Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$73.71 -0.82% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $73.46

Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.55B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NGVT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Ingevity Corporation (NYSE: NGVT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $73.71 (-0.82% 1D, market cap $2.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NGVT ranks #17 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NGVT compare to KWR and IOSP in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), NGVT carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.5%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, KWR (Quaker Houghton) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.1%, cap $2.60B) and IOSP (Innospec Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 9.9%, cap $2.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WDFC leads on earnings multiple (32.3x) while NGVT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NGVT?
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Per NGVT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653477), Ingevity Corporation generated $1.17B in revenue (-2.7% YoY), -$167.1M in net income, and $331.2M in free cash flow against $1.65B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (40% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $73.46 (-0.34%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 28.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk D+
Cash (19)Whales (13)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$90 Bull$76 Base$60 Bear
📬 FREE NGVT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NGVT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NGVT SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 28.4% FCF Margin ($331.2M FCF) & 39.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$70.08+0.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$70.60+5.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$74.19-0.6% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$73.71+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NGVT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, NGVT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 37.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($70.63) or 200D SMA ($71.34) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($76.36) toward Bear Floor ($59.56).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NGVT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NGVT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
59.830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.93>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE83% OF RANGE
L: $46$73.71H: $79
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (40% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A+RQD 19 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on NGVT

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (95)

85.0% ROIC with 39.5% gross margin and 12.78% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 2.93 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (62)

25/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NGVT
  • ✓Strong cash generator (40% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NGVT Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
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NGVT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.11%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $75.37H $75.37L $73.71C $73.71VOL 279.1K
RES: $76.18SUP: $65.17SMA50: $70.63SMA200: $71.34
$80.60$75.18$69.77$64.36$58.95RES $76.18SUP $65.17$73.712026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NGVT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-6.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NGVT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NGVT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NGVT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NGVT)

Materials Rank #17 of 270 ⚔️ KWR vs NGVT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (NGVT vs. KWR, IOSP, ROG, WDFC)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) ranks #17 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #100 by equity capitalization ($2.55B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WDFC leads on earnings valuation at 32.3x trailing P/E, while NGVT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 39.5% gross margin. WDFC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with NGVT at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NGVT ACTIVE
Ingevity Corporation
C+ 66/100 — 39.5% 85.0% -0.82% $2.55B Benchmark Subject
KWR
Quaker Houghton
D 46/100 — 36.0% 2.1% -1.92% $2.60B /kwr-vs-ngvt →
IOSP
Innospec Inc.
C+ 69/100 — 27.7% 9.9% -0.34% $2.46B /iosp-vs-ngvt →
ROG
Rogers Corporation
D 48/100 — 31.7% -3.6% -3.53% $2.37B /rog-vs-ngvt →
WDFC
WD-40 Company
B 73/100 32.3x 55.1% 27.2% +3.27% $2.95B /wdfc-vs-ngvt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001653477

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.17B (-2.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.20B , and -3.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$167.1M, operating cash flow of $331.2M, and free cash flow of $331.2M (+157.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NGVT closed FY2025 with $1.65B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.93, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.17B -$167.1M $331.2M $331.2M $1.65B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.20B -$430.3M $128.6M $128.6M $2.02B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.22B -$5.4M $205.1M $205.1M — —

3. NGVT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NGVT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ingevity Corporation (NYSE: NGVT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $73.71 (-0.82% 1D, market cap $2.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NGVT ranks #17 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NGVT compare to KWR and IOSP in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), NGVT carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.5%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, KWR (Quaker Houghton) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.1%, cap $2.60B) and IOSP (Innospec Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 9.9%, cap $2.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WDFC leads on earnings multiple (32.3x) while NGVT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NGVT?

Per NGVT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653477), Ingevity Corporation generated $1.17B in revenue (-2.7% YoY), -$167.1M in net income, and $331.2M in free cash flow against $1.65B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (40% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NGVT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NGVT last traded at $73.71 (-0.82% on volume of 469,922 shares), positioning the stock +4.36% above its 50-day simple moving average ($70.63) and +3.32% above its 200-day simple moving average ($71.34). Across its 52-week range of $45.85 to $79.29, NGVT sits at the 83.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($69.43 to $77.99).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NGVT — Ingevity Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:25:24Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

NGVT scores 67 out of 100, a letter grade of C+, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 19 of 20 (ROIC 85%; FCF yield 12.78%), the strongest signal in the rating and the main source of upside support. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 14 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. The insider conviction pillar scores 12 of 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The macro regime fit pillar scores 12 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), indicating market-like sensitivity rather than defensive or aggressive behavior. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 10 of 20 (Altman Z 2.93; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5), the weakest pillar and the main area where valuation tradeoffs and balance-sheet quality warrant scrutiny. For a prospective investor, the rating points to a high cash-return profile offset by mid-range institutional and insider signals and a balance-sheet score that tempers conviction. The "Watch for Breakout" label suggests the rating framework sees the setup as unresolved rather than decisively positive or negative.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Materials sector and Major Chemicals industry. The source data provided does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond these classifications. Per the financials section, the company reported FY 2025 revenue of $1.17B. A market capitalization of $2.6B is listed in the profile.

Per the market data, operating margin is 35.9%, gross margin is 39.5%, and net margin is -14.3%, with ROIC at 85%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.93 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Per the forensic balance sheet pillar, these metrics produced a 10 of 20 score.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: An 85% ROIC and a 12.78% FCF yield, which score 19 of 20 on the cash-engine pillar, suggest strong capital efficiency at a 6x EV/EBITDA. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 19/20 (ROIC 85.0%, FCF yield 12.78%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $45.85 – $79.29 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: A -14.3% net margin and FY 2025 net loss of -$167.1M, alongside a 10 of 20 forensic balance sheet score, signal earnings quality concerns. Investors must weigh current valuation and 6.0x EV/EBITDA against 35.9% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Major Chemicals (Materials), NGVT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 39.5%.

  • Key Question #1: What explains the gap between an 85% ROIC and a -14.3% net margin, and how much of net loss reflects one-time or non-cash items?
  • Key Question #2: What is the company's total debt, given FY debt fields are unreported and Debt/Equity is listed only as 0.5?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NGVT's 39.5% gross margin and equity valuation to Materials demand cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00)?

NGVT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NGVT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NGVT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $73.71?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NGVT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NGVT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $86.95 (+17.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

An 85% ROIC and a 12.78% FCF yield, which score 19 of 20 on the cash-engine pillar, suggest strong capital efficiency at a 6x EV/EBITDA

The street is overcomplicating Ingevity Corporation (NGVT). An 85% ROIC and a 12.78% FCF yield, which score 19 of 20 on the cash-engine pillar, suggest strong capital efficiency at a 6x EV/EBITDA.. With an RQD score of 66/100 (C+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $80.27.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Major Chemicals. If gross margin (39.5%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FO ForensicBear 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $57.97 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $74.32

A -14.3% net margin and FY 2025 net loss of -$167.1M, alongside a 10 of 20 forensic balance sheet score, signal earnings quality concer

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short NGVT above $74.32. A -14.3% net margin and FY 2025 net loss of -$167.1M, alongside a 10 of 20 forensic balance sheet score, signal earnings quality concerns.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (19/20) and FCF yield (12.78%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $79.29.

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