The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$2.99 -4.62% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.96

The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 18/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $45.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NCTY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NASDAQ: NCTY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $2.99 (-4.62% 1D, market cap $45.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NCTY ranks #1095 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NCTY compare to FRMM and STEX in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), NCTY carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, FRMM (Forum Markets Incorporated) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $45.5M) and STEX (Streamex Corp.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $45.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NCTY leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AVX leads on capital efficiency (-10.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCTY?
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Per NCTY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001296774), The9 Limited American Depository Shares generated $15.4M in revenue (+0.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$4.5M in free cash flow against $84.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.96 (-1.02%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (18/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510018
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (7)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18.1% Base Target
$10 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE NCTY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NCTY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (18/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NCTY SCORES 18/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (39% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
26
Grade E$3.49-6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
23
Grade E$3.28-2.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
21
Grade E$3.20-6.6% Next Q
Current
18
Grade E$2.99-12.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (26) → E (18)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NCTY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NCTY currently carries a cautious 18/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.71) and Max Pain ($3.14) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.09.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NCTY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NCTY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
37.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
1 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $3$2.99H: $10
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 2 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 10 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on NCTY

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (15)

-35.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -9.48% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (35)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 1/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (18)

6/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NCTY
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NCTY)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NCTY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NCTY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.48%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $3.13H $3.13L $2.99C $2.99VOL 23.1K
RES: $8.43SUP: $2.92SMA50: $3.71SMA200: $4.90
$8.09$6.69$5.30$3.90$2.51RES $8.43SUP $2.92$2.992026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NCTY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NCTY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NCTY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NCTY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NCTY)

Financials Rank #1095 of 1096 ⚔️ FRMM vs NCTY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NCTY vs. FRMM, STEX, AVX, AVAT)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) ranks #1095 by composite RQD confidence (18/100, grade E) and #1014 by equity capitalization ($45.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NCTY leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AVX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -10.4% ROIC and — gross margin. AVAT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 44/100 (D) compared with NCTY at 18/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NCTY ACTIVE
The9 Limited American Depository Shares
E 18/100 — — -35.0% -4.62% $45.7M Benchmark Subject
FRMM
Forum Markets Incorporated
E 25/100 — — -35.0% -7.01% $45.5M /frmm-vs-ncty →
STEX
Streamex Corp.
E 30/100 — — -35.0% -11.67% $45.2M /stex-vs-ncty →
AVX
Avax One Technology Ltd.
E 29/100 — — -10.4% -6.42% $45.1M /avx-vs-ncty →
AVAT
Avalanche Treasury Corporation (Class A)
D 44/100 — — — -3.74% $45.0M /avat-vs-ncty →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001296774

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) reported GAAP revenue of $15.4M (+0.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.3M , and -38.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$4.5M, and free cash flow of -$4.5M (+25.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, NCTY closed FY2025 with $84.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $15.4M $0 -$4.5M -$4.5M $84.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $15.3M -$10.1M -$6.1M -$6.1M $87.2M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $25.2M $2.8M -$6.5M -$6.5M — —

3. NCTY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NCTY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NASDAQ: NCTY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $2.99 (-4.62% 1D, market cap $45.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NCTY ranks #1095 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NCTY compare to FRMM and STEX in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), NCTY carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, FRMM (Forum Markets Incorporated) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $45.5M) and STEX (Streamex Corp.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $45.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NCTY leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AVX leads on capital efficiency (-10.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCTY?

Per NCTY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001296774), The9 Limited American Depository Shares generated $15.4M in revenue (+0.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$4.5M in free cash flow against $84.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NCTY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NCTY last traded at $2.99 (-4.62% on volume of 23,110 shares), positioning the stock -19.41% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.71) and -38.98% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.90). Across its 52-week range of $2.94 to $9.61, NCTY sits at the 0.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.7% ($2.64 to $3.34).

NCTY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NCTY stock right now?

The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 18/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is NCTY's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NCTY's 12-month base price target is $2.45 (range $1.91 to $10.09), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 18/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NCTY — The9 Limited American Depository Shares: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:47:06Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NCTY scores 18 out of 100, earning a letter grade of E and the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 2/20 (ROIC of -35%; FCF yield of -9.48%), Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 3/20 (beta of 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 7/20 (Altman Z of 2.5; Piotroski F of 1/9; debt-to-equity of 0.5). The weakest pillar is the cash engine, where negative ROIC and negative free cash flow yield indicate that the business is not currently converting capital into cash returns. The forensic balance sheet pillar is the strongest of the five but still scores only 7/20, with a weak Piotroski reading. For a prospective investor, the rating frames the stock as one with significant fundamental and forensic risk; upside would depend on a turnaround in operating economics that the source data does not evidence.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$15.4M$-40.2M$0.0MN/A$-4.5M$8.4MN/A
FY 2024$15.3M$-8.1M$-10.1MN/A$-6.1M$1.5MN/A
FY 2023$25.2M$-44.8M$2.8MN/A$-6.5MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue was $25.2M in FY 2023, $15.3M in FY 2024, and $15.4M in FY 2025, while operating income was negative in all three periods. Market data reports a 0% gross margin, a -60% operating margin, and a 0% net margin, with ROIC at -35%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, both per the Roarable RQD rating, with debt-to-equity at 0.5. Balance sheet posture is characterized by reported cash of $8.4M at FY 2025 against negative free cash flow in each reported year.

Open Questions

  • What products and services generate the reported $15.4M in FY 2025 revenue, and which customer segments drive them?
  • What explains the gap between FY 2025 operating income of $-40.2M and reported net income of $0.0M?
  • What are the company's debt obligations, given that debt is listed as N/A across all periods?
  • What is the source of the FY 2025 cash balance of $8.4M, and does it cover the negative free cash flow trend?
  • What catalysts or strategic actions could reverse the negative ROIC and operating margin trajectory?

NCTY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The9 Limited American Depository Shares (NCTY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NCTY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 70d ago
The9 Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

The9 (NASDAQ:NCTY) reported second-quarter net income of $32 million, up more than 39% from the prior quarter, as the company advanced its repositioning around The9bit, an AI-powered game creation platform supported by a

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NCTY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.99?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NCTY 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NCTY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.76 (-12.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NCTY (E • RQD 18/100) a Buy at $3.14?

Welcome to the NCTY (The9 Limited American Depository Shares) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 18/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.48 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $3.14

Pump the brakes on NCTY — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NCTY, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless The9 Limited American Depository Shares expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.89 (+23.9%)
Spot @ $3.14

NCTY cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NCTY, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.14 (52-wk range $2.94 - $9.76), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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