The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$2.67 -10.70% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.61

The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 18/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $45.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NCTY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NASDAQ: NCTY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $2.67 (-10.70% 1D, market cap $45.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NCTY ranks #1095 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NCTY compare to FRMM and STEX in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), NCTY carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, FRMM (Forum Markets Incorporated) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $45.5M) and STEX (Streamex Corp.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $45.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NCTY leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AVX leads on capital efficiency (-10.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCTY?
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Per NCTY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001296774), The9 Limited American Depository Shares generated $15.4M in revenue (+0.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$4.5M in free cash flow against $84.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.61 (-2.12%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (18/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510018
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (7)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18% Base Target
$10 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE NCTY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NCTY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (18/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NCTY SCORES 18/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (39% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
26
Grade E$3.49-6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
23
Grade E$3.28-2.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
21
Grade E$3.20-16.6% Next Q
Current
18
Grade E$2.67-12.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (26) → E (18)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NCTY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NCTY currently carries a cautious 18/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.71) and Max Pain ($2.80) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.09.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NCTY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NCTY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NCTY Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $2.67: 3745.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.71
$6,404
$-3,596 (-36.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $2.19
$8,202
$-1,798 (-18.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $10.09
$37,790
+$27,790 (+277.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$258%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NCTY)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NCTY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NCTY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.53%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $3.13H $3.13L $2.67C $2.67VOL 23.1K
RES: $8.43SUP: $0.63SMA50: $3.71SMA200: $4.90
$8.11$6.63$5.16$3.69$2.21RES $8.43SUP $0.63$2.672026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NCTY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NCTY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NCTY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NCTY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NCTY)

Financials Rank #1095 of 1096 ⚔️ FRMM vs NCTY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NCTY vs. FRMM, STEX, AVX, AVAT)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) ranks #1095 by composite RQD confidence (18/100, grade E) and #1014 by equity capitalization ($45.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NCTY leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AVX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -10.4% ROIC and — gross margin. AVAT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 44/100 (D) compared with NCTY at 18/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NCTY ACTIVE
The9 Limited American Depository Shares
E 18/100 — — -35.0% -10.70% $45.7M Benchmark Subject
FRMM
Forum Markets Incorporated
E 25/100 — — -35.0% -5.22% $45.5M /frmm-vs-ncty →
STEX
Streamex Corp.
E 30/100 — — -35.0% -3.97% $45.2M /stex-vs-ncty →
AVX
Avax One Technology Ltd.
E 29/100 — — -10.4% -2.88% $45.1M /avx-vs-ncty →
AVAT
Avalanche Treasury Corporation (Class A)
D 44/100 — — — -14.55% $45.0M /avat-vs-ncty →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001296774

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) reported GAAP revenue of $15.4M (+0.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.3M , and -38.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$4.5M, and free cash flow of -$4.5M (+25.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, NCTY closed FY2025 with $84.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $15.4M $0 -$4.5M -$4.5M $84.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $15.3M -$10.1M -$6.1M -$6.1M $87.2M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $25.2M $2.8M -$6.5M -$6.5M — —

3. NCTY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NCTY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NASDAQ: NCTY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $2.67 (-10.70% 1D, market cap $45.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NCTY ranks #1095 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NCTY compare to FRMM and STEX in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), NCTY carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, FRMM (Forum Markets Incorporated) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $45.5M) and STEX (Streamex Corp.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $45.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NCTY leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AVX leads on capital efficiency (-10.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCTY?

Per NCTY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001296774), The9 Limited American Depository Shares generated $15.4M in revenue (+0.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$4.5M in free cash flow against $84.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NCTY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NCTY last traded at $2.67 (-10.70% on volume of 43,819 shares), positioning the stock -28.03% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.71) and -45.51% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.90). Across its 52-week range of $2.94 to $9.61, NCTY sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.7% ($2.36 to $2.98).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 18/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NCTY — The9 Limited American Depository Shares: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:47:06Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

NCTY scores 18 out of 100, earning a letter grade of E and the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 2/20 (ROIC of -35%; FCF yield of -9.48%), Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 3/20 (beta of 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 7/20 (Altman Z of 2.5; Piotroski F of 1/9; debt-to-equity of 0.5). The weakest pillar is the cash engine, where negative ROIC and negative free cash flow yield indicate that the business is not currently converting capital into cash returns. The forensic balance sheet pillar is the strongest of the five but still scores only 7/20, with a weak Piotroski reading.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating within the Finance: Consumer Services industry..0B, while market data shows $47.9M. —

Revenue was $25.2M in FY 2023, $15.3M in FY 2024, and $15.4M in FY 2025, while operating income was negative in all three periods. Market data reports a 0% gross margin, a -60% operating margin, and a 0% net margin, with ROIC at -35%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, both with debt-to-equity at 0.5. Balance sheet posture is characterized by reported cash of $8.4M at FY 2025 against negative free cash flow in each reported year.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 7/20 with an Altman Z of 2.5 and debt-to-equity of 0.5, and cash rose to $8.4M in FY 2025. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 2/20 (ROIC -35.0%, FCF yield -9.48%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $2.94 – $9.61 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of -9.48%, and operating income of -$40.2M in FY 2025 show the business is not generating cash returns. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector is Financials and industry is Finance: Consumer Services. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are not identified in the source data. —

  • Key Question #1: What products and services generate the reported $15.4M in FY 2025 revenue, and which customer segments drive them?
  • Key Question #2: What explains the gap between FY 2025 operating income of -$40.2M and reported net income of —?
  • Key Question #3: What are the company's debt obligations, given that debt is listed as N/A across all periods?

NCTY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NCTY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 70d ago
The9 Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

The9 (NASDAQ:NCTY) reported second-quarter net income of $32 million, up more than 39% from the prior quarter, as the company advanced its repositioning around The9bit, an AI-powered game creation platform supported by a

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NCTY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.67?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NCTY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NCTY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.56 (+19.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 7/20 with an Altman Z of 2.5 and debt-to-equity of 0.5, and cash rose to $8.4M in FY 2025.

Don't sleep on NCTY's setup in Financials. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 7/20 with an Altman Z of 2.5 and debt-to-equity of 0.5, and cash rose to $8.4M in FY 2025.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (18/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@FadeTheHype Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $2.99 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

FA FadeTheHype Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.39 (-20.1%)
Spot @ $2.99

ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of -9.48%, and operating income of -$40.2M in FY 2025 show the business is not generating cash returns.

I respect the product at The9 Limited American Depository Shares, but the stock at $2.99 is a different story. ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of -9.48%, and operating income of -$40.2M in FY 2025 show the business is not generating cash returns.. FCF yield is -9.48% and RQD sits at 18/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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