Yahoo Finance report covering Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why NP Stock advanced +1.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NP) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is NP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: NP) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $29.18 (+1.28% 1D, market cap $4.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NP ranks #268 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does NP compare to CRVL and ARX in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Specialty Insurers), NP carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 106.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 28.2%. By comparison, CRVL (CorVel Corp.) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 37.6x, ROIC 29.4%, cap $4.15B) and ARX (Accelerant Holdings (Class A)) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HGTY leads on earnings multiple (37.5x) while HGTY leads on capital efficiency (67.4% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NP?
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Per NP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002067129), Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $159.6M in revenue (+33.7% YoY), $37.4M in net income, and $51.7M in free cash flow against $65.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 32.4% FCF Margin ($51.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
FRED Regime × Technicals: 71% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 51.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 10 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NP Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 64/100 (C) score, NP faces multiple-compression risk if 106.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
Priced at 106x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($29.80) or 200D SMA ($27.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($29.97) toward Bear Floor ($23.38).
Why NP Stock advanced +1.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NP) advanced +1.28% to $29.18, trading at 71% of its 52-week range ($14.78 – $35.15). Solid steady margins (28% return on capital), mixed timing at 106x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 71% of its 52-week range ($14.78 – $35.15) with RSI-14 at 51.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.8% around $29.18 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $51.7M annual free cash flow.
ChartMill report covering Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Business Wire report covering Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Quiver Quantitative report covering Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Morgan Stanley analyst Bob Huang maintains Neptune Insurance Hldgs (NYSE:NP) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $36 to $35.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NP Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
NP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +33.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NP today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NP)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NP vs. CRVL, ARX, BWIN, HGTY)
Industry: Specialty Insurers (33 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NP) ranks #268 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #309 by equity capitalization ($4.03B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HGTY leads on earnings valuation at 37.5x trailing P/E, while HGTY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 67.4% ROIC and — gross margin. CRVL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with NP at 64/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NP
ACTIVE
Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) | C | 64/100 | 106.4x | — | 28.2% | +1.28% | $4.03B | Benchmark Subject |
| CRVL CorVel Corp. | B | 75/100 | 37.6x | — | 29.4% | +0.04% | $4.15B | /crvl-vs-np → |
| ARX Accelerant Holdings (Class A) | C | 64/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $4.30B | /arx-vs-np → |
| BWIN The Baldwin Insurance Group Inc. | D | 48/100 | — | — | 3.6% | +0.31% | $4.45B | /bwin-vs-np → |
| HGTY Hagerty Inc. (Class A) | B | 75/100 | 37.5x | — | 67.4% | +0.78% | $5.64B | /hgty-vs-np → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002067129In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NP) reported GAAP revenue of $159.6M (+33.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $119.3M , and +88.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $37.4M, operating cash flow of $51.7M, and free cash flow of $51.7M (+3.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NP closed FY2025 with $65.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $159.6M | $37.4M | $51.7M | $51.7M | $65.3M | $0 |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $119.3M | $34.6M | $49.9M | $49.9M | $48.2M | $125.1M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $84.9M | $17.9M | $18.6M | $18.6M | — | — |
3. NP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: NP) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $29.18 (+1.28% 1D, market cap $4.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NP ranks #268 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NP compare to CRVL and ARX in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Specialty Insurers), NP carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 106.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 28.2%. By comparison, CRVL (CorVel Corp.) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 37.6x, ROIC 29.4%, cap $4.15B) and ARX (Accelerant Holdings (Class A)) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HGTY leads on earnings multiple (37.5x) while HGTY leads on capital efficiency (67.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NP?
Per NP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002067129), Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $159.6M in revenue (+33.7% YoY), $37.4M in net income, and $51.7M in free cash flow against $65.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NP last traded at $29.18 (+1.28% on volume of 571,273 shares), positioning the stock -2.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($29.80) and +6.15% above its 200-day simple moving average ($27.49). Across its 52-week range of $14.78 to $35.15, NP sits at the 70.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($26.90 to $31.46).
NP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NP stock moving today?
Why NP Stock advanced +1.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (28% return on capital), mixed timing at 106x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
NP — Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, NP scores 64 out of 100 with a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine (17 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 28.2% and FCF yield is 1.3%. The high return on invested capital is a strength; the low FCF yield implies that the cash generated is small relative to the market capitalization.
- Whale 13F Flow (10 / 20): Institutional accumulation and options positioning received a mid-range score. The source data contains no holder detail, so the basis for this score cannot be traced further.
- Insider Conviction (10 / 20): SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow received a mid-range score. Per the recent news wire, a proposed sale of 406,152 shares by the CEO following a compensation grant is reported; this is a single reported item, not a verified cluster.
- Macro Regime Fit (15 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0, indicating market-level sensitivity in the source data.
- Forensic Balance Sheet (12 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5.
For a prospective investor, the rating describes a balanced setup rather than a clear directional signal. Strengths sit in profitability and return metrics; constraints sit in cash yield, insider and institutional confirmation, and the valuation multiples shown in the market data (P/E TTM of 106.4 and EV/EBITDA of 56). The rating is educational context, not a recommendation.
Snapshot
Business
Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector and Specialty Insurers industry, per the profile. Per the SEC financials, the company reports revenue, operating income, and net income across FY 2023–FY 2025. Source data does not describe the company's products, customer base, or specific revenue model beyond sector and industry classification.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $159.6M | $71.0M | $37.4M | N/A | $51.7M | $8.0M | $0.0M |
| FY 2024 | $119.3M | $68.4M | $34.6M | N/A | $49.9M | $7.1M | $125.1M |
| FY 2023 | $84.9M | $45.4M | $17.9M | N/A | $18.6M | N/A | N/A |
Per the market data, operating margin is 44.5%, net margin is 23.4%, and gross margin is 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 28.2%, Altman Z-Score is 2.5, and Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the RQD rating, and reported debt moves from $125.1M (FY 2024) to $0.0M (FY 2025) in the SEC financials.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news wire, the items are:
- A Q3 earnings report from Yahoo Finance comparing key metrics to Wall Street estimates (flagged YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
- A ChartMill report headlined as a record Q3 2026 revenue beat (flagged GREEN, CATALYST).
- A second Yahoo Finance Q3 report stating earnings and revenues surpassed estimates (flagged YELLOW).
- A Simply Wall St forecast and analyst-predictions piece (flagged YELLOW).
- A Globe and Mail piece describing conflicting analyst sentiment on NP and LATAM Airlines (flagged YELLOW).
- A Stock Titan report on a proposed 406,152-share CEO sale following a compensation grant (flagged YELLOW).
Risk watch: the proposed CEO sale is the only insider-activity item in the feed. The butterfly graph reports no supply-chain links or proprietary signals.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data. Sector and industry classification alone (Financials / Specialty Insurers) is the only context provided.
Open Questions
- What is the company's specific product and customer mix within Specialty Insurers, and how does it generate revenue?
- Why are EPS values listed as N/A for all reported periods while net income is reported, and what is the per-share share count?
- What drove the reported debt reduction from $125.1M to $0.0M between FY 2024 and FY 2025, and what is the FY 2023 cash and debt position?
- What does the record Q3 2026 revenue headline quantify in dollars, and how does it compare to FY 2025 reported revenue?
- Does the proposed CEO sale of 406,152 shares represent a meaningful share of holdings, and are there any other insider or institutional transactions?
NP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ChartMill report covering Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Business Wire report covering Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Quiver Quantitative report covering Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
NP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $29.18?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NP (C • RQD 64/100) a Buy at $28.81?
Welcome to the NP (Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Specialty Insurers. Bulls point to capital efficiency (28.2% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (106.4x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on NP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NP, but look at what you are paying: 106.4x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
NP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Specialty Insurers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $28.81 (52-wk range $14.78 - $35.15), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.