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Nebius Group N.V. (Class A) (NBIS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$154.14 -10.38% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $150.97

Nebius Group N.V. (Class A) (NBIS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $46.76B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NBIS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NBIS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Nebius Group N.V. (Class A) (NASDAQ: NBIS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $154.14 (-10.38% 1D, market cap $46.76B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NBIS ranks #518 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NBIS compare to BSP and ZM in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), NBIS carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 68.6%, and ROIC of -9.6%. By comparison, BSP (Bending Spoons S.p.A.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $32.49B) and ZM (Zoom Communications Inc.) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 15.0x, ROIC 9.4%, cap $28.50B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZM leads on earnings multiple (15.0x) while APP leads on capital efficiency (48.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NBIS?

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Per NBIS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001513845), Nebius Group N.V. (Class A) generated $529.8M in revenue (+479.0% YoY), $82.5M in net income, and -$3.68B in free cash flow against $12.43B in total assets and $4.10B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $150.96 (-2.06%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NBIS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NBIS SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (38% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.14 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (43.6) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$206.86-17.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$171.45-0.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$170.47-9.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$154.14-8.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NBIS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NBIS currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($207.98) and Max Pain ($161.85) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $314.85.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NBIS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NBIS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

43.630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

4.14>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE36% OF RANGE

L: $74$154.14H: $300

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 5 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on NBIS

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (25)

-9.6% ROIC with 68.6% gross margin and -7.87% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 4.14 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (30)

15/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NBIS

✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NBIS)

✓Walkthrough of NBIS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NBIS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.63%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $182.3H $182.3L $154.1C $154.1VOL 17.70M

RES: $240.4SUP: $142.3SMA50: $208.0SMA200: $178.2

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NBIS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NBIS Butterfly Map → + Track NBIS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NBIS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NBIS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NBIS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NBIS)

Technology Rank #518 of 714 ⚔️ BSP vs NBIS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NBIS vs. BSP, ZM, BIDU, APP)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nebius Group N.V. (Class A) (NBIS) ranks #518 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #66 by equity capitalization ($46.76B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ZM leads on earnings valuation at 15.0x trailing P/E, while APP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 48.1% ROIC and 87.9% gross margin. BSP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with NBIS at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NBIS ACTIVE Nebius Group N.V. (Class A)	D-	37/100	—	68.6%	-9.6%	-10.38%	$46.76B	Benchmark Subject
BSP Bending Spoons S.p.A.	B+	76/100	21.7x	—	14.9%	-2.69%	$32.49B	/bsp-vs-nbis →
ZM Zoom Communications Inc.	B+	76/100	15.0x	77.0%	9.4%	-2.21%	$28.50B	/zm-vs-nbis →
BIDU Baidu Inc. ADS	E	28/100	33.5x	43.9%	-1.5%	-2.86%	$26.76B	/bidu-vs-nbis →
APP Applovin Corporation	C+	68/100	25.6x	87.9%	48.1%	-10.36%	$85.31B	/app-vs-nbis →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001513845

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Nebius Group N.V. (Class A) (NBIS) reported GAAP revenue of $529.8M (+479.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $91.5M , and +5306.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $82.5M, operating cash flow of $384.8M, and free cash flow of -$3.68B (-555.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, NBIS closed FY2025 with $12.43B in total assets against $4.10B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.14, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$529.8M	$82.5M	$384.8M	-$3.68B	$12.43B	$4.10B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$91.5M	-$641.4M	$245.6M	-$561.9M	$3.55B	$132.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$9.8M	$241.3M	$829.8M	$829.4M	$25.72B	$6.02B

3. NBIS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NBIS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NBIS compare to BSP and ZM in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NBIS?

Where is NBIS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NBIS last traded at $154.14 (-10.38% on volume of 21,564,952 shares), positioning the stock -25.89% below its 50-day simple moving average ($207.98) and -13.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($178.15). Across its 52-week range of $73.52 to $299.86, NBIS sits at the 35.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($134.87 to $173.41).

NBIS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NBIS stock right now?

Nebius Group N.V. (Class A) (NBIS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 37/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is NBIS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NBIS's 12-month base price target is $139.57 (range $108.86 to $314.85), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: NBIS RQD Cockpit NBIS 12M Forecast NBIS Earnings & Move NBIS Dividends & DRIP NBIS Insiders & 13F NBIS Whale Options NBIS Profit Sankey NBIS News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NBIS — Nebius Group N.V. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:11:19Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NBIS scores 37 out of 100, earning a D- grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars: Fundamental Cash Engine scores 5 of 20 (ROIC -9.6%; FCF yield -7.87%), indicating weak cash generation on a return-on-capital basis. Whale 13F Flow scores 9 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). Insider Conviction scores 6 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). Macro Regime Fit scores 3 of 20 (Beta 1.34; sector sensitivity), the weakest pillar, implying elevated sensitivity to broad market swings. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 14 of 20 (Altman Z 4.14; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.89), the strongest pillar and the main offset to the weaker cash and flow readings.

For a prospective investor, the upside drivers are limited to the balance-sheet and institutional-flow readings; the valuation tradeoff is that the cash engine and macro-fit pillars do not currently support the market capitalization of $46.76B on the cash-flow metrics provided. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the combination of negative ROIC, negative FCF yield, and high beta means that drawdown risk and volatility are central considerations rather than peripheral ones.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$529.8M	$-611.7M	$82.5M	N/A	$-3681.2M	$3678.1M	$4103.2M
FY 2024	$91.5M	$-399.6M	$-641.4M	N/A	$-561.9M	$2434.7M	$132.7M
FY 2023	$9.8M	$-285.7M	$241.3M	N/A	$829.4M	N/A	$6017.5M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $9.8M in FY 2023 to $529.8M in FY 2025, while operating income remained negative in each reported period. Per the market data, operating margin is -60% and gross margin is 68.6%, with net margin at 15.6%, a divergence that the source data does not reconcile. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -9.6%, and the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar cites an Altman Z-Score of 4.14 and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9. Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 free cash flow was $-3681.2M against cash of $3678.1M and debt of $4103.2M.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply-chain designation is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals recorded. Not available in source data for upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks.

Open Questions

What specific products and customers generate the FY 2025 revenue of $529.8M, and how much is recurring?
What explains the divergence between the reported net margin of 15.6% and operating margin of -60%?
What is the composition and maturity schedule of the FY 2025 debt of $4103.2M against cash of $3678.1M?
What drove the -$3681.2M FY 2025 free cash flow, and what is the expected path to positive FCF?
Which institutional and insider holders are behind the flow readings in the RQD pillars?

NBIS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Nebius Group N.V. (Class A) (NBIS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NBIS Debate Forum (3) ↓

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NBIS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $154.14?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NBIS 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $151.35 (-12.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NBIS (D- • RQD 37/100) a Buy at $171.99?

Welcome to the NBIS (Nebius Group N.V. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 37/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $144.47 (-16.0%)

Spot @ $171.99

Pump the brakes on NBIS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NBIS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 68.6% gross margins. Unless Nebius Group N.V. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $213.27 (+24.0%)

Spot @ $171.99

NBIS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NBIS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $171.99 (52-wk range $73.52 - $299.86), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.