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Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$73.71 -0.82% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $73.46

Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.55B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NGVT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Ingevity Corporation (NYSE: NGVT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $73.71 (-0.82% 1D, market cap $2.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NGVT ranks #17 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NGVT compare to KWR and IOSP in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), NGVT carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.5%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, KWR (Quaker Houghton) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.1%, cap $2.60B) and IOSP (Innospec Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 9.9%, cap $2.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WDFC leads on earnings multiple (32.3x) while NGVT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NGVT?
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Per NGVT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653477), Ingevity Corporation generated $1.17B in revenue (-2.7% YoY), -$167.1M in net income, and $331.2M in free cash flow against $1.65B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (39.5% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $73.46 (-0.34%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 28.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk D+
Cash (19)Whales (13)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$90 Bull$76 Base$60 Bear
📬 FREE NGVT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NGVT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NGVT SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 28.4% FCF Margin ($331.2M FCF) & 39.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$70.08+0.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$70.60+5.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$74.19-0.6% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$73.71+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NGVT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, NGVT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 37.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($70.63) or 200D SMA ($71.34) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($76.36) toward Bear Floor ($59.56).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NGVT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NGVT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±5.8%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (NGVT)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for NGVT.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating NGVT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on NGVT
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NGVT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.11%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $75.37H $75.37L $73.71C $73.71VOL 279.1K
RES: $76.18SUP: $65.17SMA50: $70.63SMA200: $71.34
$80.60$75.18$69.77$64.36$58.95RES $76.18SUP $65.17$73.712026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NGVT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NGVT Butterfly Map → + Track NGVT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-6.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NGVT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NGVT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NGVT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NGVT)

Materials Rank #17 of 270 ⚔️ KWR vs NGVT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (NGVT vs. KWR, IOSP, ROG, WDFC)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) ranks #17 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #100 by equity capitalization ($2.55B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WDFC leads on earnings valuation at 32.3x trailing P/E, while NGVT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 39.5% gross margin. WDFC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with NGVT at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NGVT ACTIVE
Ingevity Corporation
C+ 66/100 — 39.5% 85.0% -0.82% $2.55B Benchmark Subject
KWR
Quaker Houghton
D 46/100 — 36.0% 2.1% -1.92% $2.60B /kwr-vs-ngvt →
IOSP
Innospec Inc.
C+ 69/100 — 27.7% 9.9% -0.34% $2.46B /iosp-vs-ngvt →
ROG
Rogers Corporation
D 48/100 — 31.7% -3.6% -3.53% $2.37B /rog-vs-ngvt →
WDFC
WD-40 Company
B 73/100 32.3x 55.1% 27.2% +3.27% $2.95B /wdfc-vs-ngvt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001653477 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.17B (-2.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.20B , and -3.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$167.1M, operating cash flow of $331.2M, and free cash flow of $331.2M (+157.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NGVT closed FY2025 with $1.65B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.93, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.17B -$167.1M $331.2M $331.2M $1.65B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.20B -$430.3M $128.6M $128.6M $2.02B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.22B -$5.4M $205.1M $205.1M — —

3. NGVT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NGVT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ingevity Corporation (NYSE: NGVT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $73.71 (-0.82% 1D, market cap $2.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NGVT ranks #17 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NGVT compare to KWR and IOSP in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), NGVT carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.5%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, KWR (Quaker Houghton) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.1%, cap $2.60B) and IOSP (Innospec Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 9.9%, cap $2.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WDFC leads on earnings multiple (32.3x) while NGVT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NGVT?

Per NGVT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653477), Ingevity Corporation generated $1.17B in revenue (-2.7% YoY), -$167.1M in net income, and $331.2M in free cash flow against $1.65B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (39.5% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NGVT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NGVT last traded at $73.71 (-0.82% on volume of 469,922 shares), positioning the stock +4.36% above its 50-day simple moving average ($70.63) and +3.32% above its 200-day simple moving average ($71.34). Across its 52-week range of $45.85 to $79.29, NGVT sits at the 83.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($69.43 to $77.99).

Direct Sub-Reports: NGVT RQD Cockpit NGVT 12M Forecast NGVT Earnings & Move NGVT Dividends & DRIP NGVT Insiders & 13F NGVT Whale Options NGVT Profit Sankey NGVT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NGVT — Ingevity Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 66/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $73.71 (-0.82% 1D, market capitalization $2.55B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (19/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 85.0%, gross margin of 39.5%, operating margin of 35.9%, and free cash flow yield of 12.78%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.93, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Materials sector and Major Chemicals industry. The source data provided does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond these classifications. Per the financials section, the company reported FY 2025 revenue of $1.17B. A market capitalization of $2.6B is listed in the profile.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) reported $1.17B in annual revenue (up from $1.20B in FY2024, -2.7% YoY) and -$167.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.22B revenue, -$5.4M net income) through FY2025, NGVT scaled operating cash flow to $331.2M and free cash flow to $331.2M, backed by $1.65B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 66/100): Strong cash generator (39.5% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Free cash flow yield of 12.78% and institutional whale pillar of 13/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 19/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $45.85 – $79.29 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh current valuation and 6.0x EV/EBITDA against 35.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Major Chemicals (Materials), NGVT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 39.5%.

  • Key Question #1: Can NGVT sustain or expand its 35.9% operating margin and 85.0% ROIC against Major Chemicals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.17B and free cash flow of $331.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NGVT's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NGVT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NGVT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NGVT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $73.71?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NGVT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NGVT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $86.95 (+17.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

An 85% ROIC and a 12.78% FCF yield, which score 19 of 20 on the cash-engine pillar, suggest strong capital efficiency at a 6x EV/EBITDA

The street is overcomplicating Ingevity Corporation (NGVT). An 85% ROIC and a 12.78% FCF yield, which score 19 of 20 on the cash-engine pillar, suggest strong capital efficiency at a 6x EV/EBITDA.. With an RQD score of 66/100 (C+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $80.27.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Major Chemicals. If gross margin (39.5%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $57.97 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $74.32

A -14.3% net margin and FY 2025 net loss of -$167.1M, alongside a 10 of 20 forensic balance sheet score, signal earnings quality concer

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short NGVT above $74.32. A -14.3% net margin and FY 2025 net loss of -$167.1M, alongside a 10 of 20 forensic balance sheet score, signal earnings quality concerns.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (19/20) and FCF yield (12.78%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $79.29.

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