

NSSC Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (NSSC)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on NSSC. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NSSC Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NSSC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.66%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $39.98H $39.98L $39.35C $39.35VOL 407.8K
RES: $47.03SUP: $34.96SMA50: $36.58SMA200: $39.15
$53.02$47.84$42.66$37.48$32.30RES $47.03SUP $34.96$39.352026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NSSC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NSSC Butterfly Map → + Track NSSC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NSSC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NSSC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NSSC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NSSC)

Communication Services Rank #10 of 132 ⚔️ ATEX vs NSSC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (NSSC vs. ATEX, ZD, IDT, IHS)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NAPCO Security Technologies Inc. (NSSC) ranks #10 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #61 by equity capitalization ($1.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IDT leads on earnings valuation at 25.0x trailing P/E, while IDT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 61.2% ROIC and 36.2% gross margin. IDT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with NSSC at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NSSC ACTIVE
NAPCO Security Technologies Inc.
B- 71/100 32.9x 55.6% 45.7% -1.58% $1.41B Benchmark Subject
ATEX
Anterix Inc.
B+ 76/100 — — 35.9% -1.24% $1.78B /atex-vs-nssc →
ZD
Ziff Davis Inc.
C 62/100 40.5x 85.8% 7.6% -2.07% $1.88B /zd-vs-nssc →
IDT
IDT Corporation (Class B)
A- 81/100 25.0x 36.2% 61.2% +0.34% $2.04B /idt-vs-nssc →
IHS
IHS Holding Limited
D+ 58/100 — — — -0.24% $2.84B /ihs-vs-nssc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000069633 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), NAPCO Security Technologies Inc. (NSSC) reported GAAP revenue of $181.6M (-3.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $188.8M , and +6.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $43.4M, operating cash flow of $53.5M, and free cash flow of $51.4M (+17.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, NSSC closed FY2025 with $212.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $181.6M $43.4M $53.5M $51.4M $212.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $188.8M $49.8M $45.4M $43.8M $202.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $170.0M $27.1M $24.7M $24.7M — —

3. NSSC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NSSC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, NAPCO Security Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: NSSC) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $39.35 (-1.58% 1D, market cap $1.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, NSSC ranks #10 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NSSC compare to ATEX and ZD in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Telecommunications Equipment), NSSC carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.9x, gross margin of 55.6%, and ROIC of 45.7%. By comparison, ATEX (Anterix Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 35.9%, cap $1.78B) and ZD (Ziff Davis Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 40.5x, ROIC 7.6%, cap $1.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDT leads on earnings multiple (25.0x) while IDT leads on capital efficiency (61.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NSSC?

Per NSSC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000069633), NAPCO Security Technologies Inc. generated $181.6M in revenue (-3.8% YoY), $43.4M in net income, and $51.4M in free cash flow against $212.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (55.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NSSC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NSSC last traded at $39.35 (-1.58% on volume of 407,763 shares), positioning the stock +7.57% above its 50-day simple moving average ($36.58) and +0.51% above its 200-day simple moving average ($39.15). Across its 52-week range of $33.91 to $51.77, NSSC sits at the 30.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($37.19 to $41.51).

Direct Sub-Reports: NSSC RQD Cockpit NSSC 12M Forecast NSSC Earnings & Move NSSC Dividends & DRIP NSSC Insiders & 13F NSSC Whale Options NSSC Profit Sankey NSSC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 71/100 (B-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NSSC — NAPCO Security Technologies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

NAPCO Security Technologies Inc. (NSSC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 71/100, corresponding to a B- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $39.35 (-1.58% 1D, market capitalization $1.41B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (20/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 45.7%, gross margin of 55.6%, operating margin of 25.5%, and free cash flow yield of 3.60%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 26.00, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (NSSC) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Communication Services sector and the Telecommunications Equipment industry. Revenue is reported, but the specific product lines, customer segments, and revenue mix are — Per the market data, gross margin is 55.6%, operating margin is 25.5%, and net margin is 23.9%, indicating meaningful pricing power and cost control.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), NAPCO Security Technologies Inc. (NSSC) reported $181.6M in annual revenue (up from $188.8M in FY2024, -3.8% YoY) and $43.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($170.0M revenue, $27.1M net income) through FY2025, NSSC scaled operating cash flow to $53.5M and free cash flow to $51.4M, backed by $212.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B- • RQD 71/100): Strong cash generator (55.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 20/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $33.91 – $51.77 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 32.9x trailing P/E and 27.6x EV/EBITDA against 25.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Telecommunications Equipment (Communication Services), NSSC carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 55.6%.

  • Key Question #1: Can NSSC sustain or expand its 25.5% operating margin and 45.7% ROIC against Telecommunications Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $181.6M and free cash flow of $51.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NSSC's 30.6x forward P/E multiple to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NSSC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NAPCO Security Technologies Inc. (NSSC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NSSC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NSSC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $39.35?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NSSC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NSSC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $49.19 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A 45.7% ROIC and a perfect 20/20 cash-engine score show a highly capital-efficient business.

Don't sleep on NSSC's setup in Communication Services. A 45.7% ROIC and a perfect 20/20 cash-engine score show a highly capital-efficient business.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (71/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 10/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $39.35 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Communication Services.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $29.51 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $39.35

A 32.9 trailing P/E and 27.6 EV/EBITDA leave the valuation exposed to any growth slowdown, as seen in the fiscal Q1 miss.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short NSSC above $39.35. A 32.9 trailing P/E and 27.6 EV/EBITDA leave the valuation exposed to any growth slowdown, as seen in the fiscal Q1 miss.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (20/20) and FCF yield (3.6%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $51.77.

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